Best Fossil Cards to Grade
The Fossil cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Gengar at an expected +$64.
Ranked by expected profit 29
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$64 per submission: 7% of 2,784 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,096), and a PSA 9 ($200) still clears the $148 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $37 | $200 | $1,096 | $111 | +$949 | 7% | +$64 | 2,784 high |
| 2 | Expected +$35 per submission: 1% of 7,271 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($9,000), and a PSA 9 ($133) still clears the $740 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $31 | $133 | $9,000 | $709 | +$8,260 | 1% | +$35 | 7,271 high |
| 3 | Expected +$32 per submission: 2.5% of 4,924 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,950), and a PSA 9 ($211) still clears the $269 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $30 | $211 | $1,950 | $239 | +$1,682 | 2.5% | +$32 | 4,924 high |
| 4 | Expected +$32 per submission: 6.6% of 3,564 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,050), and a PSA 9 ($150) still clears the $141 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $31 | $150 | $1,050 | $110 | +$909 | 6.6% | +$32 | 3,564 high |
| 5 | Expected +$20 per submission: 0.4% of 13,372 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,720), and a PSA 9 ($1,100) still clears the $606 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $200 | $1,100 | $3,720 | $406 | +$3,114 | 0.4% | +$20 | 13,372 high |
| 6 | Expected +$16 per submission: 0.4% of 16,340 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($6,500), and a PSA 9 ($800) still clears the $839 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $155 | $800 | $6,500 | $684 | +$5,661 | 0.4% | +$16 | 16,340 high |
| 7 | Expected +$10 per submission: 2.1% of 5,410 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,274), and a PSA 9 ($185) still clears the $282 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $40 | $185 | $2,274 | $242 | +$1,993 | 2.1% | +$10 | 5,410 high |
| 8 | Expected +$2 per submission: 8.7% of 1,488 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($699), and only a PSA 10 covers the $98 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $11 | $56 | $699 | $87 | +$601 | 8.7% | +$2 | 1,488 high |
| 9 | Expected loss −$4 per submission: 0.7% of 7,267 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,888), and a PSA 9 ($265) still clears the $442 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $34 | $265 | $3,888 | $408 | +$3,446 | 0.7% | −$4 | 7,267 high |
| 10 | Expected loss −$15 per submission: 8.6% of 1,474 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($483), and only a PSA 10 covers the $94 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $9 | $59 | $483 | $85 | +$389 | 8.6% | −$15 | 1,474 high |
| 11 | Expected loss −$16 per submission: 0.7% of 9,581 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($5,500), and a PSA 9 ($255) still clears the $737 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $63 | $255 | $5,500 | $674 | +$4,763 | 0.7% | −$16 | 9,581 high |
| 12 | Expected loss −$16 per submission: 1.1% of 8,593 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,198), and a PSA 9 ($243) still clears the $461 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $60 | $243 | $3,198 | $401 | +$2,737 | 1.1% | −$16 | 8,593 high |
| 13 | Expected loss −$16 per submission: 1.4% of 5,418 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,515), and only a PSA 10 covers the $421 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $27 | $102 | $2,515 | $394 | +$2,094 | 1.4% | −$16 | 5,418 high |
| 14 | Expected loss −$16 per submission: 13.3% of 752 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($355), and only a PSA 10 covers the $97 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $13 | $51 | $355 | $84 | +$258 | 13.3% | −$16 | 752 high |
| 15 | Expected loss −$16 per submission: 15.6% of 643 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($300), and only a PSA 10 covers the $90 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $50 | $300 | $83 | +$210 | 15.6% | −$16 | 643 high |
| 16 | Expected loss −$17 per submission: 2.8% of 6,004 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,100), and only a PSA 10 covers the $131 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $20 | $93 | $1,100 | $111 | +$969 | 2.8% | −$17 | 6,004 high |
| 17 | Expected loss −$18 per submission: 11.1% of 1,266 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($406), and only a PSA 10 covers the $92 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $8 | $37 | $406 | $84 | +$314 | 11.1% | −$18 | 1,266 high |
| 18 | Expected loss −$20 per submission: 1.9% of 6,991 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,139), and a PSA 9 ($144) still clears the $148 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $37 | $144 | $1,139 | $111 | +$991 | 1.9% | −$20 | 6,991 high |
