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Check your printing9 different Zapdos printings exist — is this your card? SM Black Star Promos #SM159
Zapdos SM Black Star Promos #SM159 Pokémon card
Promo

Zapdos

SM Black Star Promos · PR-SM SM159 · Illustrated by Misa Tsutsui
110 HPLightningPokémonBasic

Market value · ungraded

$100.00
Confidencehigh
Sales · 90 days2
Sold prices, not asking. Fanatics + TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$100

What this price is based on

Low confidence

Only 1 sale in the last 90 days.

Median · Raw$22.802 sales
Trimmed mean$21.00outliers removed
Range$21.00$24.59lowest to highest sale
Sales rate0.7/mo4 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Jul 13, 2026eBay — Zapdos SM159 Black Star Promo Holographic Pokémon TCG$21.00
  • May 16, 2026eBay — Zapdos - SM159 - Black Star Promo - Pokemon Card - VLP$24.59

By grade

  • Raw$22.802 sales
  • PSA 8$1931 sale
  • PSA 10$1,6801 sale

From 4 completed sales recorded between May 16, 2026 and Aug 2, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 2 graded sales and 4,409,831 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

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Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

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Zapdos is a Promo Pokémon card from SM Black Star Promos (#SM159), illustrated by Misa Tsutsui. It's a Basic Lightning-type Pokémon with 110 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $100.00 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $500 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 5× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

23 May 202620 Aug 2026
Latest
$100.00
Period high
$100.00
Period low
$16.85
Change
461.2%
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Verified sales history2 in 90 daysreal completed listings

Last sold price
$23
CGC 8.5 · 17 Aug 2026
Typical PSA 10
$1,680
Sales · last 90 days
2
How often it sells
Occasional sales
2 in last 30 days

Real completed sale prices from Fanatics Collect — weekly and premier auctions plus marketplace Buy It Now sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title.

Should you grade it?

$41

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 14.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$325); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)14.8%
Expected return$41
PSA 10 best case+$325
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Zapdos is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.

PSA 10 (gem mint)14.8%40 of 270
PSA 955.2%149 of 270
PSA graded so far270
Gem Mint 1040
Total graded270

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$499.99$75+$3255.0×
PSA 9$53.83$71$1170.5×
PSA 8$32.99$70$1370.3×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 270 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1014.8%$500.00
PSA 955.2%$54.00
PSA ≤830%$100.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 15% of 270 PSA-graded Zapdos copies are a gem-mint 10 (40 of 270) — the rest grade lower.

PSA270 gradedPSA 10 · 40 · 15% gem
1040
9149
858
712
68
51
42

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Zapdos 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$100.00
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 40$500$425$575
PSA 8pop 58$33$28$38
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$100.00
LPLightly Played$88.91
MPModerately Played$70.00
HPHeavily Played$69.98
7-day
30-day
90-day
All-time high$100
All-time low$90
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFlat 0%
Volatility · 90dStable ±2%
90d low $17near its low$18 high

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🔥 Trending in the community

#57 on the radar
Mentions this week3

Zapdos is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: Sharing my (US) Fossil Grandmaster Set · 90↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Thunderous Assault10+
Lightning

If this Pokémon was on the Bench and became your Active Pokémon this turn, this attack does 70 more damage. This attack's damage isn't affected by Weakness.

Weakness Lightning ×2Resistance Fighting -20Retreat 2

A legendary Pokémon that is said to live in thunderclouds. It freely controls lightning bolts.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Electric PokémonGEN ILegendary

A legendary bird POKéMON that is said to appear from clouds while dropping enormous lightning bolts.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#SM159
RarityPromo
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic
TypeLightning
HP110
WeaknessLightning ×2
ResistanceFighting -20
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#145
Card IDsmp-SM159
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Zapdos cards

There are 9 different Zapdos printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is SM Black Star Promos #SM159 (Promo).

More from SM Black Star Promos

Frequently asked questions

How much is Zapdos (SM Black Star Promos #SM159) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Zapdos from SM Black Star Promos is worth approximately $100.00 ungraded (near-mint), and around $500 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Zapdos?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Zapdos from SM Black Star Promos is worth around $500 — roughly 5× the raw ungraded value of $100.00.

Should I grade my Zapdos?

A PSA 10 sells for about $500 versus $100.00 raw — roughly a 5× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Zapdos rare?

Zapdos is a Promo card from SM Black Star Promos (card #SM159), illustrated by Misa Tsutsui. Its current blended market value is $100.00 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Zapdos (SM Black Star Promos #SM159) — Pokémon market value $100.00, PSA 10 $499.99. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/sm-black-star-promos/zapdos-sm159
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=smp-SM159" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Zapdos price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>