Palkia4/25 · Celebrations Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
- PSA 8$1310 sold · 90d · pop 424
- PSA 9$199 sold · 90d · pop 623
- PSA 10$1455 sold · 90d · pop 147
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Celebrations #4/25, 2021. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Palkia is a Rare Pokémon card from Celebrations (#4, released 2021), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Lightning ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 14 September 2026.
Palkia price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
High confidence13 sales in 90 days, closely clustered. · Very liquid — Sells often
Sale mix: 4 auctions, 4 accepted offers, 2 fixed-price. A graded copy trades roughly every 2 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- Raw$1.4319 sales · 13 in 90d, sells regularly
- PSA 8$15.6013 sales · 10 in 90d, sells regularly
- PSA 9$14.0011 sales · 9 in 90d, sells regularly
- PSA 10$1755 sales · 5 in 90d, occasional
- CGC 9.5$8.954 sales · 3 in 90d, occasional
- CGC 9$11.404 sales
- CGC 10$23.504 sales · 4 in 90d, occasional
- SGC 8.5$9.603 sales
Is Palkia worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $19 against the $70 you put in, a $52 loss. The money is in the 1 in 2 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $19–$175. Averaged over every outcome that is −$36 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Palkia is a Rare in Celebrations — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 61.2% of the time, split across 12 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 20 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $145.00 | $71 | +$73 | 580.0× |
| PSA 9 | $18.60 | $70 | −$52 | 74.4× |
| PSA 8 | $13.00 | $70 | −$57 | 52.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,181 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 11.9% | $175.00 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 46.1% | $18.60 |
| PSA 8 | 31.2% | $13.00 |
| PSA 7 | 7.5% | $9.00 |
| PSA 6 | 2.7% | $7.50 |
| PSA 5 | 0.1% | $0.25 |
| PSA 4 | 0.1% | $0.25 |
| PSA 1 | 0.1% | $0.25 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 0.4% | $0.25 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
147 of the 1,344 PSA-graded Palkia copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 11%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 1,344.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 819.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 25.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Palkia 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Palkia - 004/025 - Holo Rare (Near Mint) Celebrations - Water PokémonRaw · eBay$0.99
Palkia - 004/025 - Holo Rare (Lp) Celebrations - Water PokémonRaw · eBay$0.99
Pokemon Palkia (4/30) Celebrations MP HOLORaw · eBay$0.99
Pokemon TCG Palkia 4/25 Celebrations Holo NMRaw · eBay$0.99
Pokemon Celebrations Palkia Holo Rare Card 004/025 NMRaw · eBay$0.99
Palkia - 004/025 - Holo Rare (Mp) Celebrations - Water PokémonRaw · eBay$0.99Cheapest raw copy $0.99 — 296% above our near-mint estimate of $0
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 147 | ✓ 34 cert-verified$145 | |
| PSA 9pop 623 | 4 sold$19$16–$21 | |
| PSA 8pop 424 | ✓ 76 cert-verified$13$13–$18 | |
| PSA 7pop 105 | ✓ 18 cert-verified$9$9–$12 | |
| PSA 6pop 40 | modelled$8$7–$8 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
🔥 Trending in the community
#84 on the radarPalkia is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “[US,US] [H] VINTAGE AND MODERN SLABS [W] PAYPAL” · 6↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
As long as this Pokémon is in the Active Spot, your opponent can't play any Stadium cards from their hand.
During your next turn, this Pokémon's Overdrive Smash attack does 80 more damage (before applying Weakness and Resistance).
“It has the ability to distort space. It is described as a deity in Sinnoh-region mythology.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It has the ability to distort space. It is described as a deity in Sinnoh-region mythology.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Palkia cards
There are 12 different Palkia printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Celebrations #4 (Rare). The most valuable 7 are below.
More from Celebrations
Frequently asked questions
How much is Palkia (Celebrations #4) worth?
As of 14 September 2026, Palkia from Celebrations is worth approximately $0.25 ungraded (near-mint), and around $145 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Palkia?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Palkia from Celebrations is worth around $145 — roughly 580× the raw ungraded value of $0.25.
Should I grade my Palkia?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Palkia rare?
Palkia is a Rare card from Celebrations (card #4).
How do I know if my Palkia is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Palkia (Celebrations #4) — Pokémon market value $0.25, PSA 10 $145.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/celebrations/palkia-4<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=cel25-4" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Palkia price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>