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Check your printing3 different Blacephalon printings exist — is this your card? SM Black Star Promos #SM221
Blacephalon SM Black Star Promos #SM221 Pokémon card
Promo

BlacephalonPR-SM SM221 · SM Black Star Promos Price & Value

2017 · Illustrated by Shin Nagasawa
110 HPPsychicPokémonBasicUltra Beast

Market value · Near Mint

$15.40
  • PSA 8$101 sold · 90d · modelled · pop 18
  • PSA 9$19pop 24
  • PSA 10$140modelled · pop 5
LiquidityOccasional sales
Confidence61 · medium4 raw sales in 90 days, closely clustered, last sale 18 days ago.
Sales · 90 days7
No completed sales recorded yet. This is a marketplace asking price, which usually sits above what copies actually sell for. It becomes a sold-based price as soon as this card starts trading. eBay + Fanatics + TCGplayer. Updated 9 September 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

Make sure you have the right card

Every price on this page is for SM Black Star Promos #PR-SM SM221, 2017. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.

Holofoilpriced on this page
The illustration window

The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo

See the completed sales behind these figures

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Blacephalon is a Promo Pokémon card from SM Black Star Promos (#SM221, released 2017), illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. It's a Basic Ultra Beast Psychic-type Pokémon with 110 HP, weak to Darkness ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 9 September 2026.

Blacephalon price history & recent sales

Price history · Raw

1 Oct 20239 Sept 2026
Latest
$15.40
Period high
$17.08
Period low
$4.13
Change
272.9% · 3Y
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Verified sales history

Medium confidence

4 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee. · ModerateOccasional sales

Range$10.00$21.61Rawlowest to highest sale
Sales2 / 7last 30d / 90d, every grade
Sales rate1.7/mo16 recorded, every grade
Latest sale18d agoRaw4 in 90 days
Demand43/100sales rate, trend & buzz
Last sold
$22
Raw · 23 Aug 2026
Typical Raw
$14
Sales · last 90 days
5
How often it sells
Occasional sales
every 33 days · 2 in last 30 days

Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.

Last sold price
$6
CGC 6.5 · 20 Jul 2026
Typical CGC 6.5
$6
Sales · last 90 days
2
How often it sells
No sales in the last 30 days
0 in last 30 days

Real completed sale prices from Fanatics Collect — weekly and premier auctions plus marketplace Buy It Now sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title.

By grade

  • Raw$13.695 sales · 4 in 90d, occasional
  • PSA 9$24.005 sales
  • PSA 8$10.001 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
  • PSA 7$31.951 sale
  • PSA 10$1401 sale
  • CGC 8.5$40.551 sale
  • CGC 6.5$6.001 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
  • CGC 6$8.401 sale · 1 in 90d, rare

Is Blacephalon worth grading?

Not worth grading

Most copies come back PSA 9worth $19 against the $85 you put in, a $66 loss. The money is in the 1 in 2 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $19$140. Averaged over every outcome that is $51 a card.

You put in$85card + fees
Most likelyPSA 9$19 ($66)
Break even atPSA 10or better
Best case1 in 6PSA 10 · $140
Average per card$51across every grade

That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →

These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.

Compare graders, and the live market

The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.

  • PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
  • Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
  • Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
  • Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
  • Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
  • Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
Trader plan and above

The odds

Blacephalon is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.

PSA 10 (gem mint)8.2%5 of 61
PSA 939.3%24 of 61
PSA graded so far61
Gem Mint 105
Total graded61

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$140.00$71+$539.1×
PSA 9$19.11$70$661.2×
PSA 8$10.00$70$750.6×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 44 PSA-graded copies:

OutcomeChanceValue
PSA 1015.9%$140.00
PSA 9typical40.9%$19.11
PSA 836.4%$10.00
PSA 72.3%$8.00
PSA 64.5%$8.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates

5 of the 61 PSA-graded Blacephalon copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 8.2%. The rest graded lower.

PSA61 gradedPSA 10 · 5 · 8.2% gem

Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 61.

1058.2%
92439%
81830%
7813%
658.2%
411.6%

Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Blacephalon 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$15.40
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 5modelled$140$140$140
PSA 9pop 24$19$16$22
PSA 8pop 18modelled$10$10$10
PSA 7pop 8modelled$8$8$8
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). “Modelled” = no verified graded sale behind the figure; it is derived from the raw price and reference guides, so treat it as a ceiling to check, not a price to quote. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · NM = our estimate, lower conditions use TCGplayer condition ratios · how we price played copies
NMNear Mint$15.40
LPLightly Played$12.10
MPModerately Played$9.32
HPHeavily Played$8.22
7-dayflat
30-dayflat
90-dayflat
All-time high$15
All-time low$9
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Fireworks Bomb
Psychic · Colorless

Put 4 damage counters on your opponent's Pokémon in any way you like. If your opponent has exactly 3 Prize cards remaining, put 12 damage counters on them instead.

Weakness Darkness ×2Resistance Fighting -20Retreat 2

It slithers toward people. Then, without warning, it triggers the explosion of its own head. It's apparently one kind of Ultra Beast.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Fireworks PokémonGEN VII

It slithers toward people. Then, without warning, it triggers the explosion of its own head. It’s apparently one kind of Ultra Beast.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#SM221
RarityPromo
Released2017
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic, Ultra Beast
TypePsychic
HP110
WeaknessDarkness ×2
ResistanceFighting -20
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#806
Card IDsmp-SM221
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Blacephalon cards

There are 3 different Blacephalon printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is SM Black Star Promos #SM221 (Promo).

More from SM Black Star Promos

Frequently asked questions

How much is Blacephalon (SM Black Star Promos #SM221) worth?

As of 9 September 2026, Blacephalon from SM Black Star Promos is worth approximately $15.40 ungraded (near-mint), and around $140 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Blacephalon?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Blacephalon from SM Black Star Promos is worth around $140 — roughly 9× the raw ungraded value of $15.40.

Should I grade my Blacephalon?

Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.

Is Blacephalon rare?

Blacephalon is a Promo card from SM Black Star Promos (card #SM221).

How do I know if my Blacephalon is Holofoil?

The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Blacephalon (SM Black Star Promos #SM221) — Pokémon market value $15.40, PSA 10 $140.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/sm-black-star-promos/blacephalon-sm221
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=smp-SM221" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Blacephalon price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>