Best Twilight Masquerade Cards to Grade
The Twilight Masquerade cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Greninja ex at an expected +$102.
Ranked by expected profit 19
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$102 per submission: 44.3% of 21,763 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($705), and only a PSA 10 covers the $376 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $289 | $300 | $705 | $87 | +$329 | 44.3% | +$102 | 21,763 high |
| 2 | Expected +$28 per submission: 43.9% of 13,839 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($300), and only a PSA 10 covers the $137 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $54 | $60 | $300 | $83 | +$163 | 43.9% | +$28 | 13,839 high |
| 3 | Expected +$12 per submission: 40.9% of 29,050 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($300), and only a PSA 10 covers the $163 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $80 | $90 | $300 | $83 | +$137 | 40.9% | +$12 | 29,050 high |
| 4 | Expected loss −$5 per submission: 41.8% of 8,961 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($190), and only a PSA 10 covers the $103 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $21 | $33 | $190 | $82 | +$87 | 41.8% | −$5 | 8,961 high |
| 5 | Expected loss −$12 per submission: 44.2% of 8,343 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($177), and only a PSA 10 covers the $109 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $27 | $33 | $177 | $82 | +$68 | 44.2% | −$12 | 8,343 high |
| 6 | Expected loss −$14 per submission: 35.9% of 2,100 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($160), and only a PSA 10 covers the $98 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $16 | $45 | $160 | $82 | +$62 | 35.9% | −$14 | 2,100 high |
| 7 | Expected loss −$16 per submission: 47.7% of 1,762 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($130), and only a PSA 10 covers the $90 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $9 | $25 | $130 | $81 | +$40 | 47.7% | −$16 | 1,762 high |
| 8 | Expected loss −$22 per submission: 42.7% of 7,847 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($140), and only a PSA 10 covers the $96 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $15 | $26 | $140 | $81 | +$44 | 42.7% | −$22 | 7,847 high |
| 9 | Expected loss −$29 per submission: 43.8% of 810 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($96), and only a PSA 10 covers the $86 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $5 | $30 | $96 | $81 | +$10 | 43.8% | −$29 | 810 high |
| 10 | Expected loss −$30 per submission: 45.3% of 4,809 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($146), and only a PSA 10 covers the $121 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $40 | $47 | $146 | $81 | +$25 | 45.3% | −$30 | 4,809 high |
| 11 | Expected loss −$31 per submission: 47.7% of 6,545 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($258), and only a PSA 10 covers the $233 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $150 | $155 | $258 | $83 | +$25 | 47.7% | −$31 | 6,545 high |
| 12 | Expected loss −$33 per submission: 47.7% of 1,446 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($137), and only a PSA 10 covers the $114 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $33 | $33 | $137 | $81 | +$23 | 47.7% | −$33 | 1,446 high |
| 13 | Expected loss −$33 per submission: 42.8% of 1,289 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($100), and only a PSA 10 covers the $87 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $20 | $100 | $81 | +$13 | 42.8% | −$33 | 1,289 high |
| 14 | Expected loss −$35 per submission: 43.9% of 1,492 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($98), and only a PSA 10 covers the $94 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $13 | $31 | $98 | $81 | +$4 | 43.9% | −$35 | 1,492 high |
| 15 | Expected loss −$36 per submission: 43.5% of 1,285 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($90), and only a PSA 10 covers the $87 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $6 | $20 | $90 | $81 | +$4 | 43.5% | −$36 | 1,285 high |
| 16 | Expected loss −$37 per submission: 43.9% of 1,623 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($100), and only a PSA 10 covers the $94 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $13 | $25 | $100 | $81 | +$6 | 43.9% | −$37 | 1,623 high |
| 17 | Expected loss −$37 per submission: 45.6% of 4,314 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($100), and only a PSA 10 covers the $98 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $17 | $29 | $100 | $81 | +$2 | 45.6% | −$37 | 4,314 high |
| 18 | Expected loss −$41 per submission: 48.7% of 8,093 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($138), and only a PSA 10 covers the $136 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $55 | $55 | $138 | $81 | +$2 | 48.7% | −$41 | 8,093 high |
| 19 | Expected loss −$42 per submission: 39.6% of 1,297 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($105), and only a PSA 10 covers the $95 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $14 | $18 | $105 | $81 | +$10 | 39.6% | −$42 | 1,297 high |
Best case only — no gem-rate evidence 1
Fewer than 10 graded copies in the PSA and CGC population reports. They clear the grading cost if they gem — that is all the numbers support.
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | $10 | — | $116 | $81 | +$25 | — | — | none <10 |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-09-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.
How to read the Twilight Masquerade ranking
Every Twilight Masquerade card listed here clears one bar: its PSA 10 price beats its raw price by more than the cost of grading it. 20 cards from the set pass. 19 of them (95%) have a gem-rate sample of at least ten graded copies in the population reports, and 3 of those keep a positive expected value once every grade outcome is weighted by how often the card actually receives it.
The order is expected profit, not the PSA 10 best case, which rewards the widest raw-to-gem gap whether the card gems one time in two or one in fifty. Here the top row, the Greninja ex from Twilight Masquerade, gems 44.3% of the time across 21,763 graded copies: +$102 is what a long run of submissions would average, $329 is what one lucky copy returns.
The median gem rate across the sampled Twilight Masquerade cards is 43.9%. Roughly one submitted copy in 2 came back PSA 10, and no row here covers raw price plus fee at PSA 9, so the gem rate decides whether a submission pays. Of the 19 ranked cards, 19 need a 10 to break even and 16 lose money on expectation. 19 rest on a hundred or more graded copies.
1 card sits below the ranking with a best case only, fewer than ten graded copies. The largest best case among them is the Teal Mask Ogerpon ex from Twilight Masquerade at +$25.
Before you submit a Twilight Masquerade card
Grading pays on condition. The four things every grader scores — centering, corners, edges and surface — can be checked at home before paying a fee, and a copy that is visibly off-centre or has a whitened corner will not gem whatever the population says. Those gem rates come from a self-selected population of clean copies, so a random copy does worse.
The cost column assumes a PSA submission at the tier covering the card's PSA 10 value, fees as of 2026-09-26, and raw is CardTrack's blended near-mint price, not a sale of your copy: pay more, or hold a lighter copy, and the break-even moves against you. Test a card with your own numbers in the ROI calculator, see the printings that fail the bar on the Twilight Masquerade card list, or see how gem-mint premiums run across the whole catalogue on the PSA premium index.