Best Burning Shadows Cards to Grade
The Burning Shadows cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Charizard-GX at an expected +$1,028.
Ranked by expected profit 36
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$1,028 per submission: 12.4% of 6,738 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($7,200), and a PSA 9 ($800) still clears the $898 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $207 | $800 | $7,200 | $691 | +$6,302 | 12.4% | +$1,028 | 6,738 high |
| 2 | Expected +$293 per submission: 15.2% of 237 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,500), and only a PSA 10 covers the $250 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $42 | $2,500 | $244 | +$2,251 | 15.2% | +$293 | 237 high |
| 3 | Expected +$190 per submission: 10.2% of 620 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,750), and only a PSA 10 covers the $454 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $57 | $120 | $2,750 | $397 | +$2,297 | 10.2% | +$190 | 620 high |
| 4 | Expected +$184 per submission: 15.2% of 598 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,602), and a PSA 9 ($120) still clears the $260 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $25 | $120 | $1,602 | $235 | +$1,342 | 15.2% | +$184 | 598 high |
| 5 | Expected +$168 per submission: 17.3% of 335 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,532), and only a PSA 10 covers the $250 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $16 | $37 | $1,532 | $234 | +$1,282 | 17.3% | +$168 | 335 high |
| 6 | Expected +$140 per submission: 14.6% of 376 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,212), and a PSA 9 ($123) still clears the $137 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $25 | $123 | $1,212 | $112 | +$1,075 | 14.6% | +$140 | 376 high |
| 7 | Expected +$139 per submission: 12.2% of 600 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,032), and only a PSA 10 covers the $281 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $42 | $47 | $2,032 | $239 | +$1,751 | 12.2% | +$139 | 600 high |
| 8 | Expected +$106 per submission: 17.3% of 758 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,050), and only a PSA 10 covers the $127 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $17 | $46 | $1,050 | $110 | +$923 | 17.3% | +$106 | 758 high |
| 9 | Expected +$79 per submission: 22% of 300 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($690), and only a PSA 10 covers the $98 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $11 | $38 | $690 | $87 | +$592 | 22% | +$79 | 300 high |
| 10 | Expected +$79 per submission: 29.2% of 787 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($450), and only a PSA 10 covers the $93 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $9 | $85 | $450 | $84 | +$357 | 29.2% | +$79 | 787 high |
| 11 | Expected +$75 per submission: 20.8% of 289 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($646), and only a PSA 10 covers the $102 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $16 | $80 | $646 | $86 | +$543 | 20.8% | +$75 | 289 high |
| 12 | Expected +$70 per submission: 12.2% of 502 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,226), and only a PSA 10 covers the $139 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $27 | $50 | $1,226 | $112 | +$1,087 | 12.2% | +$70 | 502 high |
| 13 | Expected +$47 per submission: 17.3% of 371 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($652), and only a PSA 10 covers the $105 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $18 | $52 | $652 | $87 | +$548 | 17.3% | +$47 | 371 high |
| 14 | Expected +$41 per submission: 3.2% of 220 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,640), and a PSA 9 ($100) still clears the $408 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $13 | $100 | $2,640 | $395 | +$2,232 | 3.2% | +$41 | 220 high |
| 15 | Expected +$38 per submission: 9.4% of 1,589 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,020), and a PSA 9 ($160) still clears the $159 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $49 | $160 | $1,020 | $110 | +$861 | 9.4% | +$38 | 1,589 high |
| 16 | Expected +$31 per submission: 18.6% of 236 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($550), and only a PSA 10 covers the $92 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $7 | $22 | $550 | $85 | +$458 | 18.6% | +$31 | 236 high |
| 17 | Expected +$30 per submission: 16.8% of 304 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($560), and only a PSA 10 covers the $106 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $20 | $68 | $560 | $86 | +$455 | 16.8% | +$30 | 304 high |
| 18 | Expected +$29 per submission: 15.3% of 347 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($685), and only a PSA 10 covers the $100 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $13 | $35 | $685 | $87 | +$585 | 15.3% | +$29 | 347 high |
| 19 | Expected +$19 per submission: 12.4% of 362 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($700), and only a PSA 10 covers the $96 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $9 | $28 | $700 | $87 | +$604 | 12.4% | +$19 | 362 high |
| 20 | Expected +$19 per submission: 25.9% of 6,795 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($312), and only a PSA 10 covers the $103 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $20 | $75 | $312 | $83 | +$209 | 25.9% | +$19 | 6,795 high |
| 21 | Expected +$15 per submission: 4.7% of 192 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,820), and a PSA 9 ($107) still clears the $259 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $22 | $107 | $1,820 | $237 | +$1,561 | 4.7% | +$15 | 192 high |
| 22 | Expected +$13 per submission: 14.7% of 388 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($671), and only a PSA 10 covers the $113 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $26 | $30 | $671 | $87 | +$558 | 14.7% | +$13 | 388 high |
