Is that booster box worth opening?
Open it, or buy the singles you actually want? For each sealed box we line up its price against what's inside — the single biggest chase card, and the whole set bought as singles. Where we have a pull-odds model for the set, we also show the expected value of an average box — the “chase covers the box” flag stays the best case, not a promise.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,450 · best pull Mega Charizard X ex
Expected pulls ≈ $140 per box on average (30% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $2,154 · best pull Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex
Expected pulls ≈ $284 per box on average (97% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $872 · best pull Mega Greninja ex
Expected pulls ≈ $149 per box on average (63% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,379 · best pull Pikachu ex
Expected pulls ≈ $118 per box on average (39% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,429 · best pull Greninja ex
Expected pulls ≈ $228 per box on average (63% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,567 · best pull Giratina V
Expected pulls ≈ $388 per box on average (50% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $985 · best pull Tyranitar V
Expected pulls ≈ $172 per box on average (62% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,091 · best pull Lugia V
Expected pulls ≈ $158 per box on average (29% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $3,340 · best pull Gengar VMAX
Expected pulls ≈ $414 per box on average (37% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $2,154 · best pull Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex
Expected pulls ≈ $211 per box on average (35% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,779 · best pull Mega Lucario ex
Expected pulls ≈ $182 per box on average (59% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,779 · best pull Mega Lucario ex
Expected pulls ≈ $304 per box on average (98% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $10,097 · best pull Umbreon VMAX
Expected pulls ≈ $480 per box on average (18% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $513 · best pull Mewtwo VSTAR
Expected pulls ≈ $543 per box on average (557% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $2,134 · best pull Magikarp
Expected pulls ≈ $169 per box on average (34% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $2,165 · best pull Blaziken VMAX
Expected pulls ≈ $256 per box on average (51% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $773 · best pull Mega Zygarde ex
Expected pulls ≈ $118 per box on average (53% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $629 · best pull Pikachu VMAX
Expected pulls ≈ $176 per box on average (51% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,000 · best pull Charizard V
Expected pulls ≈ $280 per box on average (45% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $935 · best pull Machamp V
Expected pulls ≈ $139 per box on average (33% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $560 · best pull Lillie's Clefairy ex
Expected pulls ≈ $144 per box on average (52% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $560 · best pull Lillie's Clefairy ex
Expected pulls ≈ $138 per box on average (49% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $526 · best pull Charizard V
Expected pulls ≈ $152 per box on average (42% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,256 · best pull Groudon
Expected pulls ≈ $98 per box on average (34% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $658 · best pull Bulbasaur
Expected pulls ≈ $176 per box on average (49% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,450 · best pull Mega Charizard X ex
Expected pulls ≈ $378 per box on average (14% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,368 · best pull Gastly
Expected pulls ≈ $283 per box on average (86% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $568 · best pull Charizard ex
Expected pulls ≈ $207 per box on average (52% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $2,366 · best pull Lillie
Expected pulls ≈ $1,229 per box on average (80% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,388 · best pull Charizard-GX
Expected pulls ≈ $452 per box on average (37% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $846 · best pull Gardevoir ex
Expected pulls ≈ $104 per box on average (34% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $3,926 · best pull Gardevoir & Sylveon-GX
Expected pulls ≈ $698 per box on average (29% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $872 · best pull Mega Greninja ex
Expected pulls ≈ $150 per box on average (11% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,429 · best pull Greninja ex
Expected pulls ≈ $144 per box on average (7% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,567 · best pull Giratina V
Expected pulls ≈ $316 per box on average (7% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,379 · best pull Pikachu ex
Expected pulls ≈ $134 per box on average (7% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,091 · best pull Lugia V
Expected pulls ≈ $264 per box on average (8% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $10,097 · best pull Umbreon VMAX
Expected pulls ≈ $946 per box on average (6% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $2,637 · best pull Lugia-GX
Expected pulls ≈ $683 per box on average (44% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $985 · best pull Tyranitar V
Expected pulls ≈ $198 per box on average (12% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $2,134 · best pull Magikarp
Expected pulls ≈ $267 per box on average (10% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $3,340 · best pull Gengar VMAX
