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Check your printing5 different Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex printings exist — is this your card? Twilight Masquerade #194
Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex Twilight Masquerade #194 Pokémon card
Ultra Rare

Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex

Twilight Masquerade · 194/167 · Illustrated by 5ban Graphics
210 HPWaterPokémonBasicTeraex

Market value · ungraded

$4.07 9.7% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$4$4
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 21 August 2026. 3 sources agree within 11%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$4.07

What this price is based on

Low confidence

Only 1 sale in the last 90 days.

Median · CGC 10$15.003 sales
Trimmed mean$15.00outliers removed
Range$8.40$15.60lowest to highest sale
Sales rate1.3/mo8 recorded

Recent CGC 10 sales

By grade

  • CGC 10$15.003 sales
  • PSA 9$16.202 sales
  • PSA 10$45.601 sale
  • Lot$6.001 sale
  • CGC 9$13.201 sale

From 8 completed sales recorded between Mar 9, 2026 and Jul 20, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 7 graded sales and 5,111,184 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex is a Ultra Rare Pokémon card from Twilight Masquerade (#194), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Basic Tera ex Water-type Pokémon with 210 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $4.07 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $46 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 11× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 21 August 2026.

6.2%
Played in 6.2% of competitive decks — 196 of 3,174 decklists across the last 41 Standard tournaments.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202521 Aug 2026
Latest
$4.07
Period high
$5.20
Period low
$3.02
Change
2.8%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
9 Aug 2026PSA 10$60.00#98326164
5 Aug 2026PSA 10$40.33#130827989
3 Aug 2026PSA 9$9.51#156295115
20 Jul 2026PSA 10$45.60#97110676
7 Jul 2026PSA 10$70.00#151511308
21 Jun 2026PSA 10$58.00#94568869
6 Jun 2026PSA 9$15.00#94316660
21 May 2026PSA 10$50.00#98887157
17 May 2026PSA 9$13.50#112604286
8 Apr 2026PSA 9$24.99#109124869

Should you grade it?

$49

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 37.7% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case $29); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)37.7%
Expected return$49
PSA 10 best case$29
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex is a Ultra Rare in Twilight Masquerade — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 42 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 422 packs.

Ultra Rare10%42 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)37.7%154 of 408
PSA 951.2%209 of 408
PSA graded so far408
Gem Mint 10154
Total graded408

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$45.60$70$2911.2×
PSA 9$15.00$70$593.7×
PSA 8$12.78$70$613.1×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 408 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1037.7%$46.00
PSA 951.2%$15.00
PSA ≤811%$4.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 38% of 408 PSA-graded Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (154 of 408) — the rest grade lower.

PSA408 gradedPSA 10 · 154 · 38% gem
10154
9209
837
73
61
41
32
CGC428 gradedCGC 10 · 232 · 54% gem
10232
9.546
996
8.520
814

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$4.07
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 1541 sold$46$39$52
PSA 9pop 209$15$13$17
PSA 8pop 37$13$9$15
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$4.07
LPLightly Played$3.61
MPModerately Played$2.62
DMGDamaged$1.31
7-day 9.6%
30-day 11.8%
90-day 5.4%
All-time high$5
All-time low$2
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

11% spread
Cardmarket · cheapest$4
PriceCharting$4
TCGplayer · dearest$4

Currently 11% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dRising +10%
Cross-marketSome gap 11% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

10% cheaper than the US
Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$4
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Sob20
Colorless

During your opponent's next turn, the Defending Pokémon can't retreat.

Torrential Pump100
Water · Colorless · Colorless

You may shuffle 3 Energy attached to this Pokémon into your deck. If you do, this attack also does 120 damage to 1 of your opponent's Benched Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)

Weakness Lightning ×2Retreat 1

As long as this Pokémon is on your Bench, prevent all damage done to this Pokémon by attacks (both yours and your opponent's).

Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

Tera: As long as this Pokémon is on your Bench, prevent all damage done to this Pokémon by attacks (both yours and your opponent's).

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#194
RarityUltra Rare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic, Tera, ex
TypeWater
HP210
WeaknessLightning ×2
Retreat cost1
Card IDsv6-194
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex cards

There are 5 different Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Twilight Masquerade #194 (Ultra Rare).

More from Twilight Masquerade

Frequently asked questions

How much is Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex (Twilight Masquerade #194) worth?

As of 21 August 2026, Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth approximately $4.07 ungraded (near-mint), and around $46 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth around $46 — roughly 11× the raw ungraded value of $4.07.

Should I grade my Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex?

A PSA 10 sells for about $46 versus $4.07 raw — roughly a 11× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex rare?

Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex is a Ultra Rare card from Twilight Masquerade (card #194), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $4.07 ungraded.

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Citation
Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex (Twilight Masquerade #194) — Pokémon market value $4.07, PSA 10 $45.60. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/twilight-masquerade/wellspring-mask-ogerpon-ex-194
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