Karen's Conviction
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence20 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon Chilling Reign Ultra Rare Karen's Conviction 193/198 - Near Mint (NM)NM$14.99
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — Karen's Conviction 193/198 Ultra Rare Chilling Reign Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$16.99
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — Karen's Conviction 193/198 Ultra Rare Chilling Reign Pokemon Holo NMNM$17.39
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — Karen's Conviction Pokemon SWSH06: Chilling Reign #193 Holo NMNM$14.45
- Jul 31, 2026eBay — Pokemon Karen's Conviction - 193/198 - Ultra Rare - Chilling Reign$17.55
- Jul 27, 2026eBay — Karen's Conviction 193/198 Ultra Rare Chilling Reign Pokemon Holo NMNM$14.99
- Jul 25, 2026eBay — Karen's Conviction 193/198 Ultra Rare Chilling Reign Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$15.86
- Jul 24, 2026eBay — Karen's Conviction 193/198 Ultra Rare Chilling Reign Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$16.89
By grade
- Raw$15.4124 sales
- PSA 8$10.254 sales
- PSA 10$49.203 sales
- CGC 9$10.502 sales
- CGC 10$75.802 sales
From 35 completed sales recorded between Sep 8, 2025 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 11 graded sales and 4,410,201 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Karen's Conviction is a Rare Ultra Pokémon card from Chilling Reign (#193), illustrated by Hideki Ishikawa. It's a Supporter Single Strike Trainer card. Its current blended market value is $15.15 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $80 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 5× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 21 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 50.4% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$6); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Karen's Conviction is a Ultra Rare in Chilling Reign — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 39 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 392 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $79.50 | $71 | −$6 | 5.2× |
| PSA 9 | $39.48 | $70 | −$46 | 2.6× |
| PSA 8 | $8.90 | $70 | −$76 | 0.6× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 647 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 50.4% | $80.00 |
| PSA 9 | 34.3% | $39.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 15.3% | $15.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 50% of 647 PSA-graded Karen's Conviction copies are a gem-mint 10 (326 of 647) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Karen's Conviction 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 326 | $80$68–$91 | |
| PSA 9pop 222 | $39$34–$45 | |
| PSA 8pop 64 | 2 sold$9$8–$10 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
16% spreadCurrently 16% cheaper on PriceCharting than Cardmarket. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
During this turn, your Single Strike Pokémon's attacks do 20 more damage to your opponent's Active Pokémon for each Prize card your opponent has taken (before applying Weakness and Resistance).
You may play only 1 Supporter card during your turn.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Karen's Conviction cards
There are 3 different Karen's Conviction printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Chilling Reign #193 (Rare Ultra).
More from Chilling Reign
Frequently asked questions
How much is Karen's Conviction (Chilling Reign #193) worth?
As of 21 August 2026, Karen's Conviction from Chilling Reign is worth approximately $15.15 ungraded (near-mint), and around $80 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Karen's Conviction?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Karen's Conviction from Chilling Reign is worth around $80 — roughly 5× the raw ungraded value of $15.15.
Should I grade my Karen's Conviction?
A PSA 10 sells for about $80 versus $15.15 raw — roughly a 5× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Karen's Conviction rare?
Karen's Conviction is a Rare Ultra card from Chilling Reign (card #193), illustrated by Hideki Ishikawa. Its current blended market value is $15.15 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Karen's Conviction (Chilling Reign #193) — Pokémon market value $15.15, PSA 10 $79.50. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/chilling-reign/karen-s-conviction-193<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swsh6-193" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Karen's Conviction price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>