Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence15 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon XY Manaphy Holo Rare Black Star Promo XY190$5.50
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon MANAPHY XY190 Black Star Holo (2017 XY Promo) LP/Light PlayLP$7.99
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Pokémon Manaphy XY190 Black Star Promo Holo Card Rare TCG$3.66
- Jul 30, 2026eBay — Pokémon Manaphy XY190 Black Star Promo Holo Card Rare$3.64
- Jul 28, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Cards Manaphy XY190 Black Star Promo Holo NMNM$7.79
- Jul 26, 2026eBay — MANAPHY XY190 HOLO PROMO XY PROMO POKEMON HOLO NMNM$6.99
- Jul 19, 2026eBay — Manaphy XY190 Holo Black Star Promo Pokemon Near Mint - LPLP$9.50
- Jul 19, 2026eBay — Manaphy XY190 XY Cosmos Holo Black Star Promo Pokemon TCG$1.94
By grade
- Raw$5.5017 sales
- PSA 8$35.001 sale
From 18 completed sales recorded between May 18, 2026 and Aug 11, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 1 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Manaphy is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY190), illustrated by Ken Sugimori. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 70 HP, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $6.86 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $80 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 12× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 9? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $19.49 | #150579897 ✓ |
| 1 Jul 2026 | PSA 7 | $12.50 | #150579899 ✓ |
| 16 Jun 2026 | PSA 8 | $31.00 | #150579898 ✓ |
| 24 May 2026 | PSA 8 | $21.00 | #60754930 ✓ |
| 22 May 2026 | PSA 8 | $27.50 | #123877501 ✓ |
| 27 Feb 2026 | PSA 7 | $11.50 | #136845633 ✓ |
| 20 Feb 2026 | PSA 8 | $18.00 | #107333869 ✓ |
| 24 Nov 2025 | PSA 9 | $10.50 | #120530975 ✓ |
| 7 May 2025 | PSA 7 | $16.01 | #82037099 ✓ |
| 22 Feb 2025 | PSA 9 | $7.50 | #97843502 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 6.6% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$2); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Manaphy is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $79.59 | $71 | +$2 | 11.6× |
| PSA 8 | $21.00 | $70 | −$56 | 3.1× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 76 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 6.6% | $80.00 |
| PSA 9 | 27.6% | $32.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 65.8% | $7.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 7% of 76 PSA-graded Manaphy copies are a gem-mint 10 (5 of 76) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Manaphy 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 5 | $80$80–$80 | |
| PSA 8pop 32 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$21$12–$21 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $13 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
30% spreadCurrently 30% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Search your deck for a Water Pokémon, reveal it, and put it into your hand. Shuffle your deck afterward.
Switch this Pokémon with 1 of your Benched Pokémon.
“It starts its life with a wondrous power that permits it to bond with any kind of Pokémon.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Manaphy cards
There are 9 different Manaphy printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY190 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Manaphy (XY Black Star Promos #XY190) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Manaphy from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $6.86 ungraded (near-mint), and around $80 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Manaphy?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Manaphy from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $80 — roughly 12× the raw ungraded value of $6.86.
Should I grade my Manaphy?
A PSA 10 sells for about $80 versus $6.86 raw — roughly a 12× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Manaphy rare?
Manaphy is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY190), illustrated by Ken Sugimori. Its current blended market value is $6.86 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Manaphy (XY Black Star Promos #XY190) — Pokémon market value $6.86, PSA 10 $79.59. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/manaphy-xy190<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY190" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Manaphy price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>