Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence4 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.
Recent PSA 9 sales
- Jul 6, 2026Fanatics$18.00
- Jun 22, 2026Fanatics$19.20
- Jun 1, 2026Fanatics$18.00
- May 25, 2026Fanatics$16.80
By grade
- PSA 9$18.004 sales
- CGC 9.5$8.404 sales
- PSA 8$10.803 sales
- SGC 8.5$9.002 sales
- CGC 9$10.202 sales
- CGC 8.5$14.002 sales
- SGC 9$7.201 sale
- SGC 8$7.201 sale
From 21 completed sales recorded between Feb 16, 2026 and Jul 27, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 20 graded sales and 4,410,740 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Palkia is a Rare Pokémon card from Celebrations (#4), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.25 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $145 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 580× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $176.13 | #70517519 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $6.50 | #128949956 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $12.40 | #145446474 ✓ |
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $14.34 | #152159454 ✓ |
| 11 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $12.50 | #148966732 ✓ |
| 6 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $145.00 | #145325892 ✓ |
| 4 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $24.50 | #145153788 ✓ |
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $13.20 | #147505010 ✓ |
| 29 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $15.00 | #155698472 ✓ |
| 27 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $9.41 | #165178112 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 11.9% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$73); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Palkia is a Rare in Celebrations — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 61.2% of the time, split across 12 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 20 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $145.00 | $71 | +$73 | 580.0× |
| PSA 9 | $13.40 | $70 | −$57 | 53.6× |
| PSA 8 | $12.25 | $70 | −$58 | 49.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,181 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 11.9% | $145.00 |
| PSA 9 | 46.1% | $13.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 42% | $0.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 12% of 1,181 PSA-graded Palkia copies are a gem-mint 10 (140 of 1,181) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Palkia 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 140 | ✓ 34 cert-verified$145 | |
| PSA 9pop 545 | $13$11–$15 | |
| PSA 8pop 368 | $12$10–$14 | |
| PSA 7pop 88 | ✓ 18 cert-verified$9$9–$12 | |
| PSA 6pop 32 | $8$7–$8 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
104% spreadCurrently 104% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
As long as this Pokémon is in the Active Spot, your opponent can't play any Stadium cards from their hand.
During your next turn, this Pokémon's Overdrive Smash attack does 80 more damage (before applying Weakness and Resistance).
“It has the ability to distort space. It is described as a deity in Sinnoh-region mythology.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It has the ability to distort space. It is described as a deity in Sinnoh-region mythology.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Palkia cards
There are 9 different Palkia printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Celebrations #4 (Rare).
More from Celebrations
Frequently asked questions
How much is Palkia (Celebrations #4) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Palkia from Celebrations is worth approximately $0.25 ungraded (near-mint), and around $145 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Palkia?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Palkia from Celebrations is worth around $145 — roughly 580× the raw ungraded value of $0.25.
Should I grade my Palkia?
A PSA 10 sells for about $145 versus $0.25 raw — roughly a 580× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Palkia rare?
Palkia is a Rare card from Celebrations (card #4), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $0.25 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Palkia (Celebrations #4) — Pokémon market value $0.25, PSA 10 $145.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/celebrations/palkia-4<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=cel25-4" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Palkia price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>