Best XY Cards to Grade
The XY cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Xerneas-EX at an expected +$1,136.
Ranked by expected profit 13
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$1,136 per submission: 2.2% of 591 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($49,000), and a PSA 9 ($600) still clears the $2,581 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $72 | $600 | $49,000 | $2,509 | +$46,419 | 2.2% | +$1,136 | 591 high |
| 2 | Expected +$470 per submission: 1.3% of 1,349 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($17,812), and a PSA 9 ($1,300) still clears the $1,298 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $101 | $1,300 | $17,812 | $1,197 | +$16,514 | 1.3% | +$470 | 1,349 high |
| 3 | Expected +$320 per submission: 2.3% of 971 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($4,411), and a PSA 9 ($1,075) still clears the $459 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $46 | $1,075 | $4,411 | $413 | +$3,952 | 2.3% | +$320 | 971 high |
| 4 | Expected +$123 per submission: 0.8% of 533 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($646), and a PSA 9 ($600) still clears the $136 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $50 | $600 | $646 | $86 | +$510 | 0.8% | +$123 | 533 high |
| 5 | Expected +$102 per submission: 29.6% of 890 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($560), and only a PSA 10 covers the $94 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $8 | $60 | $560 | $86 | +$466 | 29.6% | +$102 | 890 high |
| 6 | Expected +$34 per submission: 17.8% of 427 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($498), and only a PSA 10 covers the $97 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $12 | $85 | $498 | $85 | +$402 | 17.8% | +$34 | 427 high |
| 7 | Expected +$24 per submission: 26.9% of 376 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($350), and only a PSA 10 covers the $94 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $11 | $40 | $350 | $83 | +$255 | 26.9% | +$24 | 376 high |
| 8 | Expected +$22 per submission: 9.6% of 1,586 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($710), and a PSA 9 ($149) still clears the $95 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $8 | $149 | $710 | $87 | +$615 | 9.6% | +$22 | 1,586 high |
| 9 | Expected +$16 per submission: 1.4% of 217 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($284), and a PSA 9 ($190) still clears the $108 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $25 | $190 | $284 | $83 | +$176 | 1.4% | +$16 | 217 high |
| 10 | Expected loss −$15 per submission: 18.9% of 206 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($300), and only a PSA 10 covers the $90 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $23 | $300 | $83 | +$210 | 18.9% | −$15 | 206 high |
| 11 | Expected loss −$28 per submission: 7.3% of 109 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($646), and only a PSA 10 covers the $98 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $12 | $45 | $646 | $86 | +$547 | 7.3% | −$28 | 109 high |
| 12 | Expected loss −$46 per submission: 16.4% of 73 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($150), and only a PSA 10 covers the $86 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence medium on that sample. | $5 | $26 | $150 | $81 | +$63 | 16.4% | −$46 | 73 medium |
| 13 | Expected loss −$49 per submission: 16.3% of 92 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($140), and only a PSA 10 covers the $89 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence medium on that sample. | $8 | $35 | $140 | $81 | +$50 | 16.3% | −$49 | 92 medium |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-09-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.
How to read the XY ranking
Every XY card listed here clears one bar: its PSA 10 price beats its raw price by more than the cost of grading it. 13 cards from the set pass. 13 of them (100%) have a gem-rate sample of at least ten graded copies in the population reports, and 9 of those keep a positive expected value once every grade outcome is weighted by how often the card actually receives it.
The order is expected profit, not the PSA 10 best case, which rewards the widest raw-to-gem gap whether the card gems one time in two or one in fifty. Here the top row, the Xerneas-EX from XY, gems 2.2% of the time across 591 graded copies: +$1,136 is what a long run of submissions would average, $46,419 is what one lucky copy returns.
The median gem rate across the sampled XY cards is 9.6%. Roughly one submitted copy in 10 came back PSA 10, and most rows here need that PSA 10 to cover raw price plus fee, so the gem rate decides whether a submission pays. Of the 13 ranked cards, 6 still cover raw price plus fee at PSA 9, 7 need a 10 to break even and 4 lose money on expectation. 11 rest on a hundred or more graded copies.
Before you submit a XY card
Grading pays on condition. The four things every grader scores — centering, corners, edges and surface — can be checked at home before paying a fee, and a copy that is visibly off-centre or has a whitened corner will not gem whatever the population says. Those gem rates come from a self-selected population of clean copies, so a random copy does worse.
The cost column assumes a PSA submission at the tier covering the card's PSA 10 value, fees as of 2026-09-26, and raw is CardTrack's blended near-mint price, not a sale of your copy: pay more, or hold a lighter copy, and the break-even moves against you. Test a card with your own numbers in the ROI calculator, see the printings that fail the bar on the XY card list, or see how gem-mint premiums run across the whole catalogue on the PSA premium index.