Best Manaphy Cards to Grade
The Manaphy cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Manaphy (XY Black Star Promos) at an expected +$720.
Ranked by expected profit 6
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$720 per submission: 6.5% of 572 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($12,000), and a PSA 9 ($350) still clears the $1,189 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $50 | $350 | $12,000 | $1,139 | +$10,811 | 6.5% | +$720 | 572 high |
| 2 | Expected +$438 per submission: 23.2% of 928 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,299), and only a PSA 10 covers the $260 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $18 | $80 | $2,299 | $242 | +$2,039 | 23.2% | +$438 | 928 high |
| 3 | Expected +$79 per submission: 5.2% of 97 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,601), and a PSA 9 ($186) still clears the $244 you have in it. Confidence medium on that sample. | $9 | $186 | $1,601 | $235 | +$1,357 | 5.2% | +$79 | 97 medium |
| 4 | Expected loss −$22 per submission: 29.4% of 1,600 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($162), and only a PSA 10 covers the $88 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $28 | $162 | $82 | +$75 | 29.4% | −$22 | 1,600 high |
| 5 | Expected loss −$30 per submission: 2.7% of 149 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($403), and a PSA 9 ($100) still clears the $98 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $14 | $100 | $403 | $84 | +$305 | 2.7% | −$30 | 149 high |
| 6 | Expected loss −$36 per submission: 0% of 75 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($118), and a PSA 9 ($112) still clears the $87 you have in it. Confidence medium on that sample. | $6 | $112 | $118 | $81 | +$30 | 0% | −$36 | 75 medium |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-09-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.
How to read the Manaphy ranking
Every Manaphy card listed here clears one bar: its PSA 10 price beats its raw price by more than the cost of grading it. 6 Manaphy printings pass. 6 of them (100%) have a gem-rate sample of at least ten graded copies in the population reports, and 3 of those keep a positive expected value once every grade outcome is weighted by how often the card actually receives it.
The order is expected profit, not the PSA 10 best case, which rewards the widest raw-to-gem gap whether the card gems one time in two or one in fifty. Here the top row, the Manaphy from XY Black Star Promos, gems 6.5% of the time across 572 graded copies: +$720 is what a long run of submissions would average, $10,811 is what one lucky copy returns.
The median gem rate across the sampled Manaphy cards is 6.5%. Roughly one submitted copy in 15 came back PSA 10, and most rows here still cover raw price plus fee at PSA 9, so the PSA 9 price does most of the work. Of the 6 ranked cards, 4 still cover raw price plus fee at PSA 9, 2 need a 10 to break even and 3 lose money on expectation. 4 rest on a hundred or more graded copies.
Before you submit a Manaphy card
Grading pays on condition. The four things every grader scores — centering, corners, edges and surface — can be checked at home before paying a fee, and a copy that is visibly off-centre or has a whitened corner will not gem whatever the population says. Those gem rates come from a self-selected population of clean copies, so a random copy does worse.
The cost column assumes a PSA submission at the tier covering the card's PSA 10 value, fees as of 2026-09-26, and raw is CardTrack's blended near-mint price, not a sale of your copy: pay more, or hold a lighter copy, and the break-even moves against you. Test a card with your own numbers in the ROI calculator, see the printings that fail the bar on the Manaphy card list, or see how gem-mint premiums run across the whole catalogue on the PSA premium index.