| 23 | Expected +$11 per submission: 19.2% of 453 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($547), and only a PSA 10 covers the $181 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $96 | $150 | $547 | $85 | +$365 | 19.2% | +$11 | 453 high |
| 24 | Expected +$8 per submission: 21.5% of 469 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($430), and only a PSA 10 covers the $115 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $31 | $45 | $430 | $84 | +$315 | 21.5% | +$8 | 469 high |
| 25 | Expected +$1 per submission: 18.2% of 280 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($425), and only a PSA 10 covers the $100 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $16 | $35 | $425 | $84 | +$325 | 18.2% | +$1 | 280 high |
| 26 | Expected loss −$4 per submission: 20% of 30 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($375), and only a PSA 10 covers the $108 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence medium on that sample. | $24 | $57 | $375 | $84 | +$268 | 20% | −$4 | 30 medium |
| 27 | Expected loss −$5 per submission: 17.2% of 267 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($370), and only a PSA 10 covers the $94 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $10 | $33 | $370 | $84 | +$276 | 17.2% | −$5 | 267 high |
| 28 | Expected loss −$11 per submission: 10.7% of 1,311 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($665), and only a PSA 10 covers the $162 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $75 | $128 | $665 | $87 | +$503 | 10.7% | −$11 | 1,311 high |
| 29 | Expected loss −$17 per submission: 20.4% of 235 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($285), and only a PSA 10 covers the $89 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $23 | $285 | $83 | +$196 | 20.4% | −$17 | 235 high |
| 30 | Expected loss −$18 per submission: 18.7% of 445 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($314), and only a PSA 10 covers the $97 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $14 | $26 | $314 | $83 | +$217 | 18.7% | −$18 | 445 high |
| 31 | Expected loss −$21 per submission: 31.1% of 524 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($165), and only a PSA 10 covers the $87 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $5 | $25 | $165 | $82 | +$78 | 31.1% | −$21 | 524 high |
| 32 | Expected loss −$24 per submission: 28.8% of 950 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($180), and only a PSA 10 covers the $88 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $17 | $180 | $82 | +$92 | 28.8% | −$24 | 950 high |
| 33 | Expected loss −$38 per submission: 20% of 325 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($350), and only a PSA 10 covers the $136 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $53 | $35 | $350 | $83 | +$214 | 20% | −$38 | 325 high |
| 34 | Expected loss −$41 per submission: 19.1% of 392 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($192), and only a PSA 10 covers the $92 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $10 | $20 | $192 | $82 | +$100 | 19.1% | −$41 | 392 high |
| 35 | Expected loss −$60 per submission: 16.4% of 581 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($180), and only a PSA 10 covers the $106 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $24 | $21 | $180 | $82 | +$74 | 16.4% | −$60 | 581 high |
| 36 | Expected loss −$61 per submission: 8.6% of 243 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($138), and only a PSA 10 covers the $89 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $8 | $30 | $138 | $81 | +$48 | 8.6% | −$61 | 243 high |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-09-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.
How to read the Burning Shadows ranking
Every Burning Shadows card listed here clears one bar: its PSA 10 price beats its raw price by more than the cost of grading it. 36 cards from the set pass. 36 of them (100%) have a gem-rate sample of at least ten graded copies in the population reports, and 25 of those keep a positive expected value once every grade outcome is weighted by how often the card actually receives it.
The order is expected profit, not the PSA 10 best case, which rewards the widest raw-to-gem gap whether the card gems one time in two or one in fifty. Here the top row, the Charizard-GX from Burning Shadows, gems 12.4% of the time across 6,738 graded copies: +$1,028 is what a long run of submissions would average, $6,302 is what one lucky copy returns.
The median gem rate across the sampled Burning Shadows cards is 17.3%. Roughly one submitted copy in 6 came back PSA 10, and most rows here need that PSA 10 to cover raw price plus fee, so the gem rate decides whether a submission pays. Of the 36 ranked cards, 6 still cover raw price plus fee at PSA 9, 30 need a 10 to break even and 11 lose money on expectation. 35 rest on a hundred or more graded copies.
Before you submit a Burning Shadows card
Grading pays on condition. The four things every grader scores — centering, corners, edges and surface — can be checked at home before paying a fee, and a copy that is visibly off-centre or has a whitened corner will not gem whatever the population says. Those gem rates come from a self-selected population of clean copies, so a random copy does worse.
The cost column assumes a PSA submission at the tier covering the card's PSA 10 value, fees as of 2026-09-26, and raw is CardTrack's blended near-mint price, not a sale of your copy: pay more, or hold a lighter copy, and the break-even moves against you. Test a card with your own numbers in the ROI calculator, see the printings that fail the bar on the Burning Shadows card list, or see how gem-mint premiums run across the whole catalogue on the PSA premium index.