| 19 | Expected loss −$20 per submission: 9.7% of 867 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($500), and only a PSA 10 covers the $94 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $9 | $35 | $500 | $85 | +$406 | 9.7% | −$20 | 867 high |
| 20 | Expected loss −$21 per submission: 0.4% of 13,130 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($6,000), and a PSA 9 ($210) still clears the $703 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $24 | $210 | $6,000 | $679 | +$5,297 | 0.4% | −$21 | 13,130 high |
| 21 | Expected loss −$26 per submission: 10.3% of 793 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($327), and only a PSA 10 covers the $94 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $11 | $42 | $327 | $83 | +$233 | 10.3% | −$26 | 793 high |
| 22 | Expected loss −$26 per submission: 13.1% of 648 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($241), and only a PSA 10 covers the $88 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $50 | $241 | $82 | +$153 | 13.1% | −$26 | 648 high |
| 23 | Expected loss −$33 per submission: 0.7% of 6,505 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,700), and a PSA 9 ($140) still clears the $445 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $39 | $140 | $3,700 | $406 | +$3,255 | 0.7% | −$33 | 6,505 high |
| 24 | Expected loss −$33 per submission: 13.7% of 642 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($194), and only a PSA 10 covers the $88 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $48 | $194 | $82 | +$106 | 13.7% | −$33 | 642 high |
| 25 | Expected loss −$34 per submission: 0.5% of 5,485 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($4,500), and a PSA 9 ($170) still clears the $454 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $40 | $170 | $4,500 | $414 | +$4,046 | 0.5% | −$34 | 5,485 high |
| 26 | Expected loss −$34 per submission: 12% of 715 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($254), and only a PSA 10 covers the $90 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $43 | $254 | $83 | +$164 | 12% | −$34 | 715 high |
| 27 | Expected loss −$37 per submission: 11.4% of 919 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($232), and only a PSA 10 covers the $90 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $8 | $45 | $232 | $82 | +$141 | 11.4% | −$37 | 919 high |
| 28 | Expected loss −$39 per submission: 3.5% of 8,320 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($550), and only a PSA 10 covers the $97 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $12 | $60 | $550 | $85 | +$453 | 3.5% | −$39 | 8,320 high |
| 29 | Expected loss −$41 per submission: 7.8% of 1,386 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($173), and only a PSA 10 covers the $92 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $10 | $85 | $173 | $82 | +$81 | 7.8% | −$41 | 1,386 high |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-09-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.
How to read the Fossil ranking
Every Fossil card listed here clears one bar: its PSA 10 price beats its raw price by more than the cost of grading it. 29 cards from the set pass. 29 of them (100%) have a gem-rate sample of at least ten graded copies in the population reports, and 8 of those keep a positive expected value once every grade outcome is weighted by how often the card actually receives it.
The order is expected profit, not the PSA 10 best case, which rewards the widest raw-to-gem gap whether the card gems one time in two or one in fifty. Here the top row, the Gengar from Fossil, gems 7% of the time across 2,784 graded copies: +$64 is what a long run of submissions would average, $949 is what one lucky copy returns.
The median gem rate across the sampled Fossil cards is 3.5%. Roughly one submitted copy in 29 came back PSA 10, and most rows here need that PSA 10 to cover raw price plus fee, so the gem rate decides whether a submission pays. Of the 29 ranked cards, 14 still cover raw price plus fee at PSA 9, 15 need a 10 to break even and 21 lose money on expectation. 29 rest on a hundred or more graded copies.
Before you submit a Fossil card
Grading pays on condition. The four things every grader scores — centering, corners, edges and surface — can be checked at home before paying a fee, and a copy that is visibly off-centre or has a whitened corner will not gem whatever the population says. Those gem rates come from a self-selected population of clean copies, so a random copy does worse.
The cost column assumes a PSA submission at the tier covering the card's PSA 10 value, fees as of 2026-09-26, and raw is CardTrack's blended near-mint price, not a sale of your copy: pay more, or hold a lighter copy, and the break-even moves against you. Test a card with your own numbers in the ROI calculator, see the printings that fail the bar on the Fossil card list, or see how gem-mint premiums run across the whole catalogue on the PSA premium index.