Ninetales BREAK16/108 · Evolutions Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
Pack fresh $8
- PSA 8$234 sold · 90d · pop 209
- PSA 9$256 sold · 90d · pop 798
- PSA 10$13314 sold · 90d · pop 837
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Evolutions #16/108, 2016. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
The top 5% of this card's sales — pack-fresh examples — sold for $6.49 or more. That's about +59% over a typical Near Mint copy.
ⓘ How do we work this out?
We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (60 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.
Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.
Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.
These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Ninetales BREAK is a Rare BREAK Pokémon card from Evolutions (#16, released 2016), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a BREAK Fire-type Pokémon with 140 HP, evolving from Ninetales. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 15 September 2026.
Ninetales BREAK price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
High confidence144 sales in 90 days, closely clustered. · Very liquid — Sells often
5 of 10 verified sales were competitive auctions — this price reflects real bidding, not asking prices. A graded copy trades roughly every 2 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- Raw$4.92146 sales · 144 in 90d, sells often
- PSA 10$15514 sales · 14 in 90d, sells regularly
- PSA 9$28.068 sales · 6 in 90d, occasional
- CGC 8.5$11.408 sales · 4 in 90d, occasional
- CGC 9$15.756 sales · 6 in 90d, occasional
- PSA 8$18.134 sales · 4 in 90d, occasional
- Lot$7.804 sales
- CGC 10$50.003 sales
Is Ninetales BREAK worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $25 against the $75 you put in, a $50 loss. The money is in the 1 in 1 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $25–$155. Averaged over every outcome that is +$5 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Ninetales BREAK is a Rare in Evolutions — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 13 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 22 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $133.00 | $71 | +$58 | 32.7× |
| PSA 9 | $25.00 | $70 | −$49 | 6.1× |
| PSA 8 | $23.00 | $70 | −$51 | 5.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,877 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 43.2% | $155.25 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 40.8% | $25.00 |
| PSA 8 | 10.7% | $23.00 |
| PSA 7 | 2.7% | $10.01 |
| PSA 6 | 1.3% | $4.07 |
| PSA 5 | 0.6% | $4.07 |
| PSA 4 | 0.3% | $4.07 |
| PSA 3 | 0.1% | $4.07 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 0.3% | $4.07 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
837 of the 1,942 PSA-graded Ninetales BREAK copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 43%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 1,942.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 670.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 31.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Ninetales BREAK 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Ninetales BREAK 16/108 Evolutions HoloRaw · eBay$2.14
Pokemon TCG Ninetales BREAK Evolutions 16/108 Rare Holo 140 HP 2016Raw · eBay$2.29
TCG Pokémon Ninetales BREAK 16/108 Evolutions Rare Damaged Raw · eBay$3.00
Ninetales BREAK 16/108 BREAK Rare Evolutions Pokemon Holo DamagedRaw · eBay$3.00
Pokemon TCG Ninetales BREAK 16/108 Evolutions Holo Rare 140 HP ENGRaw · eBay$3.00
Ninetales BREAK 16/108 XY: BREAKthrough Holo Rare English Break HP 140 2016Raw · eBay$3.25Cheapest raw copy $2.14 — 47% below our near-mint estimate of $4
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 837 | ✓ 95 cert-verified$133$132–$179 | |
| PSA 9pop 798 | ✓ 67 cert-verified$25$25–$35 | |
| PSA 8pop 209 | ✓ 23 cert-verified$23$8–$23 | |
| PSA 7pop 52 | modelled$10$10–$11 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
2% spreadCurrently 2% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Ninetales.
Discard all Fire Energy attached to this Pokémon. This attack does 60 more damage for each Energy card discarded in this way.
BREAK Evolution Rule: Ninetales BREAK retains the attacks, Abilities, Weakness, Resistance, and Retreat Cost of its previous Evolution.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
More from Evolutions
Frequently asked questions
How much is Ninetales BREAK (Evolutions #16) worth?
As of 15 September 2026, Ninetales BREAK from Evolutions is worth approximately $4.07 ungraded (near-mint), and around $133 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Ninetales BREAK?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ninetales BREAK from Evolutions is worth around $133 — roughly 33× the raw ungraded value of $4.07.
Should I grade my Ninetales BREAK?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Ninetales BREAK rare?
Ninetales BREAK is a Rare BREAK card from Evolutions (card #16).
How do I know if my Ninetales BREAK is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Ninetales BREAK (Evolutions #16) — Pokémon market value $4.07, PSA 10 $133.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/evolutions/ninetales-break-16<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy12-16" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Ninetales BREAK price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>