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An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Poliwrath is a Rare Holo Pokémon card from Furious Fists (#17), illustrated by Mitsuhiro Arita. It's a Stage 2 Water-type Pokémon with 140 HP, evolving from Poliwhirl, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $1.59 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $44 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 27× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 3.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$28); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Poliwrath is a Holo / V / ex in Furious Fists — the pack's hit slot lands on Holo / V / ex 27.9% of the time, split across 16 holo / v / ex cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 57 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $43.56 | $70 | −$28 | 27.4× |
| PSA 9 | $25.00 | $70 | −$47 | 15.7× |
| PSA 8 | $18.37 | $70 | −$53 | 11.6× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 30 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 3.3% | $44.00 |
| PSA 9 | 23.3% | $25.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 73.3% | $2.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 3% of 30 PSA-graded Poliwrath copies are a gem-mint 10 (1 of 30) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Poliwrath 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 1 | $44$44–$44 | |
| PSA 9pop 7 | $25$25–$25 | |
| PSA 8pop 11 | $18$11–$24 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
37% spreadCurrently 37% cheaper on PriceCharting than Cardmarket. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
🔥 Trending in the community
#93 on the radarPoliwrath is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Dex Binder - Gen 1 Complete” · 53↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Poliwhirl.
This attack does 30 damage to 1 of your opponent's Benched Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)
This Pokémon does 30 damage to itself.
“With its extremely tough muscles, it can keep swimming in the Pacific Ocean without resting.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Poliwrath cards
There are 9 different Poliwrath printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Furious Fists #17 (Rare Holo).
More from Furious Fists
Frequently asked questions
How much is Poliwrath (Furious Fists #17) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Poliwrath from Furious Fists is worth approximately $1.59 ungraded (near-mint), and around $44 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Poliwrath?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Poliwrath from Furious Fists is worth around $44 — roughly 27× the raw ungraded value of $1.59.
Should I grade my Poliwrath?
A PSA 10 sells for about $44 versus $1.59 raw — roughly a 27× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Poliwrath rare?
Poliwrath is a Rare Holo card from Furious Fists (card #17), illustrated by Mitsuhiro Arita. Its current blended market value is $1.59 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Poliwrath (Furious Fists #17) — Pokémon market value $1.59, PSA 10 $43.56. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/furious-fists/poliwrath-17<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy3-17" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Poliwrath price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>