Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence184 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Greninja Break 41/122 Card Lightly Played LPLP$12.00
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Greninja BREAK - 41/122 - Pokemon Breakpoint XY Ultra Rare Card LPLP$17.99
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — 2016 POKEMON XY BREAKPOINT #41/122 GRENINJA BREAK HOLO RARE$17.66
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — 2016 POKEMON XY BREAKPOINT #41/122 GRENINJA BREAK$14.46
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Pokemon Greninja BREAK 41/122 BREAK Rare BREAKpoint Pokemon Holo Lightly PlayedLP$20.00
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Greninja BREAK 41/122 BREAK Rare BREAKpoint Pokemon Holo Near Mint (A2NM$22.91
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Pokémon Greninja BREAK 41/122 BREAKpoint Holo Rare ENG 2016$14.00
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Pokemon Greninja BREAK 41/122 BREAK Rare BREAKpoint Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$38.00
By grade
- Raw$15.49185 sales
- PSA 10$1,1497 sales
- PSA 8$24.993 sales
- PSA 9$1092 sales
- TAG 8.5$70.001 sale
- SGC 8$15.601 sale
- PSA 7$28.071 sale
- PSA 6$39.951 sale
From 202 completed sales recorded between Mar 4, 2026 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 16 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Greninja BREAK is a Rare BREAK Pokémon card from BREAKpoint (#41), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a BREAK Water-type Pokémon with 170 HP, evolving from Greninja. Its current blended market value is $30.00 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $805 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 27× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $805.00 | #148313595 ✓ |
| 25 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $1,149.00 | #154240979 ✓ |
| 24 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $1,150.00 | #57453406 ✓ |
| 22 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $685.98 | #141175789 ✓ |
| 18 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $900.00 | #127958682 ✓ |
| 16 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $93.89 | #152213530 ✓ |
| 3 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $1,075.00 | #141175789 ✓ |
| 1 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $24.99 | #128240933 ✓ |
| 2 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $145.38 | #66602985 ✓ |
| 2 Jun 2026 | PSA 8 | $38.34 | #99239022 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 3.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$687); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Greninja BREAK is a Rare in BREAKpoint — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 21 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 35 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $805.00 | $88 | +$687 | 26.8× |
| PSA 9 | $94.00 | $71 | −$7 | 3.1× |
| PSA 8 | $25.00 | $70 | −$75 | 0.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 366 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 3.3% | $805.00 |
| PSA 9 | 23.8% | $94.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 73% | $30.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 3% of 366 CGC-graded Greninja BREAK copies are a gem-mint 10 (12 of 366) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Greninja BREAK 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | ✓ 37 cert-verified$805$686–$929 | |
| PSA 9 | ✓ 29 cert-verified$94$80–$108 | |
| PSA 8 | ✓ 11 cert-verified$25$24–$32 | |
| PSA 7 | $7$6–$12 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $40 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
63% spreadCurrently 63% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#9 on the radarGreninja is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “30TH ANNIVERSARY LIKELY TONIGHT ON TARGET Midnight pst , 3am EST” · 141↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Greninja.
Once during your turn (before your attack), if this Pokémon is your Active Pokémon, you may discard a Water Energy card from your hand. If you do, put 6 damage counters on 1 of your opponent's Pokémon.
BREAK Evolution Rule: Greninja BREAK retains the attacks, Abilities, Weakness, Resistance, and Retreat Cost of its previous Evolution.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
More from BREAKpoint
Frequently asked questions
How much is Greninja BREAK (BREAKpoint #41) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Greninja BREAK from BREAKpoint is worth approximately $30.00 ungraded (near-mint), and around $805 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Greninja BREAK?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Greninja BREAK from BREAKpoint is worth around $805 — roughly 27× the raw ungraded value of $30.00.
Should I grade my Greninja BREAK?
A PSA 10 sells for about $805 versus $30.00 raw — roughly a 27× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Greninja BREAK rare?
Greninja BREAK is a Rare BREAK card from BREAKpoint (card #41), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $30.00 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Greninja BREAK (BREAKpoint #41) — Pokémon market value $30.00, PSA 10 $805.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/breakpoint/greninja-break-41<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy9-41" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Greninja BREAK price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>