Offer discounts on graded Pokémon cards: where buy-now listings clear against the ask
On 5,541 PSA-graded Fanatics Collect buy-now sales with a known outcome (24 Aug to 3 Oct 2026), 66% to 87% cleared at the full ask. The 12.5% that took a lower offer cleared at a median 88.9% of the ask, 11.1% off; 15.3% of those went below 80%.
Cite this study
Free to cite · CC BY 4.0Source: CardTrack, Offer discounts on graded cards, October 2026 edition, 17 October 2026. https://cardtrack.com/data/offer-discounts/2026-10https://cardtrack.com/data/offer-discounts/2026-10https://cardtrack.com/data/offer-discountsKey findings: Offer discounts on graded cards, October 2026 · 5,541 PSA-graded Fanatics Collect buy-now sales with a known outcome, 24 Aug to 3 Oct 2026
- 1Between 66% and 87% of PSA-graded Fanatics Collect buy-now listings sold at the full ask (24 Aug to 3 Oct 2026, CardTrack): 66.5% outright, another 21.0% on the offer route at a price equal to the ask.
- 2On PSA-graded Fanatics Collect buy-now listings (24 Aug to 3 Oct 2026), offers accepted below the ask cleared at a median 88.9% of it (CardTrack): 43.6% at 90% or more, 41.0% at 80–90%, 15.3% under 80%.
- 3The higher the ask, the less often it was paid in full: 76.9% of PSA-graded Fanatics Collect listings under $50 sold at the ask against 33.5% at $5,000 and over (CardTrack, 24 Aug to 3 Oct 2026).
- 4Accepted offers on PSA-graded Fanatics Collect listings were deepest in the Under $50 band, a median 83.7% of ask; other bands ran from 88.1% to 90.4% (CardTrack, 24 Aug to 3 Oct 2026).
- 5Across PSA-graded Fanatics Collect buy-now listings (24 Aug to 3 Oct 2026), discounts came to $345K, 5.4% of the $6.4M asked (CardTrack).
How graded Pokémon listings close, by asking price· how listings closed, and what below-ask offers paid
Cheaper listings are the ones most often bought at the full ask; every band is in the table.
| Group | Listings | Sold at ask | Offer at ask | Offer below | Offers read | Median % of ask | IQR | Under 80% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 5,541 | 66.5% | 21.0% | 12.5% | 692 | 88.9% | 83.3%–92.6% | 15.3% |
| Under $50 | 1,618 | 76.9% | 16.1% | 7.0% | 113 | 83.7% | 77.8%–88.9% | 25.7% |
| $50 to $250 | 1,764 | 64.3% | 22.6% | 13.1% | 229 | 89.3% | 84.1%–93.1% | 12.2% |
| $250 to $1,000 | 1,437 | 65.1% | 21.5% | 13.4% | 192 | 90.4% | 86.8%–93.9% | 9.9% |
| $1,000 to $5,000 | 531 | 57.4% | 24.3% | 18.3% | 96 | 90.0% | 84.0%–93.9% | 14.6% |
| $5,000 and over | 191 | 33.5% | 34.0% | 32.5% | 62 | 88.1% | 79.4%–92.4% | 25.8% |
What the columns mean
- Offer at ask: closed on the offer route with the paid amount equal to the ask.
- Median % of ask and the range are read from offers recorded below the ask only.
Offer discounts on graded Pokémon cards by sale month· sale month
Month by month, the share sold at the ask ran from 63.5% to 66.8%.
| Group | Listings | Sold at ask | Offer at ask | Offer below | Offers read | Median % of ask | IQR | Under 80% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 733 | 66.2% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 115 | 89.5% | 85.0%–93.7% | 13.0% |
| 2026-09 | 4,496 | 66.8% | 21.2% | 12.0% | 539 | 88.9% | 83.3%–92.5% | 15.6% |
| 2026-10 | 312 | 63.5% | 24.0% | 12.5% | 38 | 89.8% | 83.2%–92.3% | 18.4% |
How far below the ask do accepted offers go?· offers recorded below the ask
Deep discounts are the exception: only 15.3% of below-ask offers paid under 80% of the ask.
| % of ask paid | Below-ask offers | Every offer-route sale |
|---|---|---|
| 90% or more | 43.6% | 79.0% |
| 80% to 90% | 41.0% | 15.3% |
| Under 80% | 15.3% | 5.7% |
| Median | 88.9% | 100.0% |
Why there are two columns: a floor and a ceiling
- The right-hand column counts every listing that closed on the offer route (1,854), treating those recorded at the ask as 100%.
- That is the ceiling for how close to the ask offers land; the left column is the floor.
- The true figure sits between the two.
Largest offers accepted below the ask· dollars off the ask
The extreme case: a PSA 10 Call of Legends Suicune sold for $85,000 against a $150,000 ask.
