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Check your printing2 different Aerodactyl VSTAR printings exist — is this your card? Lost Origin #199
Aerodactyl VSTAR Lost Origin #199 Pokémon card
Rare Rainbow

Aerodactyl VSTAR

Lost Origin · 199/196 · Illustrated by 5ban Graphics
260 HPFightingPokémonVSTAR

Market value · ungraded

$14.69 0.7% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$12$15
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 20 August 2026. 3 sources agree within 22%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$14.69

What this price is based on

High confidence

51 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Median · Raw$14.8953 sales
Trimmed mean$14.79outliers removed
Range$6.50$24.31lowest to highest sale
Sales rate11.3/mo68 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 16, 2026eBay — Aerodactyl VSTAR 199/196 Rainbow Rare Lost Origin Pokemon Holo Near MintNM$14.99
  • Aug 15, 2026eBay — AERODACTYL VSTAR 199/196 RAINBOW RARE LOST ORIGIN POKEMON HOLO LPLP$13.34
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Aerodactyl VSTAR Rainbow Sword & Shield Lost Origin 199/196$14.99
  • Aug 12, 2026eBay — 2022 Pokemon Lost Origin Aerodactyl VSTAR #199/196$15.40
  • Aug 11, 2026eBay — Aerodactyl VSTAR (Secret) 199/196 Swsh11: Lost Origin Holo - Pokemon TCG - NMNM$14.95
  • Aug 9, 2026eBay — Aerodactyl VSTAR (Secret) 199/196 SWSH11: Lost Origin - Pokemon Card - NMNM$16.86
  • Jul 30, 2026eBay — Aerodactyl VSTAR - SR Lost Origin 199/196 - NMNM$13.65
  • Jul 24, 2026eBay — Pokemon Card - Aerodactyl VSTAR Lost Origin 199/196 2022 Rainbow Rare Near MintNM$19.99

By grade

  • Raw$14.8953 sales
  • PSA 10$1007 sales
  • PSA 9$18.522 sales
  • CGC 9.6$30.002 sales
  • PSA 8$14.991 sale
  • CGC 7.5$21.001 sale
  • BGS 10$2,5501 sale
  • ACE 10$78.541 sale

From 68 completed sales recorded between Mar 23, 2026 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 15 graded sales and 4,411,104 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Aerodactyl VSTAR is a Rare Rainbow Pokémon card from Lost Origin (#199), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a VSTAR Fighting-type Pokémon with 260 HP, evolving from Aerodactyl V, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $14.69 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $86 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 6× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$14.69
Period high
$15.00
Period low
$7.92
Change
8.8%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
15 Aug 2026PSA 10$114.99#149242702
9 Aug 2026PSA 10$101.00#105355771
6 Aug 2026PSA 10$86.00#102101199
4 Aug 2026PSA 10$94.00#112679044
3 Aug 2026PSA 10$100.00#106957665
3 Aug 2026PSA 10$82.00#146851835
27 Jul 2026PSA 9$15.45#165178118
16 Jul 2026PSA 9$21.50#113820196
9 Jul 2026PSA 9$26.00#145812650
4 Jul 2026PSA 8$17.00#73452079

Should you grade it?

$29

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 56.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$0); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)56.1%
Expected return$29
PSA 10 best case+$0
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Aerodactyl VSTAR is a Secret / Rainbow in Lost Origin — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 27 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 1,085 packs.

Secret / Rainbow2.5%27 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)56.1%865 of 1,543
PSA 932.5%501 of 1,543
PSA graded so far1,543
Gem Mint 10865
Total graded1,543

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$86.00$71+$05.9×
PSA 9$21.75$70$631.5×
PSA 8$17.00$70$681.2×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,543 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1056.1%$86.00
PSA 932.5%$22.00
PSA ≤811.5%$15.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 56% of 1,543 PSA-graded Aerodactyl VSTAR copies are a gem-mint 10 (865 of 1,543) — the rest grade lower.

PSA1,543 gradedPSA 10 · 865 · 56% gem
10865
9501
8113
734
617
58
44
21
CGC2,892 gradedCGC 10 · 1,368 · 47% gem
101,368
9.5186
9870
8.5288
890

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Aerodactyl VSTAR 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$14.13
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 865✓ 123 cert-verified$86$71$97
PSA 9pop 501$22$18$25
PSA 8pop 113✓ 10 cert-verified$17$17$23
PSA 6pop 17$10$10$10
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$14.69
LPLightly Played$11.62
MPModerately Played$9.14
DMGDamaged$3.98
7-day 2.8%
30-day 7.9%
90-day 11.5%
All-time high$15
All-time low$8
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

22% spread
Cardmarket · cheapest$12
PriceCharting$14
TCGplayer · dearest$15

Currently 22% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFlat -1%
Cross-marketSome gap 22% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

18% cheaper than the US
Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$12

🔥 Trending in the community

#88 on the radar
Mentions this week2

Aerodactyl is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: Sharing my (US) Fossil Grandmaster Set · 90↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Aerodactyl V.

Lost Dive240
Fighting · Colorless · Colorless

Put the top 3 cards of your deck in the Lost Zone.

Ancient Star
Colorless

Until this Pokémon leaves play, it gains an Ability that has the effect "Your opponent's Pokémon V in play, except any Aerodactyl VSTAR, have no Abilities." (You can't use more than 1 VSTAR Power in a game.)

Weakness Grass ×2Retreat 2

VSTAR rule: When your Pokémon VSTAR is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Fossil PokémonGEN I

A ferocious, pre­ historic POKéMON that goes for the enemy's throat with its serrated saw-like fangs.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#199
RarityRare Rainbow
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesVSTAR
TypeFighting
HP260
Evolves fromAerodactyl V
WeaknessGrass ×2
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#142
Card IDswsh11-199
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Aerodactyl VSTAR cards

There are 2 different Aerodactyl VSTAR printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Lost Origin #199 (Rare Rainbow).

More from Lost Origin

Frequently asked questions

How much is Aerodactyl VSTAR (Lost Origin #199) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Aerodactyl VSTAR from Lost Origin is worth approximately $14.69 ungraded (near-mint), and around $86 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Aerodactyl VSTAR?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Aerodactyl VSTAR from Lost Origin is worth around $86 — roughly 6× the raw ungraded value of $14.69.

Should I grade my Aerodactyl VSTAR?

A PSA 10 sells for about $86 versus $14.69 raw — roughly a 6× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Aerodactyl VSTAR rare?

Aerodactyl VSTAR is a Rare Rainbow card from Lost Origin (card #199), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $14.69 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Aerodactyl VSTAR (Lost Origin #199) — Pokémon market value $14.69, PSA 10 $86.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/lost-origin/aerodactyl-vstar-199
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swsh11-199" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Aerodactyl VSTAR price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>