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Check your printing9 different Lucario printings exist — is this your card? Hidden Fates Shiny Vault #SV22
Lucario Hidden Fates Shiny Vault #SV22 Pokémon card
ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page
Rare Shiny

LucarioSV22/SV94 · Hidden Fates Shiny Vault Price & Value

2019 · Illustrated by Kouki Saitou
110 HPFightingPokémonStage 1

Market value · Near Mint

$20.31
LiquiditySells often
Sales · 90 days90
Last sale$19 Raw · 1 Sep 2026
Range$20$22
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. Priced from 87 completed sales of this exact card. Listings ask what a seller hopes for; this is what copies actually changed hands for, which is why it can sit below what you see for sale. Updated 4 September 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$20.31

What this price is based on

High confidence

64 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Range$8.99$150lowest to highest sale
Sales rate22/mo137 recorded
Latest sale4d ago64 sales in 90 days
Momentum0%30-day vs 90-day sales
Where it sells100% eBaylast 90 days

Recent Raw sales

By grade

  • Raw$20.0087 sales
  • PSA 10$100.0030 sales
  • PSA 9$28.009 sales
  • CGC 10$54.005 sales
  • CGC 9$20.003 sales
  • CGC 9.5$17.752 sales
  • ACE 9$40.401 sale

From 137 completed sales recorded between Sep 29, 2023 and Sep 1, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 50 graded sales and 4,412,871 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

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An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

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Lucario is a Rare Shiny Pokémon card from Hidden Fates Shiny Vault (#SV22, released 2019), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. It's a Stage 1 Fighting-type Pokémon with 110 HP, evolving from Riolu, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $20.31 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $98 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 5× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 4 September 2026.

Lucario price history & recent sales

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

1 Oct 20235 Sept 2026
Latest
$20.31
Period high
$23.41
Period low
$5.53
Change
136.7% · 3Y
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Verified sales history99 in 90 daysreal completed listings

Last sold
$18
Raw · 28 Aug 2026
Typical Raw
$20
Sales · last 90 days
84
How often it sells
Sells often
every 2 days · 26 in last 30 days

Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.

Last sold price
$18
CGC 9.5 · 24 Aug 2026
Typical PSA 10
$74
Sales · last 90 days
5
How often it sells
Occasional sales
2 in last 30 days

Real completed sale prices from Fanatics Collect — weekly and premier auctions plus marketplace Buy It Now sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title.

DateGradePriceCert
30 Aug 2026PSA 10$140.00#159105861
28 Aug 2026PSA 10$140.00#47070335
24 Aug 2026PSA 10$129.99#102364477
24 Aug 2026PSA 10$199.99#127118520
23 Aug 2026PSA 10$87.20#72609698
17 Aug 2026PSA 10$93.00#158666905
4 Aug 2026PSA 9$28.00#55523740
19 Jul 2026PSA 9$27.00#159193009
4 Jul 2026PSA 9$29.99#132340102
3 Jul 2026PSA 9$29.00#155997217

Demand & liquidity

Very liquid · Sells oftenDemand 83/100
Sales · 30d28
Sales · 90d92
HypeOn the radar
Raw
$20
PSA 10
$100
PSA 9
$28
CGC 10
$54
CGC 9
$20
CGC 9.5
$18

Last sold $23 · Raw · 1 Sep 2026

How often each grade sells · last 90 days, all marketplaces

Raw64sells often
PSA 1019sells regularly
PSA 93occasional
CGC 103occasional
CGC 9.52rare
ACE 91rare

Is Lucario worth grading?

$17

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 66.3% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$7); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)66.3%
Expected return$17
PSA 10 best case+$7
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Lucario is a Rare in Hidden Fates Shiny Vault — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 59.7% of the time, split across 45 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 75 packs.

Rare59.7%45 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)66.3%2,224 of 3,354
PSA 930.9%1,038 of 3,354
PSA graded so far3,354
Gem Mint 102,224
Total graded3,354

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$98.00$71+$74.8×
PSA 9$29.00$70$621.4×
PSA 8$18.58$70$720.9×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 3,313 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1066.3%$98.00
PSA 930.9%$29.00
PSA ≤82.7%$18.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates

Only 66% of 3,354 PSA-graded Lucario copies are a gem-mint 10 (2,224 of 3,354) — the rest grade lower.

PSA3,354 gradedPSA 10 · 2,224 · 66% gem
102,224
91,038
8.51
883
77
61
51
TAG16 gradedTAG 10 · 14 · 88% gem
1014
92

Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Lucario 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.

All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$20.31
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 2,224$98$83$113
PSA 9pop 1,038$29$25$33
PSA 8pop 83$19$10$29
PSA 7pop 7$10$6$14
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$20.31
LPLightly Played$12.25
MPModerately Played$9.93
DMGDamaged$9.12
7-day 0.7%
30-day 4.2%
90-day 63.0%
All-time high$23
All-time low$8
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

3% spread
PriceCharting · cheapest$21
TCGplayer · dearest$22

Currently 3% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Cross-marketMarkets agree 3% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🔥 Trending in the community

#12 on the radar
Mentions this week7

Lucario is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: Mega Lucario results at worlds · 46↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Riolu.

Precognitive AuraAbility

Once during your turn (before your attack), if you have Garchomp in play, you may search your deck for a card and put it into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck.

Missile Jab70
Fighting · Colorless

This attack's damage isn't affected by Resistance.

Weakness Psychic ×2Retreat 1

They can detect the species of a living being—and its emotions—from over half a mile away. They control auras and hunt their prey in packs.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Aura PokémonGEN IVRioluLucario

It has the ability to sense the auras of all things. It understands human speech.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#SV22
RarityRare Shiny
Released2019
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1
TypeFighting
HP110
Evolves fromRiolu
WeaknessPsychic ×2
Retreat cost1
National Pokédex#448
Card IDsma-SV22
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Lucario cards

There are 9 different Lucario printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Hidden Fates Shiny Vault #SV22 (Rare Shiny).

More from Hidden Fates Shiny Vault

Frequently asked questions

How much is Lucario (Hidden Fates Shiny Vault #SV22) worth?

As of 4 September 2026, Lucario from Hidden Fates Shiny Vault is worth approximately $20.31 ungraded (near-mint), and around $98 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Lucario?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lucario from Hidden Fates Shiny Vault is worth around $98 — roughly 5× the raw ungraded value of $20.31.

Should I grade my Lucario?

A PSA 10 sells for about $98 versus $20.31 raw — roughly a 5× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Lucario rare?

Lucario is a Rare Shiny card from Hidden Fates Shiny Vault (card #SV22), illustrated by Kouki Saitou. Its current blended market value is $20.31 ungraded.

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Citation
Lucario (Hidden Fates Shiny Vault #SV22) — Pokémon market value $20.31, PSA 10 $98.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/hidden-fates-shiny-vault/lucario-sv22
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sma-SV22" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lucario price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>