| # | Card | Grade | Ask | Paid | % of ask | Off | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SuicuneCall of Legends · 2011 | PSA 10 | $150,000 | $85,000 | 56.7% | $65,000 | 11 Sep 2026 |
| 2 |  Articuno (Reverse Holo)Legendary Collection · 2002 | PSA 10 | $75,000 | $50,000 | 66.7% | $25,000 | 20 Sep 2026 |
| 3 |  GengarSkyridge · 2003 | PSA 10 | $180,000 | $160,000 | 88.9% | $20,000 | 10 Sep 2026 |
| 4 |  Ho-Oh-EXDragons Exalted · 2012 | PSA 10 | $75,000 | $60,000 | 80.0% | $15,000 | 19 Sep 2026 |
| 5 |  MewtwoXY Black Star Promos · 2013 | PSA 10 | $30,000 | $17,000 | 56.7% | $13,000 | 20 Sep 2026 |
| 6 |  FeraligatrExpedition Base Set · 2002 | PSA 10 | $59,999 | $47,500 | 79.2% | $12,499 | 19 Sep 2026 |
| 7 |  Charizard (1st Edition)Base Set · 1999 | PSA 9 | $90,000 | $78,000 | 86.7% | $12,000 | 30 Sep 2026 |
| 8 |  Regirock ☆Legend Maker · 2006 | PSA 10 | $30,000 | $19,500 | 65.0% | $10,500 | 2 Sep 2026 |
| 9 |  Gengar (1st Edition)Fossil · 1999 | PSA 10 | $100,000 | $90,888 | 90.9% | $9,112 | 1 Oct 2026 |
| 10 |  GengarHS—Triumphant · 2010 | PSA 10 | $50,000 | $42,500 | 85.0% | $7,500 | 9 Sep 2026 |
| 11 | PSA 10 | $12,000 | $5,000 | 41.7% | $7,000 | 2 Oct 2026 | |
| 12 |  Unown [J]Wizards Black Star Promos · 1999 | PSA 10 | $15,000 | $8,000 | 53.3% | $7,000 | 25 Sep 2026 |
| 13 | PSA 10 | $49,999 | $43,500 | 87.0% | $6,499 | 12 Sep 2026 | |
| 14 | PSA 10 | $39,999 | $34,000 | 85.0% | $5,999 | 11 Sep 2026 | |
| 15 |  VenusaurWizards Black Star Promos · 1999 | PSA 9 | $10,000 | $4,500 | 45.0% | $5,500 | 1 Oct 2026 |
Offers left out of the discount figures· under 30% of the ask, not counted
3 accepted offers under 30% of the ask are left out of the offer-ratio figures above (median, quartiles, under 80%).
| Card | Grade | Ask | Paid | Median sale elsewhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Empoleon LV.XDiamond & Pearl | PSA 8 | $2,500 | $500 | $321 (39 sales) |
 Nidoking151 | PSA 9 | $100 | $22.23 | $30 (94 sales) |
 HildaWhite Flare | PSA 10 | $95 | $28 | $41 (95 sales) |
Why these are left out
An accepted offer under 30% of the ask more likely reflects an ask that was never a real price than a negotiation. The card's median sale elsewhere is shown for comparison.
Chart: Offer discounts on graded cards
For media
Free to cite · CC-BY 4.0- Updated
- RefreshesMonthly; each edition is kept at its own URL
- SourceFanatics Collect buy-now asks from CardTrack's sales ledger, joined to outcomes from PSA's auction price records; PSA-graded English cards.
Source: CardTrack, Offer discounts on graded cards, October 2026, 17 October 2026. https://cardtrack.com/data/offer-discounts/2026-10Charts and tables may be reproduced with the attribution above under CC-BY 4.0. How the numbers are built: methodology. Press enquiries, corrections and custom cuts of the data: jd@cardtrack.com. CardTrack is a market measure, not investment advice.
Frequently asked questions: Offer discounts on graded cards
How much below the asking price do offers on graded Pokémon cards go?
On PSA-graded Fanatics Collect buy-now listings (24 Aug to 3 Oct 2026), accepted offers below the ask paid a median 88.9% of it, 11.1% off. 15.3% were below 80% of the ask.
Do expensive graded Pokémon cards sell closer to the asking price?
They sell at the full ask less often: 76.9% of PSA-graded Fanatics Collect listings under $50 sold at the ask, against 33.5% at $5,000 and over (24 Aug to 3 Oct 2026).
How often do graded Pokémon cards sell at the full asking price?
Between 66% and 87% of PSA-graded buy-now listings with a known outcome sold at the ask. The range is the share of offer-route sales recorded at exactly the ask, which may be the full ask or the feed repeating it.
Method: how CardTrack built these figures
How the figures are built: what is counted, where the prices come from, thresholds and caveats
The two halves
- The asking price is the buy-now listing as CardTrack's ledger recorded it on Fanatics Collect, from 24 Aug 2026.
- The outcome (sold at the ask, or the amount of an accepted offer, and the day) comes from PSA's auction price records, via CardTrack's outcomes file of 4 Oct 2026.
- A listing needs both, so the window runs 24 Aug to 3 Oct 2026.
Three outcomes
- Sold at the ask: a fixed-price sale.
- Offer below the ask: an accepted offer with a lower amount. Every percentage of the ask is read from these.
- Offer at the ask: an accepted offer recorded at exactly the ask. CardTrack treats that as the feed returning the ask, not a known price, so these are reported on their own and the at-ask share is given as a range.
Scope
- PSA-graded English cards only: raw listings and other graders are out, as are 7 titles naming a second grader beside PSA.
- 2,262 Japanese PSA listings had no known outcome and are not in the sample.
- eBay is not used: its feeds do not carry the amount of an accepted best offer.
- Offers under 30% of the ask are left out of the distribution (3 listings, listed above).
- Groups with fewer than 30 below-ask offers show a dash.
Coverage
67.2% of the 8,290 PSA buy-now listings in the window have a known outcome. Listings without one may still be open, so they are not counted as sales.
Edition
October 2026 edition, published 17 Oct 2026.
Editions of the Offer discounts on graded cards study
- October 2026
Each edition keeps its own page, CSV and chart at /data/offer-discounts/<edition>, so a citation of one month's figures keeps pointing at them.