Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 2 sales in the last 90 days.
Recent PSA 10 sales
By grade
- PSA 10$1054 sales
- CGC 10$28.003 sales
- CGC 9$9.802 sales
- CGC 7.5$9.702 sales
- PSA 9$29.001 sale
- CGC 8.5$12.001 sale
- CGC 8$8.401 sale
From 14 completed sales recorded between Apr 3, 2026 and Jul 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 14 graded sales and 1,307,540 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Nidoking BREAK is a Rare BREAK Pokémon card from Evolutions (#46), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a BREAK Psychic-type Pokémon with 180 HP, evolving from Nidoking. Its current blended market value is $3.88 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $120 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 31× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $129.99 | #164736045 ✓ |
| 11 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $63.00 | #144124857 ✓ |
| 6 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $20.00 | #135830708 ✓ |
| 3 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $76.00 | #55142724 ✓ |
| 31 Jul 2026 | PSA 7 | $11.50 | #152297030 ✓ |
| 26 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $20.94 | #59104758 ✓ |
| 24 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $22.00 | #101183472 ✓ |
| 22 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $18.50 | #153130706 ✓ |
| 21 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $20.50 | #144124856 ✓ |
| 20 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $15.50 | #58335801 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 40.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$45); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Nidoking BREAK is a Rare in Evolutions — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 13 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 22 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $119.99 | $71 | +$45 | 30.9× |
| PSA 9 | $23.00 | $70 | −$51 | 5.9× |
| PSA 8 | $16.00 | $70 | −$58 | 4.1× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,683 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 40.2% | $120.00 |
| PSA 9 | 42.2% | $23.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 17.6% | $4.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 40% of 1,683 PSA-graded Nidoking BREAK copies are a gem-mint 10 (676 of 1,683) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Nidoking BREAK 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 676 | $120$102–$138 | |
| PSA 9pop 711 | $23$20–$26 | |
| PSA 8pop 207 | ✓ 17 cert-verified$16$12–$16 | |
| PSA 7pop 44 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$12 | |
| PSA 6pop 25 | $3$3–$3 | |
| PSA 2pop 1 | $2$2–$2 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $12 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
6% spreadCurrently 6% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#19 on the radarNidoking is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “[US,US] [H] Vintage and Modern Hits ($30+), 90% Hit Binder, 80% Small Hits Binder, Slabs, Sealed Singles [W] PP Priority” · 8↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Nidoking.
Your opponent's Active Pokémon is now Poisoned. Put 2 damage counters instead of 1 on that Pokémon between turns.
BREAK Evolution Rule: Nidoking BREAK retains the attacks, Abilities, Weakness, Resistance, and Retreat Cost of its previous Evolution.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
More from Evolutions
Frequently asked questions
How much is Nidoking BREAK (Evolutions #46) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Nidoking BREAK from Evolutions is worth approximately $3.88 ungraded (near-mint), and around $120 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Nidoking BREAK?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Nidoking BREAK from Evolutions is worth around $120 — roughly 31× the raw ungraded value of $3.88.
Should I grade my Nidoking BREAK?
A PSA 10 sells for about $120 versus $3.88 raw — roughly a 31× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Nidoking BREAK rare?
Nidoking BREAK is a Rare BREAK card from Evolutions (card #46), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $3.88 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Nidoking BREAK (Evolutions #46) — Pokémon market value $3.88, PSA 10 $119.99. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/evolutions/nidoking-break-46<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy12-46" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Nidoking BREAK price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>