Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence13 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon Ariados Aquapolis 3/147 Rare NM+NM$10.00
- Aug 10, 2026eBay — Aquapolis Ariados 3/147 Pokemon Non Holo Rare Card LPLP$7.99
- Aug 4, 2026eBay — Pokemon Ariados Non-Holo Rare Card 3/147 E Series Aquapolis (NM)NM$14.49
- Jul 26, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Ariados 3/147 Aquapolis Non Holo Rare E Series WOTC Card Vintage$5.28
- Jul 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Ariados #3/147 Rare CCG Aquapolis$19.99
- Jul 5, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Ariados 3/147 Aquapolis Non Holo Rare E Series WOTC Card Vintage$7.58
- Jul 4, 2026eBay — Pokemon Card - Ariados Aquapolis 3/147 Rare$9.99
- Jul 3, 2026eBay — Ariados 3/147 Aquapolis 2002 English Rare Regular e-Card 70 HP Stage 1$9.99
By grade
- Raw$7.9913 sales
- PSA 10$1603 sales
- PSA 9$32.001 sale
- PSA 7$13.501 sale
- CGC 9$9.601 sale
- CGC 8.5$28.801 sale
- CGC 8$25.201 sale
- CGC 6.5$25.001 sale
From 23 completed sales recorded between Mar 9, 2026 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 10 graded sales and 1,889,841 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Ariados is a Rare Pokémon card from Aquapolis (#3), illustrated by Shin-ichi Yoshida. It's a Stage 1 Grass-type Pokémon with 70 HP, evolving from Spinarak, weak to Fire ×2. Its current blended market value is $11.29 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $150 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 13× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | PSA 7 | $13.50 | #82712803 ✓ |
| 17 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $150.00 | #47118352 ✓ |
| 15 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $32.00 | #91827540 ✓ |
| 7 May 2026 | PSA 8 | $25.00 | #141277531 ✓ |
| 11 Apr 2026 | PSA 10 | $99.95 | #53970950 ✓ |
| 11 Apr 2026 | PSA 9 | $28.00 | #69149924 ✓ |
| 16 Mar 2026 | PSA 9 | $7.50 | #41311720 ✓ |
| 28 Dec 2025 | PSA 10 | $80.00 | #40771299 ✓ |
| 10 Nov 2025 | PSA 10 | $62.00 | #47118353 ✓ |
| 11 Jul 2025 | PSA 7 | $5.00 | #99364781 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 42.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$67); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Ariados is a Rare in Aquapolis — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 67% of the time, split across 48 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 72 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $150.00 | $71 | +$67 | 13.3× |
| PSA 9 | $30.00 | $70 | −$52 | 2.7× |
| PSA 8 | $27.13 | $70 | −$54 | 2.4× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 92 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 42.4% | $150.00 |
| PSA 9 | 34.8% | $30.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 22.8% | $11.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 42% of 92 PSA-graded Ariados copies are a gem-mint 10 (39 of 92) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Ariados 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 39 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$150$106–$150 | |
| PSA 9pop 32 | $30$26–$35 | |
| PSA 8pop 13 | $27$23–$31 | |
| PSA 7pop 7 | $6$5–$7 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
41% spreadCurrently 41% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Spinarak.
As long as Ariados is in play, each player must pay an additional Colorless to retreat his or her Active Pokémon. Gluey Slime can't make a player pay more than an additional Colorless to retreat a Pokémon, even if there is more than 1 Ariados in play.
Flip a coin. If heads, this attack does 20 damage plus 10 more damage. If tails, this attack does 20 damage and the Defending Pokémon is now Paralyzed.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Ariados cards
There are 9 different Ariados printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Aquapolis #3 (Rare).
More from Aquapolis
Frequently asked questions
How much is Ariados (Aquapolis #3) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Ariados from Aquapolis is worth approximately $11.29 ungraded (near-mint), and around $150 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Ariados?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ariados from Aquapolis is worth around $150 — roughly 13× the raw ungraded value of $11.29.
Should I grade my Ariados?
A PSA 10 sells for about $150 versus $11.29 raw — roughly a 13× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Ariados rare?
Ariados is a Rare card from Aquapolis (card #3), illustrated by Shin-ichi Yoshida. Its current blended market value is $11.29 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Ariados (Aquapolis #3) — Pokémon market value $11.29, PSA 10 $150.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/aquapolis/ariados-3<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=ecard2-3" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Ariados price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>