Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence116 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Pikachu XY95 Black Star Promo Holo 2016 Pokémon TCG Lightly PlayedLP$110
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Pokémon Pikachu TCG XY95 XY Black Star Promo Holo Card Near Mint ConditionNM$81.99
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Pokémon Pikachu TCG XY95 XY Black Star Promo Holo Card Near Mint ConditionNM$136
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokémon Pikachu TCG XY95 XY Black Star Promo Holo Card Near MM/LP ConditionLP$93.00
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokémon Pikachu TCG XY95 XY Black Star Promo Holo Card 🔥🔥$90.00
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — NM/LP - Pokémon TCG Pikachu XY95 Promo Holo XY Black Star Promos EnglishLP$93.12
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Pokémon Pikachu TCG XY95 XY Black Star Promo Holo Card Near Mint ConditionNM$112
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG PIKACHU XY95 BLACK STAR PROMO PSA GRADED 8 NEAR MINT englishNM$291
By grade
- Raw$90.00150 sales
- PSA 7$20014 sales
- PSA 8$29013 sales
- PSA 5$1044 sales
- PSA 6$1303 sales
- PSA 9$1,2372 sales
- PSA 3$64.001 sale
- CGC 8$2361 sale
From 192 completed sales recorded between Jan 5, 2026 and Aug 14, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 41 graded sales and 1,307,100 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Pikachu is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY95), illustrated by Kanako Eo. It's a Basic Lightning-type Pokémon with 60 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $175.55 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $1,108 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 6× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 9? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history22 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $233 · CGC 8 · 26 Jul 2026
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 2.5% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$817); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Pikachu is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $1,108.33 | $116 | +$817 | 6.3× |
| PSA 9 | $1,000.00 | $90 | +$734 | 5.7× |
| PSA 8 | $250.00 | $72 | +$2 | 1.4× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,241 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 2.5% | $1,108.00 |
| PSA 9 | 10.2% | $1,000.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 87.3% | $176.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 2% of 1,241 PSA-graded Pikachu copies are a gem-mint 10 (31 of 1,241) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Pikachu 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 31 | $1,108$1,108–$1,108 | |
| PSA 9pop 127 | ✓ 12 cert-verified$1,000$400–$1,000 | |
| PSA 8pop 364 | $250$213–$288 | |
| PSA 7pop 286 | $187$159–$214 | |
| PSA 6pop 232 | 4 sold$124$105–$143 | |
| PSA 5pop 127 | ✓ 6 cert-verified$100$97–$131 | |
| PSA 3pop 17 | $44$44–$44 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 5 slab of this card sells for about $118 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
86% spreadCurrently 86% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
46% cheaper than the US🔥 Trending in the community
#1 on the radarPikachu is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “My girlfriend and I broke up” · 2537↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Heal 30 damage from both Active Pokémon.
Flip a coin. If heads, this attack does 20 more damage.
“It has small electric sacs on both its cheeks. If threatened, it looses electric charges from the sacs.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Pikachu cards
There are 9 different Pikachu printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY95 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Pikachu (XY Black Star Promos #XY95) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Pikachu from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $175.55 ungraded (near-mint), and around $1,108 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Pikachu?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Pikachu from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $1,108 — roughly 6× the raw ungraded value of $175.55.
Should I grade my Pikachu?
A PSA 10 sells for about $1,108 versus $175.55 raw — roughly a 6× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Pikachu rare?
Pikachu is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY95), illustrated by Kanako Eo. Its current blended market value is $175.55 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Pikachu (XY Black Star Promos #XY95) — Pokémon market value $175.55, PSA 10 $1108.33. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/pikachu-xy95<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY95" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Pikachu price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>