Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence7 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.
Recent Raw sales
- Jul 31, 2026eBay — Pokemon Moltres XY127 XY Fates Collide STAFF PROMO NEAR MINTNM$270
- Jul 28, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Moltres XY127 XY Fates Collide Staff Promo NM/LPLP$200
- Jul 19, 2026eBay — Pokemon Moltres XY127 XY Fates Collide STAFF PROMO NEAR MINTNM$250
- Jun 24, 2026eBay — Pokemon - Legendary Birds Black Star Promo - Moltres, Articuno & Zappos - Sealed$90.00
- Jun 22, 2026eBay — Pokemon XY Black Star 2016 Fates Collide Moltres stamped promo XY 127$76.00
- Jun 6, 2026eBay — Pokemon XY Fates Collide Moltres Promo Card Stamped 2016 XY127$50.00
- Jun 1, 2026eBay — Pokemon Moltres, XY127, SEALED PROMO PACK, XY Fates Collide Stamped Promo, 2016$105
By grade
- Raw$1057 sales
- PSA 8$90.005 sales
- PSA 9$1803 sales
- CGC 8$1083 sales
- PSA 10$2,0002 sales
- PSA 7$3001 sale
From 21 completed sales recorded between May 12, 2026 and Jul 31, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 14 graded sales and 1,306,095 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Moltres is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY127), illustrated by OOYAMA. It's a Basic Fire-type Pokémon with 120 HP, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $55.67 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $650 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 12× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history15 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $115 · Raw · 25 Jun 2026
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 6.9% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$508); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Moltres is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $650.00 | $86 | +$508 | 11.7× |
| PSA 9 | $168.00 | $72 | +$41 | 3.0× |
| PSA 8 | $75.00 | $71 | −$51 | 1.3× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 233 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 6.9% | $650.00 |
| PSA 9 | 35.2% | $168.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 57.9% | $56.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 7% of 233 PSA-graded Moltres copies are a gem-mint 10 (16 of 233) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Moltres 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Moltres (Prerelease) XY127 Holo Promo XY Promo Pokemon Lightly PlayedRaw · eBay$42.99
Moltres (Prerelease) Holo Promo XY Promos XY127 "LP-NM"Raw · eBay$60.00
Pokémon Company MOLTRES XY127 XY Holo Promo Prerelease 120 HP Pokémon TCGRaw · eBay$100.00
Moltres - XY127 - Fates Collide Stamped - XY Black Star Promo - Pokemon CardRaw · eBay$120.00
The Pokemon Company Moltres XY127 Prerelease Promo Holo English 120 HPRaw · eBay$200.00Cheapest raw copy $42.99 — 23% below our estimate of $56
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 16 | $650$553–$747 | |
| PSA 9pop 82 | ✓ 18 cert-verified$168$141–$195 | |
| PSA 8pop 95 | $75$64–$86 | |
| PSA 7pop 22 | $50$43–$57 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $50 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
24% spreadCurrently 24% cheaper on Cardmarket than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
83% cheaper than the US🔥 Trending in the community
#60 on the radarMoltres is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Double Swirl Blaine’s Moltres I just picked up” · 7↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
You may do 40 more damage. If you do, this Pokémon does 20 damage to itself.
“One of the legendary bird Pokémon. It is said that its appearance indicates the coming of spring.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Known as the legendary bird of fire. Every flap of its wings creates a dazzling flash of flames.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Moltres cards
There are 9 different Moltres printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY127 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Moltres (XY Black Star Promos #XY127) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Moltres from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $55.67 ungraded (near-mint), and around $650 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Moltres?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Moltres from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $650 — roughly 12× the raw ungraded value of $55.67.
Should I grade my Moltres?
A PSA 10 sells for about $650 versus $55.67 raw — roughly a 12× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Moltres rare?
Moltres is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY127), illustrated by OOYAMA. Its current blended market value is $55.67 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Moltres (XY Black Star Promos #XY127) — Pokémon market value $55.67, PSA 10 $650.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/moltres-xy127<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY127" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Moltres price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>