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Ho-Oh BREAK XY Black Star Promos #XY154 Pokémon card
Promo

Ho-Oh BREAK

XY Black Star Promos · PR-XY XY154 · Illustrated by 5ban Graphics
150 HPFirePokémonBREAK

Market value · ungraded

$22.33 39.8% · 30d
Confidencemedium
Range$22$40
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 20 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$22.33

What this price is based on

Medium confidence

111 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.

Median · Raw$17.99130 sales
Trimmed mean$17.52outliers removed
Range$3.25$99.99lowest to highest sale
Sales rate22.3/mo134 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 13, 2026eBay — 2016 Pokémon TCG Black Star Promo Ho-oh Break XY154$30.00
  • Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Ho-Oh Break XY154 XY Holo Black Star Promo Card HP Wobbuffet, RaichuHP$55.00
  • Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Ho-Oh Break XY Black Star Promos Card XY154$11.00
  • Aug 11, 2026eBay — Ho-Oh BREAK Holo Promo XY Promos XY154 HP Pokemon Card TCG$10.80
  • Aug 11, 2026eBay — Ho-Oh BREAK XY154 Xy Promos Holo$10.00
  • Aug 9, 2026eBay — Ho-Oh BREAK XY154 Holo Rare - XY Black Star Promos - Pokémon TCG - LPLP$19.99
  • Aug 9, 2026eBay — Pokemon Ho-Oh BREAK XY154 XY Promos LPLP$18.00
  • Aug 9, 2026eBay — Ho-Oh BREAK XY154 XY Holo$19.99

By grade

  • Raw$17.99130 sales
  • PSA 8$70.001 sale
  • PSA 7$99.241 sale
  • PSA 6$22.501 sale
  • PSA 10$5251 sale

From 134 completed sales recorded between May 5, 2026 and Aug 13, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 4 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Ho-Oh BREAK is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY154), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a BREAK Fire-type Pokémon with 150 HP, evolving from Ho-Oh. Its current blended market value is $22.33 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $218 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 10× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 9? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$22.33
Period high
$38.50
Period low
$4.45
Change
173.0%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
10 Aug 2026PSA 6$22.50#161136798
27 Jul 2026PSA 7$99.24#71129611
7 Jun 2026PSA 8$70.00#148617274
4 May 2026PSA 8$61.00#106677595
4 May 2026PSA 9$179.05#69002062
14 Apr 2026PSA 6$69.00#124802218
19 Mar 2026PSA 6$33.00#146107881
7 Mar 2026PSA 8$63.90#99239019
2 Feb 2026PSA 6$20.40#116915124
14 Jan 2026PSA 7$32.43#98953550

Should you grade it?

+$124

Raw $22.33 → graded PSA 10$218.23, after ~$72.17 grading fee → 9.8× the raw value.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$218.23$72+$1249.8×
PSA 9$179.00$72+$858.0×
PSA 8$65.50$71$272.9×

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Real outcome depends on the grade achieved; PSA 10 is best-case.

Copies for sale right now

Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.

All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$22.28
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10$218$218$218
PSA 9✓ 6 cert-verified$179$125$179
PSA 82 sold$66$56$75
PSA 7$30$26$35
PSA 6✓ 6 cert-verified$23
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$22.33
LPLightly Played$14.67
MPModerately Played$7.76
HPHeavily Played$5.16
DMGDamaged$3.53
7-day 0.6%
30-day 8.7%
90-day 19.6%
All-time high$22
All-time low$16
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost

For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $23 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.

Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

79% spread
Cardmarket · cheapest$22
PriceCharting$28
TCGplayer · dearest$40

Currently 79% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFalling -40%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 79% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

44% cheaper than the US
Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$22

🔥 Trending in the community

#174 on the radar
Mentions this week1

Ho Oh is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: Dex Binder - Gen 1 Complete · 53↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Ho-Oh.

Shining Flame160
Fire · Fire · Fire · Colorless · Colorless

This Pokémon can't use Shining Flame during your next turn.

BREAK Evolution Rule: Ho-Oh BREAK retains the attacks, Abilities, Weakness, Resistance, and Retreat Cost of its previous Evolution.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Rainbow PokémonGEN IILegendary

Legends claim this POKéMON flies the world's skies con­ tinuously on its magnificent seven- colored wings.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#XY154
RarityPromo
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBREAK
TypeFire
HP150
Evolves fromHo-Oh
National Pokédex#250
Card IDxyp-XY154
SourceAggregated marketplaces

More from XY Black Star Promos

Frequently asked questions

How much is Ho-Oh BREAK (XY Black Star Promos #XY154) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Ho-Oh BREAK from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $22.33 ungraded (near-mint), and around $218 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Ho-Oh BREAK?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ho-Oh BREAK from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $218 — roughly 10× the raw ungraded value of $22.33.

Should I grade my Ho-Oh BREAK?

A PSA 10 sells for about $218 versus $22.33 raw — roughly a 10× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Ho-Oh BREAK rare?

Ho-Oh BREAK is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY154), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $22.33 ungraded.

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Citation
Ho-Oh BREAK (XY Black Star Promos #XY154) — Pokémon market value $22.33, PSA 10 $218.23. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/ho-oh-break-xy154
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