Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence8 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
Recent Raw sales
- Jul 4, 2026eBay — Pokémon SM150 Raikou Rev/Holo Sun & Moon Black Star Promos, as new.$17.36
- Jun 21, 2026eBay — Raikou SM150 LP Holo HTF MISCUT OFC Lost Thunder Stamp Black Star Pokemon Promo!LP$79.99
- Jun 21, 2026eBay — Raikou HGSS19 Promo HGSS Black Star Promos Pokemon DamagedDM$11.99
- Jun 18, 2026eBay — Raikou GX SM121 Black Star Promo Pokemon 2018 Holo LPLP$8.50
- Jun 9, 2026eBay — Raikou HGSS19 Promo HGSS Black Star Promos Pokemon Heavily PlayedHP$9.15
- Jun 1, 2026eBay — RAIKOU 2018 POKEMON SUN & MOON HOLO BLACK STAR PROMO LOST THUNDER #SM150 Q5677$10.50
- May 27, 2026eBay — Pokemon Card Raikou SM150 Black Star Promo Pre Release Holo Lost Thunder$16.99
- May 24, 2026eBay — HP+ Raikou HGSS19 Promo HGSS Black Star Promos Pokemon Noriko HottaHP$19.99
By grade
- Raw$14.498 sales
- PSA 9$63.413 sales
- CGC 9$2501 sale
From 12 completed sales recorded between Mar 26, 2026 and Jul 28, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 4 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Raikou is a Promo Pokémon card from SM Black Star Promos (#SM150), illustrated by nagimiso. It's a Basic Lightning-type Pokémon with 120 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $17.57 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $394 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 22× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history8 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $80 · Raw · 21 Jun 2026
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 7.9% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$303); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Raikou is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $394.37 | $74 | +$303 | 22.4× |
| PSA 9 | $125.00 | $71 | +$36 | 7.1× |
| PSA 8 | $117.25 | $71 | +$29 | 6.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 178 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 7.9% | $394.00 |
| PSA 9 | 50.6% | $125.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 41.6% | $18.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 8% of 178 PSA-graded Raikou copies are a gem-mint 10 (14 of 178) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Raikou 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 14 | $394$394–$450 | |
| PSA 9pop 90 | $125$125–$125 | |
| PSA 8pop 46 | $117$100–$135 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#67 on the radarRaikou is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Major International Mail Day” · 31↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
If you have any Lightning Energy cards in the Lost Zone, this attack does 90 more damage.
“This rough Pokémon stores energy inside its body, then sweeps across the land, shooting off electricity.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
The rain clouds it carries let it fire thunderbolts at will. They say that it descended with lightning.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Raikou cards
There are 9 different Raikou printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is SM Black Star Promos #SM150 (Promo).
More from SM Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Raikou (SM Black Star Promos #SM150) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Raikou from SM Black Star Promos is worth approximately $17.57 ungraded (near-mint), and around $394 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Raikou?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Raikou from SM Black Star Promos is worth around $394 — roughly 22× the raw ungraded value of $17.57.
Should I grade my Raikou?
A PSA 10 sells for about $394 versus $17.57 raw — roughly a 22× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Raikou rare?
Raikou is a Promo card from SM Black Star Promos (card #SM150), illustrated by nagimiso. Its current blended market value is $17.57 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Raikou (SM Black Star Promos #SM150) — Pokémon market value $17.57, PSA 10 $394.37. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/sm-black-star-promos/raikou-sm150<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=smp-SM150" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Raikou price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>