Mudkip5/12 · McDonald's Collection 2015 Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
Pack fresh $20est.
- PSA 8$15modelled · pop 5
- PSA 10$102modelled · pop 1
Why prices differ
TCGplayer's figure is what sellers are asking on their marketplace, not what copies sold for — an asking price sits above a completed sale because it is the start of a negotiation, not the end of one. Our price comes from those same completed sales, adjusted to Near Mint — the median below mixes every condition together, and most copies that change hands are played rather than mint. How we weigh them →
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for McDonald's Collection 2015 #5/12, 2015. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
Estimated. This card has enough sales to price the top 15% but not the top 5%, so pack-fresh is projected from the gap we measure between those two tiers on cards that do — about 1.4x on vintage, 1.2x on modern. $22.20. That's about +50% over a typical Near Mint copy.
ⓘ How do we work this out?
We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (49 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.
Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.
Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.
These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Mudkip is a Pokémon card from McDonald's Collection 2015 (#5, released 2015), illustrated by Aya Kusube. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 60 HP, weak to Grass ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 12 September 2026.
Mudkip price history & recent sales
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
Medium confidence49 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely. · Moderate — Occasional sales
Sale mix: 1 auction, 2 accepted offers.
By grade
- Raw$7.4274 sales · 49 in 90d, sells often
- PSA 8$15.001 sale
- PSA 6$50.001 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
- Lot$8.401 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
Is Mudkip worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 6 — worth $15 against the $85 you put in, a $70 loss. The money is in the 1 in 9 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $41–$102. Averaged over every outcome that is −$64 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Mudkip is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $101.58 | $71 | +$16 | 6.9× |
| PSA 8 | $15.00 | $70 | −$70 | 1.0× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 17 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 5.9% | $101.58 |
| PSA 9 | 5.9% | $41.00 |
| PSA 8 | 29.4% | $15.00 |
| PSA 7 | 5.9% | $14.80 |
| PSA 6 — typical | 5.9% | $14.80 |
| PSA 5 | 5.9% | $14.80 |
| PSA 4 | 11.8% | $14.80 |
| PSA 3 | 11.8% | $14.80 |
| PSA 2 | 17.6% | $14.80 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
1 of the 20 PSA-graded Mudkip copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 5.0%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 20.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 9.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 2.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Mudkip 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Mudkip 005/012 McDonald's 2015 HoloRaw · eBay$3.99
McDonald's Promos 2015 Mudkip 005/012 Holo Promo Pokemon DMGRaw · eBay$3.99
Mudkip 005/012 McDonald's 2015 HoloRaw · eBay$5.00
Mudkip 005/012 Holo Promo McDonald's Promos 2015 Pokemon DamagedRaw · eBay$5.00
Mudkip - 5/12 | 005/012 Promo | McDonald's Promos 2015 | HPRaw · eBay$6.60
Mudkip 005/012 Holo Promo McDonald's Promos 2015 Pokemon Moderately PlayedRaw · eBay$6.99Cheapest raw copy $3.99 — 73% below our near-mint estimate of $15
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 1 | modelled$102$102–$102 | |
| PSA 8pop 5 | modelled$15$15–$15 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
A typical Near Mint copy sells for $13.50. Grading-candidate copies — the cleanest 15% of sales — typically fetch $15.00 (+11%). Pack-fresh examples — the top 5% — go for about $20.25.
From 8 sales in the last 12 months. These describe the market — whether a specific copy is a grading candidate is a judgment made by looking at it.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
🔥 Trending in the community
#27 on the radarMudkip is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “PSA 5 Goldstar Mudkip (Last sold $9,250) (Bought for $3,600)” · 40↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
“To alert it, the fin on its head senses the flow of water. It has the strength to heft boulders.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Mudkip cards
There are 20 different Mudkip printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is McDonald's Collection 2015 #5. The most valuable 7 are below.
More from McDonald's Collection 2015
Frequently asked questions
How much is Mudkip (McDonald's Collection 2015 #5) worth?
As of 12 September 2026, Mudkip from McDonald's Collection 2015 is worth approximately $14.80 ungraded (near-mint), and around $102 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Mudkip?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Mudkip from McDonald's Collection 2015 is worth around $102 — roughly 7× the raw ungraded value of $14.80.
Should I grade my Mudkip?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
How do I know if my Mudkip is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Mudkip (McDonald's Collection 2015 #5) — Pokémon market value $14.80, PSA 10 $101.58. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/mcdonald-s-collection-2015/mudkip-5<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=mcd15-5" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Mudkip price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>