Expected pulls ≈ $661 per box on average (10% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $568 · best pull Snorlax VMAX
Expected pulls ≈ $147 per box on average (21% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $2,154 · best pull Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex
Expected pulls ≈ $219 per box on average (6% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $4,391 · best pull Mewtwo & Mew-GX
Expected pulls ≈ $720 per box on average (27% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $7,739 · best pull Gengar & Mimikyu-GX
Expected pulls ≈ $1,102 per box on average (10% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $537 · best pull Gyarados-GX
Expected pulls ≈ $271 per box on average (48% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $731 · best pull Umbreon-GX
Expected pulls ≈ $393 per box on average (42% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $6,383 · best pull Arceus & Dialga & Palkia-GX
Expected pulls ≈ $702 per box on average (18% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $522 · best pull Boss's Orders
Expected pulls ≈ $183 per box on average (37% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $773 · best pull Mega Zygarde ex
Expected pulls ≈ $157 per box on average (12% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $2,007 · best pull Rayquaza-GX
Expected pulls ≈ $507 per box on average (21% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $629 · best pull Pikachu VMAX
Expected pulls ≈ $169 per box on average (9% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $2,165 · best pull Blaziken VMAX
Expected pulls ≈ $247 per box on average (7% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,143 · best pull Sylveon-GX
Expected pulls ≈ $408 per box on average (25% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,572 · best pull M Rayquaza-EX
Expected pulls ≈ $963 per box on average (23% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,000 · best pull Charizard V
Expected pulls ≈ $278 per box on average (7% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $935 · best pull Machamp V
Expected pulls ≈ $140 per box on average (6% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $422 · best pull Gardevoir-EX
Expected pulls ≈ $290 per box on average (25% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $560 · best pull Lillie's Clefairy ex
Expected pulls ≈ $129 per box on average (9% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,297 · best pull Lucario-GX
Expected pulls ≈ $592 per box on average (37% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $658 · best pull Bulbasaur
Expected pulls ≈ $153 per box on average (9% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,592 · best pull Primal Kyogre-EX
Expected pulls ≈ $491 per box on average (17% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $560 · best pull Lillie's Clefairy ex
Expected pulls ≈ $129 per box on average (7% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $526 · best pull Charizard V
Expected pulls ≈ $112 per box on average (5% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,256 · best pull Groudon
Expected pulls ≈ $105 per box on average (6% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $874 · best pull M Charizard-EX
Expected pulls ≈ $521 per box on average (21% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,289 · best pull Mewtwo-EX
Expected pulls ≈ $731 per box on average (23% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $976 · best pull Alakazam-EX
Expected pulls ≈ $540 per box on average (21% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $3,670 · best pull Sabrina's Gengar
Expected pulls ≈ $3,360 per box on average (31% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $568 · best pull Charizard ex
Expected pulls ≈ $159 per box on average (7% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $5,374 · best pull Blaine's Charizard
Expected pulls ≈ $4,910 per box on average (35% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $846 · best pull Gardevoir ex
Expected pulls ≈ $110 per box on average (7% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,368 · best pull Gastly
Expected pulls ≈ $250 per box on average (11% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $626 · best pull Blastoise-EX
Expected pulls ≈ $502 per box on average (13% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $568 · best pull Snorlax VMAX
Expected pulls ≈ $141 per box on average (3% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $1,867 · best pull Reshiram
Expected pulls ≈ $2,165 per box on average (12% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Biggest chases
Full set as singles ≈ $585 · best pull M Lucario-EX
Expected pulls ≈ $528 per box on average (11% of the box price) — from the same pull-odds model as our pack simulator.
Booster box FAQ
Should I open a Pokémon booster box or buy singles?
Open it if the box price is well below the value of the singles inside — or if one realistic chase pull covers the box. If the singles you actually want cost less bought individually, buy singles. This page shows both figures for every sealed box.
Does this use real pack pull rates?
Partly. The "expected pulls per box" figure comes from our pack model — the same rarity-slot odds that power the pack simulator — averaged over hundreds of simulated boxes. The "one chase hit covers the box" flag is still a best case, not a probability: expected value tells you the average box, variance decides your box.
How is a box's singles value worked out?
We sum CardTrack's blended market value of every card in the set, updated daily, and compare it to the current sealed box price.