White Flare pull rates
Modelled odds for a single White Flare booster pack. CardTrack does not open packs: the pack is modelled as 5 commons · 3 uncommons · 1 reverse holo · 1 hit slot, with the hit slot weighted Rare 60 : Holo / V / ex 28 : Ultra Rare 10 : Secret / Rainbow 2.5 across the rarities this set actually prints. The card counts, the pack price and the chase-card prices below are real; the percentages are the model.
Hit-slot odds by rarity model
The chance the pack's single “hit” slot lands on each rarity, under the model, normalised across the rarities printed in this set. “Each” splits that chance evenly across the cards at the rarity — the model's assumption, not a measured print ratio. The card counts are real.
Chase cards & their slot
The set's most valuable pulls at current market price (asking, not sold), with the rarity slot each comes from.
What is real here, and what is modelled
Real: the number of cards printed at each rarity (38 common, 33 uncommon, 10 rare, 6 holo, 77 ultra, 9 secret); the pack price (cheapest current booster-pack market listing); every chase card's market price.
Modelled: the pack structure, the hit-slot weights, and the even split within a rarity. CardTrack has no opened-pack dataset, and no official rates exist to calibrate against — so treat every percentage as an assumption you can see, not a measurement. The same model drives the pack simulator and the modelled average on best-upside sets.
Frequently asked questions
Are these White Flare pull rates official?
No. Neither The Pokémon Company nor CardTrack publishes measured pull rates for White Flare. The percentages here come from CardTrack's pack model — fixed weights for the pack's single hit slot (Rare 60 : Holo / V / ex 28 : Ultra Rare 10 : Secret / Rainbow 2.5) — applied to the real number of cards this set prints at each rarity.
What are the odds of pulling a specific White Flare chase card?
Under the model, a rarity's hit-slot chance is split evenly across every card printed at that rarity, so each Secret / Rainbow card gets the same odds. Real print runs are not even and vary by product, which is why CardTrack shows the tier, not a per-card rate.
What on this page is real data?
The card counts per rarity (173 cards in the set), the pack price (cheapest current booster-pack market listing), and every chase card's market price. Market prices are current asking prices, not completed sales.