Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence34 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokémon Palkia TCG Black Star Promos XY75 Holo$34.99
- Aug 13, 2026eBay — Pokémon Palkia TCG Black Star Promos XY75 Holo Card 2015$40.00
- Aug 7, 2026eBay — Pokémon Palkia TCG Black Star Promos XY75 Holo Card 2015$34.99
- Aug 7, 2026eBay — Pokémon Palkia TCG Black Star Promos XY75 Holo Card 2015$35.00
- Jul 25, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG - Palkia - XY75 - XY Promos - LP Black Star Promo (2015)LP$31.92
- Jul 24, 2026eBay — MP Full Art - Palkia Pokémon XY Black Star Promo #XY75MP$17.99
- Jul 24, 2026eBay — Palkia XY75 XY Full Art Black Star Promo Holo Pokemon Card LPLP$45.00
- Jul 24, 2026eBay — Pokemon Palkia XY75 XY Black Star Promo Full Art Holo English 120 HP$40.00
By grade
- Raw$33.0037 sales
- PSA 9$6006 sales
- PSA 8$2006 sales
- PSA 7$1133 sales
- PSA 6$60.001 sale
- PSA 1$1531 sale
- Lot$25.201 sale
- CGC 8$62.401 sale
From 57 completed sales recorded between Mar 23, 2026 and Aug 14, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 18 graded sales and 1,306,818 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Palkia is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY75), illustrated by Naoki Saito. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 120 HP, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $31.22 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $674 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 22× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history21 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $32 · Raw · 25 Jul 2026
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 0.7% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$556); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Palkia is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $674.06 | $87 | +$556 | 21.6× |
| PSA 9 | $489.00 | $75 | +$383 | 15.7× |
| PSA 8 | $130.00 | $71 | +$27 | 4.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 958 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 0.7% | $674.00 |
| PSA 9 | 11.8% | $489.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 87.5% | $31.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 1% of 958 PSA-graded Palkia copies are a gem-mint 10 (7 of 958) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Palkia 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 7 | $674$674–$674 | |
| PSA 9pop 113 | $489$416–$562 | |
| PSA 8pop 433 | ✓ 45 cert-verified$130$93–$130 | |
| PSA 7pop 283 | ✓ 31 cert-verified$100$57–$100 | |
| PSA 6pop 60 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$60$43–$60 | |
| PSA 5pop 34 | $16$10–$16 | |
| PSA 3pop 3 | $13$13–$13 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 1 slab of this card sells for about $153 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
109% spreadCurrently 109% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Your opponent can't attach Energy from his or her hand to the Defending Pokémon during his or her next turn.
“It has the ability to distort space. It is described as a deity in Sinnoh-region mythology.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
It has the ability to distort space. It is described as a deity in Sinnoh-region mythology.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Palkia cards
There are 9 different Palkia printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY75 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Palkia (XY Black Star Promos #XY75) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Palkia from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $31.22 ungraded (near-mint), and around $674 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Palkia?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Palkia from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $674 — roughly 22× the raw ungraded value of $31.22.
Should I grade my Palkia?
A PSA 10 sells for about $674 versus $31.22 raw — roughly a 22× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Palkia rare?
Palkia is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY75), illustrated by Naoki Saito. Its current blended market value is $31.22 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Palkia (XY Black Star Promos #XY75) — Pokémon market value $31.22, PSA 10 $674.06. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/palkia-xy75<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY75" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Palkia price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>