Greninja ex
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence104 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Greninja ex 198/167 SV06 Twilight Masquerade Ultra Rare Holo$16.00
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Greninja ex 198/167 Ultra Rare Twilight Masquerade Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$19.99
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Pokemon Greninja ex 198/167 Twilight Masquerade Ultra Rare Holo NMNM$18.04
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Greninja ex 198/167 Ultra Rare Twilight Masquerade Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$15.51
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Greninja EX 198/167 Ultra Rare Pokemon TCG Twilight Masquerade NMNM$19.99
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Greninja ex 198/167 Sv06: Twilight Masquerade Pokemon TCG$15.50
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Greninja ex 198/167 Sv06: Twilight Masquerade Holo Pokemon Card$13.00
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Greninja ex 198/167 Sv06: Twilight Masquerade Holo Pokemon TCG - NMNM$15.98
By grade
- Raw$17.95107 sales
- PSA 10$16913 sales
- PSA 9$35.008 sales
- CGC 9$16.808 sales
- CGC 10$49.208 sales
- TAG 8$35.001 sale
- PSA 8$15.001 sale
- CGC 9.6$23.001 sale
From 150 completed sales recorded between May 19, 2025 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 43 graded sales and 5,112,877 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Greninja ex is a Ultra Rare Pokémon card from Twilight Masquerade (#198), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Stage 2 Tera ex Fighting-type Pokémon with 310 HP, evolving from Frogadier, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $15.64 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $160 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 10× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $34.99 | #99466437 ✓ |
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $35.00 | #101042083 ✓ |
| 10 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $37.00 | #148125079 ✓ |
| 7 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $26.54 | #94453889 ✓ |
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $28.00 | #113181666 ✓ |
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $198.00 | #94610556 ✓ |
| 2 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $164.83 | #103177272 ✓ |
| 1 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $40.00 | #128801390 ✓ |
| 28 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $159.39 | #144109667 ✓ |
| 24 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $194.50 | #145297871 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 35.9% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$73); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Greninja ex is a Ultra Rare in Twilight Masquerade — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 42 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 422 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $160.00 | $72 | +$73 | 10.2× |
| PSA 9 | $33.00 | $70 | −$53 | 2.1× |
| PSA 8 | $19.95 | $70 | −$66 | 1.3× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 2,100 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 35.9% | $160.00 |
| PSA 9 | 52.3% | $33.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 11.9% | $16.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 36% of 2,100 PSA-graded Greninja ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (753 of 2,100) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Greninja ex 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 753 | $160$136–$184 | |
| PSA 9pop 1,098 | ✓ 189 cert-verified$33$28–$39 | |
| PSA 8pop 201 | $20$17–$23 | |
| PSA 6pop 8 | $7$7–$7 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
0% spreadCurrently 0% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#10 on the radarGreninja is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Sword & Shield Interest Waining?” · 132↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Frogadier.
You may search your deck for a card and put it into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.
Discard 2 Energy from this Pokémon. This attack does 120 damage to 2 of your opponent's Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)
As long as this Pokémon is on your Bench, prevent all damage done to this Pokémon by attacks (both yours and your opponent's).
Pokémon ex rule: When your Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Tera: As long as this Pokémon is on your Bench, prevent all damage done to this Pokémon by attacks (both yours and your opponent's).
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Greninja ex cards
There are 6 different Greninja ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Twilight Masquerade #198 (Ultra Rare).
More from Twilight Masquerade
Frequently asked questions
How much is Greninja ex (Twilight Masquerade #198) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Greninja ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth approximately $15.64 ungraded (near-mint), and around $160 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Greninja ex?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Greninja ex from Twilight Masquerade is worth around $160 — roughly 10× the raw ungraded value of $15.64.
Should I grade my Greninja ex?
A PSA 10 sells for about $160 versus $15.64 raw — roughly a 10× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Greninja ex rare?
Greninja ex is a Ultra Rare card from Twilight Masquerade (card #198), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $15.64 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Greninja ex (Twilight Masquerade #198) — Pokémon market value $15.64, PSA 10 $160.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/twilight-masquerade/greninja-ex-198<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv6-198" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Greninja ex price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>