Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence21 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
Recent CGC 10 sales
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$22.80
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$36.00
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$15.60
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$16.80
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$16.80
- Jul 20, 2026Fanatics$24.00
- Jul 20, 2026Fanatics$25.20
- Jul 20, 2026Fanatics$12.00
By grade
- CGC 10$22.8050 sales
- CGC 9$12.608 sales
- PSA 9$17.003 sales
- PSA 10$44.403 sales
- CGC 9.5$9.002 sales
- SGC 9.5$8.401 sale
- PSA 8$17.001 sale
- PSA 7$15.601 sale
From 73 completed sales recorded between Feb 9, 2026 and Jul 27, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 72 graded sales and 5,114,353 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Dawn is a Ultra Rare Pokémon card from Phantasmal Flames (#118), illustrated by Yuu Nishida. It's a Supporter Trainer card. Its current blended market value is $5.90 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $48 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 8× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $42.69 | #151584847 ✓ |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $35.00 | #146235177 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $35.00 | #156547405 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $32.00 | #159868921 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $24.99 | #154473052 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $18.99 | #149537195 ✓ |
| 11 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $40.00 | #148217547 ✓ |
| 11 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $6.50 | #160367524 ✓ |
| 10 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $47.01 | #152869016 ✓ |
| 8 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $21.02 | #151617037 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 60.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$28); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Dawn is a Ultra Rare in Phantasmal Flames — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 30 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 302 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $47.95 | $70 | −$28 | 8.1× |
| PSA 9 | $17.50 | $70 | −$59 | 3.0× |
| PSA 8 | $13.00 | $70 | −$63 | 2.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 3,576 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 60.3% | $48.00 |
| PSA 9 | 31.1% | $18.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 8.6% | $6.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 60% of 3,576 PSA-graded Dawn copies are a gem-mint 10 (2,155 of 3,576) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Dawn 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 2,155 | $48$41–$55 | |
| PSA 9pop 1,112 | $18$15–$20 | |
| PSA 8pop 242 | ✓ 15 cert-verified$13$13–$17 | |
| PSA 7pop 40 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$6$6–$9 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $16 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
8% spreadCurrently 8% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Search your deck for a Basic Pokémon, a Stage 1 Pokémon, and a Stage 2 Pokémon, reveal them, and put them into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.
You may play only 1 Supporter card during your turn.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Dawn cards
There are 3 different Dawn printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Phantasmal Flames #118 (Ultra Rare).
More from Phantasmal Flames
Frequently asked questions
How much is Dawn (Phantasmal Flames #118) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Dawn from Phantasmal Flames is worth approximately $5.90 ungraded (near-mint), and around $48 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Dawn?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Dawn from Phantasmal Flames is worth around $48 — roughly 8× the raw ungraded value of $5.90.
Should I grade my Dawn?
A PSA 10 sells for about $48 versus $5.90 raw — roughly a 8× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Dawn rare?
Dawn is a Ultra Rare card from Phantasmal Flames (card #118), illustrated by Yuu Nishida. Its current blended market value is $5.90 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Dawn (Phantasmal Flames #118) — Pokémon market value $5.90, PSA 10 $47.95. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/phantasmal-flames/dawn-118<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=me2-118" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Dawn price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>