Dawn
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence44 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Dawn - 129/094 - Pokemon Phantasmal Flames Special Illustration NMNM$29.98
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon Dawn EN Holofoil Phantasmal Flames [PFL - 129/094] Special Illustrati...$22.85
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Dawn supporter SIR 129/094 Phantasmal Flames$23.49
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Dawn 129/094 Me02 Phantasmal Flames SIR Holo Eng$19.19
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Pokemon Dawn #129/094: ME Phantasmal Flames (Read Description) 🔥$19.99
- Aug 7, 2026eBay — Pokemon Dawn 129/94 SIR 2025 TCG Phantasmal Flames English Card NMNM$28.80
- Aug 6, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Dawn SIR 129/094 Holo Phantasmal Flames Eng PSA$14.50
- Aug 6, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Me02: Phantasmal Flames Dawn 129/094 Holo SIR EN Trainer$10.03
By grade
- Raw$22.0047 sales
- CGC 10$42.0043 sales
- PSA 10$91.4724 sales
- PSA 9$33.007 sales
- CGC 9$23.906 sales
- TAG 10$89.213 sales
- Lot$31.203 sales
- BGS 9.5$38.003 sales
From 149 completed sales recorded between Dec 28, 2025 and Aug 11, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 99 graded sales and 5,119,366 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Dawn is a Special Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Phantasmal Flames (#129), illustrated by Atsushi Furusawa. It's a Supporter Trainer card. Its current blended market value is $23.05 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $89 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 4× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $27.01 | #148149396 ✓ |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $82.23 | #144781070 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $30.00 | #150554439 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $33.99 | #154024086 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $35.00 | #162725251 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $35.00 | #151560687 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $31.00 | #151214054 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $80.00 | #153374397 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $77.00 | #158732180 ✓ |
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $80.00 | #164013518 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 51.5% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$5); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Dawn is a Secret / Rainbow in Phantasmal Flames — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 6 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 241 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $89.00 | $71 | −$5 | 3.9× |
| PSA 9 | $31.50 | $70 | −$62 | 1.4× |
| PSA 8 | $25.45 | $70 | −$68 | 1.1× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 8,597 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 51.5% | $89.00 |
| PSA 9 | 36.9% | $32.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 11.5% | $23.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 52% of 8,597 PSA-graded Dawn copies are a gem-mint 10 (4,430 of 8,597) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Dawn 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 4,430 | ✓ 121 cert-verified$89$89–$121 | |
| PSA 9pop 3,175 | $32$27–$36 | |
| PSA 8pop 763 | $25$22–$29 | |
| PSA 7pop 141 | $23$23–$28 | |
| PSA 6pop 50 | $21$21–$21 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $37 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
7% spreadCurrently 7% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Search your deck for a Basic Pokémon, a Stage 1 Pokémon, and a Stage 2 Pokémon, reveal them, and put them into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.
You may play only 1 Supporter card during your turn.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Dawn cards
There are 3 different Dawn printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Phantasmal Flames #129 (Special Illustration Rare).
More from Phantasmal Flames
Frequently asked questions
How much is Dawn (Phantasmal Flames #129) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Dawn from Phantasmal Flames is worth approximately $23.05 ungraded (near-mint), and around $89 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Dawn?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Dawn from Phantasmal Flames is worth around $89 — roughly 4× the raw ungraded value of $23.05.
Should I grade my Dawn?
A PSA 10 sells for about $89 versus $23.05 raw — roughly a 4× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Dawn rare?
Dawn is a Special Illustration Rare card from Phantasmal Flames (card #129), illustrated by Atsushi Furusawa. Its current blended market value is $23.05 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Dawn (Phantasmal Flames #129) — Pokémon market value $23.05, PSA 10 $89.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/phantasmal-flames/dawn-129<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=me2-129" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Dawn price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>