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Dark Ursaring Neo Destiny #21 Pokémon card
Rare

Dark Ursaring

Neo Destiny · 21/105 · Illustrated by Mitsuhiro Arita
60 HPColorlessPokémonStage 1

Market value · ungraded · Unlimited

$11.21 16.7% · 30d
Confidencelimited market data
Range$10$29
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 20 August 2026. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$11.21

What this price is based on

High confidence

30 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Median · Raw$11.9934 sales
Trimmed mean$11.85outliers removed
Range$4.25$19.99lowest to highest sale
Sales rate8.5/mo54 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Dark Ursaring - 21/105 - Pokemon Neo Destiny Unlimited Rare Card WOTC LPLPUnlimited$15.12
  • Aug 10, 2026eBay — Dark Ursaring - 21/105 - Pokemon Neo Destiny Unlimited Rare Card WOTC MPMPUnlimited$12.90
  • Aug 8, 2026eBay — Dark Ursaring 21/105 Unlimited Rare Neo Destiny Pokemon CardsUnlimited$10.99
  • Aug 6, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Dark Ursaring 21/105 Neo Destiny Rare Regular Unlimited - LPLPUnlimited$9.00
  • Aug 4, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Dark Ursaring 21/105 Rare Neo Destiny Unlimited LP/MPMPUnlimited$9.98
  • Aug 4, 2026eBay — Dark Ursaring - 21/105 - Pokemon Neo Destiny Unlimited Rare Card WOTC LPLPUnlimited$12.84
  • Aug 2, 2026eBay — Dark Ursaring Neo Destiny 21/105 Rare Unlimited EN 60 HP WOTC NEOUnlimited$4.25
  • Jul 31, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Dark Ursaring 21/105 Neo Destiny Rare Unlimited EnglishUnlimited$7.50

By grade

  • Raw$11.9934 sales
  • PSA 10$1999 sales
  • CGC 8.5$22.252 sales
  • CGC 10$79.502 sales
  • PSA 9$32.001 sale
  • PSA 7$34.991 sale
  • Lot$16.801 sale
  • CGC 9.6$99.001 sale

From 54 completed sales recorded between Mar 25, 2025 and Aug 14, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 19 graded sales and 1,889,841 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Dark Ursaring is a Rare Pokémon card from Neo Destiny (#21), illustrated by Mitsuhiro Arita. It's a Stage 1 Colorless-type Pokémon with 60 HP, evolving from Teddiursa, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $11.21 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $200 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 18× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$11.21
Period high
$41.54
Period low
$4.72
Change
92.6%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
12 Aug 2026PSA 9$23.50#150977558
12 Aug 2026PSA 9$150.00#156142612
9 Aug 2026PSA 8$40.00#126622880
2 Aug 2026PSA 7$29.96#85767660
22 Apr 2026PSA 9$38.00#123746384
21 Apr 2026PSA 9$32.00#53726620
17 Mar 2026PSA 10$200.00#99241676
6 Mar 2026PSA 10$250.00#47830960
5 Mar 2026PSA 10$192.50#68642089
1 Feb 2026PSA 10$199.00#62882034

Should you grade it?

$3

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 33% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$117); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)33%
Expected return$3
PSA 10 best case+$117
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Dark Ursaring is a Rare in Neo Destiny — the pack's hit slot lands on Rare 67% of the time, split across 19 rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 28 packs.

Rare67%19 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)33%29 of 88
PSA 934.1%30 of 88
PSA graded so far88
Gem Mint 1029
Total graded88

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$200.00$72+$11717.8×
PSA 9$32.00$70$502.9×
PSA 8$26.00$70$552.3×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 88 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1033%$200.00
PSA 934.1%$32.00
PSA ≤833%$11.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 33% of 88 PSA-graded Dark Ursaring copies are a gem-mint 10 (29 of 88) — the rest grade lower.

PSA88 gradedPSA 10 · 29 · 33% gem
1029
930
815
79
63
51
41
CGC167 gradedCGC 10 · 31 · 19% gem
1031
9.516
952
8.525
821

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Dark Ursaring 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$11.21
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 29$200$170$230
PSA 9pop 30✓ 6 cert-verified$32$25$33
PSA 8pop 15$26$22$30
PSA 7pop 9$21$18$24
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
1st Edition · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$11.21
LPLightly Played$7.65
MPModerately Played$7.08
HPHeavily Played$3.42
DMGDamaged$3.15
7-day 2.1%
30-day 12.7%
90-day 30.2%
All-time high$11
All-time low$7
Other printingsUnlimited · $12.89
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost

For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $26 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.

Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately

Price by variant

1st Edition$45
Unlimited$14

TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.

Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

197% spread
Cardmarket · cheapest$10
PriceCharting$12
TCGplayer · dearest$29

Currently 197% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFalling -17%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 197% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

66% cheaper than the US
Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$10
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Teddiursa.

Provoke
Colorless

Look at your opponent's hand. If he or she has any Baby Pokémon and/or Basic Pokémon there, you may put any number of them onto your opponent's Bench (as long as there's room). Then, your opponent looks at your hand. If you have any Baby Pokémon and/or Basic Pokémon there, your opponent may put any number of them onto your Bench (as long as there's room).

Battle Frenzy
Colorless · Colorless

For each Pokémon in play (yours and your opponent's), flip a coin. For each heads, this attack does 20 damage to that Pokémon. Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for this attack.

Weakness Fighting ×2Resistance Psychic -30Retreat 2

Its keen nose can pick out any scent, even that of food buried deep underground.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Hibernator PokémonGEN IITeddiursaUrsaringUrsaluna

Although it is a good climber, it prefers to snap trees with its forelegs and eat fallen BERRIES.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#21
RarityRare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1
TypeColorless
HP60
Evolves fromTeddiursa
WeaknessFighting ×2
ResistancePsychic -30
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#217
Card IDneo4-21
SourceAggregated marketplaces

More from Neo Destiny

Frequently asked questions

How much is Dark Ursaring (Neo Destiny #21) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Dark Ursaring from Neo Destiny is worth approximately $11.21 ungraded (near-mint), and around $200 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Dark Ursaring?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Dark Ursaring from Neo Destiny is worth around $200 — roughly 18× the raw ungraded value of $11.21.

Should I grade my Dark Ursaring?

A PSA 10 sells for about $200 versus $11.21 raw — roughly a 18× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Dark Ursaring rare?

Dark Ursaring is a Rare card from Neo Destiny (card #21), illustrated by Mitsuhiro Arita. Its current blended market value is $11.21 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Dark Ursaring (Neo Destiny #21) — Pokémon market value $11.21, PSA 10 $200.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/neo-destiny/dark-ursaring-21
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=neo4-21" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Dark Ursaring price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>