Best upside Pokémon sets
Which sets have the biggest ceiling? Every set with a current pack price, ranked by upside — the market price of its single most valuable card divided by the price of a booster pack. This is a best-case number, not an average: it tells you the size of the jackpot, not your odds of hitting it. Top of the list: Prismatic Evolutions at 104×.
Sets without a current pack price 11
CardTrack has no sealed listing for these sets, so their pack price is a flat era estimate and a multiple built on it would be invented. Their top cards are real; the ratio is not, so they are not ranked.
- Deoxys — top card Rayquaza ☆
- Team Rocket Returns — top card Mudkip ☆
- Skyridge — top card Charizard
- Pitch Black — top card Mega Darkrai ex
- Crystal Guardians — top card Celebi ☆
- Aquapolis — top card Lugia
- Neo Revelation — top card Shining Gyarados
- Team Magma vs Team Aqua — top card Suicune ex
- Expedition Base Set — top card Mew
- Dragon — top card Charizard
- Legendary Collection — top card Charizard
How upside is calculated — and what is modelled
For every set we take the single most valuable card in it, priced the same way as its card page (Blended from eBay sold results, Fanatics auctions, TCGplayer and Cardmarket, updated daily.) and divide it by the cheapest current booster-pack market listing for that set — an asking price, not a sale. A set showing 10,000× means its best possible pull is worth 10,000 times the price of the pack — not that you should expect it.
The “modelled avg” column is different in kind: it is the mean value of 400 packs opened by CardTrack's pack model, whose hit slot is weighted 60 : 28 : 10 : 2.5 across rare, holo, ultra and secret (vintage 67 : 33). CardTrack does not open packs and no official pull rates exist, so that average is a model output, not a measurement — see pack pull rates for the assumptions per set, and open packs to see what the model returns.