Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence24 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent CGC 9 sales
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$8.40
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$10.80
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$12.00
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$12.00
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$13.20
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$13.20
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$13.20
- Jul 27, 2026Fanatics$13.20
By grade
- CGC 9$10.0054 sales
- CGC 8.5$9.6040 sales
- CGC 10$26.4037 sales
- CGC 8$8.7016 sales
- CGC 9.5$9.6010 sales
- PSA 8$15.808 sales
- CGC 7.5$7.207 sales
- CGC 9.6$10.005 sales
From 198 completed sales recorded between Jan 16, 2026 and Jul 27, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 197 graded sales and 4,414,374 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Lugia is a Rare Pokémon card from Celebrations (#22), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. It's a Basic Colorless-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.74 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $190 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 257× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $25.13 | #156008624 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $17.50 | #160094028 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $17.50 | #111422432 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $30.00 | #163039212 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $15.40 | #137327047 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $10.50 | #151791823 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $18.50 | #156780056 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $399.00 | #146921187 ✓ |
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSA 6 | $15.66 | #119463693 ✓ |
| 11 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $20.00 | #145334685 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 9.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$117); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Lugia is a Rare in Celebrations — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 61.2% of the time, split across 12 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 20 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $190.00 | $72 | +$117 | 256.8× |
| PSA 9 | $16.73 | $70 | −$54 | 22.6× |
| PSA 8 | $14.00 | $70 | −$57 | 18.9× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 4,817 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 9.2% | $190.00 |
| PSA 9 | 45.2% | $17.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 45.6% | $1.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 9% of 4,817 PSA-graded Lugia copies are a gem-mint 10 (441 of 4,817) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Lugia 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 441 | $190$162–$218 | |
| PSA 9pop 2,179 | $17$14–$19 | |
| PSA 8pop 1,584 | $14$12–$16 | |
| PSA 7pop 445 | ✓ 61 cert-verified$10$10–$14 | |
| PSA 5pop 20 | $4$4–$4 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
35% spreadCurrently 35% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#8 on the radarLugia is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Lugia Neo genesis first edition” · 466↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
This attack does 20 damage for each Energy attached to both Active Pokémon.
During your next turn, this Pokémon can't attack.
“It is said to be the guardian of the seas. It is rumored to have been seen on the night of a storm.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It is said that it quietly spends its time deep at the bottom of the sea because its powers are too strong.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lugia cards
There are 9 different Lugia printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Celebrations #22 (Rare).
More from Celebrations
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lugia (Celebrations #22) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Lugia from Celebrations is worth approximately $0.74 ungraded (near-mint), and around $190 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lugia?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lugia from Celebrations is worth around $190 — roughly 257× the raw ungraded value of $0.74.
Should I grade my Lugia?
A PSA 10 sells for about $190 versus $0.74 raw — roughly a 257× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Lugia rare?
Lugia is a Rare card from Celebrations (card #22), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. Its current blended market value is $0.74 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lugia (Celebrations #22) — Pokémon market value $0.74, PSA 10 $190.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/celebrations/lugia-22<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=cel25-22" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lugia price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>