Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days.
Recent Lot sales
- May 25, 2026Fanatics$8.40
- May 4, 2026Fanatics$6.00
- May 4, 2026Fanatics$7.20
- Apr 20, 2026Fanatics$13.20
- Apr 6, 2026Fanatics$7.20
- Mar 23, 2026Fanatics$8.40
By grade
- Lot$7.806 sales
- CGC 8.5$12.005 sales
- PSA 9$22.802 sales
- CGC 9$25.002 sales
- CGC 10$81.402 sales
From 17 completed sales recorded between Feb 11, 2026 and Jul 26, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 11 graded sales and 1,307,735 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Ninetales BREAK is a Rare BREAK Pokémon card from Evolutions (#16), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a BREAK Fire-type Pokémon with 140 HP, evolving from Ninetales. Its current blended market value is $4.73 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $125 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 26× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $155.00 | #88973841 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $132.50 | #67340237 ✓ |
| 11 Aug 2026 | PSA 7 | $14.73 | #140294836 ✓ |
| 10 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $150.50 | #56908785 ✓ |
| 4 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $28.00 | #49131590 ✓ |
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $150.00 | #154808742 ✓ |
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $125.50 | #162684616 ✓ |
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $200.00 | #157098724 ✓ |
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $22.77 | #154808737 ✓ |
| 31 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $29.99 | #61919281 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 43.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$49); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Ninetales BREAK is a Rare in Evolutions — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 13 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 22 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $124.50 | $71 | +$49 | 26.3× |
| PSA 9 | $27.00 | $70 | −$48 | 5.7× |
| PSA 8 | $23.00 | $70 | −$52 | 4.9× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,877 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 43.2% | $125.00 |
| PSA 9 | 40.8% | $27.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 16% | $5.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 43% of 1,877 PSA-graded Ninetales BREAK copies are a gem-mint 10 (811 of 1,877) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Ninetales BREAK 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 811 | $125$106–$143 | |
| PSA 9pop 766 | ✓ 64 cert-verified$27$21–$29 | |
| PSA 8pop 200 | ✓ 20 cert-verified$23$8–$23 | |
| PSA 7pop 51 | $10$10–$11 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $20 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
6% spreadCurrently 6% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#49 on the radarNinetales is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “need advice - new player” · 7↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Ninetales.
Discard all Fire Energy attached to this Pokémon. This attack does 60 more damage for each Energy card discarded in this way.
BREAK Evolution Rule: Ninetales BREAK retains the attacks, Abilities, Weakness, Resistance, and Retreat Cost of its previous Evolution.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
More from Evolutions
Frequently asked questions
How much is Ninetales BREAK (Evolutions #16) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Ninetales BREAK from Evolutions is worth approximately $4.73 ungraded (near-mint), and around $125 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Ninetales BREAK?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ninetales BREAK from Evolutions is worth around $125 — roughly 26× the raw ungraded value of $4.73.
Should I grade my Ninetales BREAK?
A PSA 10 sells for about $125 versus $4.73 raw — roughly a 26× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Ninetales BREAK rare?
Ninetales BREAK is a Rare BREAK card from Evolutions (card #16), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $4.73 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Ninetales BREAK (Evolutions #16) — Pokémon market value $4.73, PSA 10 $124.50. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/evolutions/ninetales-break-16<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy12-16" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Ninetales BREAK price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>