ManaphyPR-XY XY190 · XY Black Star Promos Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
- PSA 8$21pop 35
- PSA 10$80modelled · pop 5
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for XY Black Star Promos #PR-XY XY190, 2013. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Manaphy is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY190, released 2013), illustrated by Ken Sugimori. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 70 HP, weak to Grass ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 15 September 2026.
Manaphy price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 9? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
Medium confidence11 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
7 of 10 verified sales were competitive auctions — this price reflects real bidding, not asking prices. A graded copy trades roughly every 23 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- Raw$5.5017 sales · 11 in 90d, sells regularly
- TAG 8.5$19.501 sale
- PSA 8$35.001 sale
- CGC 10$1501 sale
Is Manaphy worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 8 — worth $21 against the $77 you put in, a $56 loss. The money is in the 1 in 3 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $32–$80. Averaged over every outcome that is −$52 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Manaphy is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $79.59 | $71 | +$2 | 11.6× |
| PSA 8 | $21.00 | $70 | −$56 | 3.1× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 76 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 6.6% | $79.59 |
| PSA 9 | 27.6% | $32.00 |
| PSA 8 — typical | 42.1% | $21.00 |
| PSA 7 | 19.7% | $12.24 † |
| PSA 6 | 1.3% | $6.88 |
| PSA 5 | 2.6% | $6.88 |
† Priced from PriceCharting's graded ladder — we hold no completed sale of our own at that grade. Every other row is our own sold data.
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
5 of the 80 PSA-graded Manaphy copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 6.3%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 80.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 1.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Manaphy 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Manaphy XY190 Cosmos Holo Black Star Promo Pokemon MP8Raw · eBay$3.00
Manaphy XY190 Holo Promo XY Promo Pokemon Lightly PlayedRaw · eBay$3.00
Manaphy Pokémon XY Black Star Promo #XY190Raw · eBay$4.80
Manaphy - XY190 - Holo Promo POKEMON XY PROMOS LP Raw · eBay$4.99
🌀💫 Swirl Manaphy XY190 Cosmos Holo Black Star Promo Pokemon HP4Raw · eBay$5.00
🌀💫 Swirl Manaphy XY190 Cosmos Holo Black Star Promo Pokemon HP3Raw · eBay$5.00Cheapest raw copy $3.00 — 56% below our near-mint estimate of $7
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 5 | modelled$80$80–$80 | |
| PSA 8pop 35 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$21$12–$21 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $13 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
35% spreadCurrently 35% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Search your deck for a Water Pokémon, reveal it, and put it into your hand. Shuffle your deck afterward.
Switch this Pokémon with 1 of your Benched Pokémon.
“It starts its life with a wondrous power that permits it to bond with any kind of Pokémon.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Manaphy cards
There are 15 different Manaphy printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY190 (Promo). The most valuable 7 are below.
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Manaphy (XY Black Star Promos #XY190) worth?
As of 15 September 2026, Manaphy from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $6.88 ungraded (near-mint), and around $80 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Manaphy?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Manaphy from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $80 — roughly 12× the raw ungraded value of $6.88.
Should I grade my Manaphy?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Manaphy rare?
Manaphy is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY190).
How do I know if my Manaphy is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Manaphy (XY Black Star Promos #XY190) — Pokémon market value $6.88, PSA 10 $79.59. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/manaphy-xy190<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY190" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Manaphy price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>