Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence16 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — Pokemon Lugia EX 94/98 Ultra Rare Ancient Origins Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$220
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — Pokemon Cards Lugia EX 94/98 Holo Ancient Origins Ultra Rare LPLP$115
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — HEAVY TEXTURE SHIFT ERROR Lugia EX 94/98 Ancient Origins Ultra Rare Pokemon Card$540
- Jul 25, 2026eBay — Lugia EX 94/98 Ultra Rare Ancient Origins Pokemon Card$273
- Jul 25, 2026eBay — Pokemon Lugia EX #94/98 Ancient Origins ENG Card$76.51
- Jul 18, 2026eBay — Lugia EX #94/98 DMG Ancient Origins Pokemon CardDM$60.00
- Jul 12, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Lugia EX Double Rare Holo 94/98 XY Ancient Origins NMNM$45.00
- Jul 9, 2026eBay — Lugia EX 94/98 Ancient Origins Ultra Rare Holo card - Pokémon TCG$101
By grade
- Raw$16019 sales
- PSA 10$3,91312 sales
- PSA 9$7018 sales
- PSA 6$1387 sales
- PSA 1$1255 sales
- PSA 8$3964 sales
- PSA 7$1743 sales
- PSA 2$1402 sales
From 70 completed sales recorded between Feb 9, 2026 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 50 graded sales and 1,308,872 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lugia-EX is a Rare Ultra Pokémon card from Ancient Origins (#94), illustrated by Ryo Ueda. It's a Basic EX Colorless-type Pokémon with 170 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $211.85 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $4,233 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 20× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history31 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $130 · PSA 6 · 26 Jun 2026
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 16% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$3,784); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Lugia-EX is a Ultra Rare in Ancient Origins — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 13 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 131 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $4,233.00 | $237 | +$3,784 | 20.0× |
| PSA 9 | $599.00 | $86 | +$301 | 2.8× |
| PSA 8 | $348.38 | $73 | +$63 | 1.6× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 3,015 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 16% | $4,233.00 |
| PSA 9 | 30.4% | $599.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 53.6% | $212.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 16% of 3,015 PSA-graded Lugia-EX copies are a gem-mint 10 (483 of 3,015) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Lugia-EX 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 483 | $4,233$3,598–$4,868 | |
| PSA 9pop 917 | ✓ 107 cert-verified$599$599–$983 | |
| PSA 8pop 695 | $348$296–$401 | |
| PSA 7pop 443 | ✓ 59 cert-verified$181$181–$253 | |
| PSA 6pop 227 | ✓ 21 cert-verified$138 | |
| PSA 5pop 122 | ✓ 10 cert-verified$130$90–$130 | |
| PSA 4pop 32 | $19$19–$19 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 3 slab of this card sells for about $127 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
75% spreadCurrently 75% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
43% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
This attack does 20 damage times the amount of Energy attached to both Active Pokémon.
If there is any Stadium card in play, this attack does 70 more damage. Then, discard that Stadium card.
Pokémon-EX rule: When a Pokémon-EX has been Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lugia-EX cards
There are 6 different Lugia-EX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Ancient Origins #94 (Rare Ultra).
More from Ancient Origins
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lugia-EX (Ancient Origins #94) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Lugia-EX from Ancient Origins is worth approximately $211.85 ungraded (near-mint), and around $4,233 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lugia-EX?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lugia-EX from Ancient Origins is worth around $4,233 — roughly 20× the raw ungraded value of $211.85.
Should I grade my Lugia-EX?
A PSA 10 sells for about $4,233 versus $211.85 raw — roughly a 20× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Lugia-EX rare?
Lugia-EX is a Rare Ultra card from Ancient Origins (card #94), illustrated by Ryo Ueda. Its current blended market value is $211.85 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lugia-EX (Ancient Origins #94) — Pokémon market value $211.85, PSA 10 $4233.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/ancient-origins/lugia-ex-94<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy7-94" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lugia-EX price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>