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Check your printing9 different Frosmoth printings exist — is this your card? Rebel Clash #204
Frosmoth Rebel Clash #204 Pokémon card
Rare Secret

Frosmoth

Rebel Clash · 204/192 · Illustrated by PLANETA Tsuji
90 HPWaterPokémonStage 1

Market value · ungraded

$14.39 6.4% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$13$14
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 21 August 2026. 3 sources agree within 14%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$14.39

What this price is based on

High confidence

9 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Median · Raw$14.959 sales
Trimmed mean$14.13outliers removed
Range$7.16$18.02lowest to highest sale
Sales rate2.8/mo17 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Jul 19, 2026eBay — Frosmoth Rebel Clash 204/192 Gold Card$15.99
  • Jul 17, 2026eBay — Pokemon Card Rebel Clash Frosmoth 204/192 Rare$15.99
  • Jul 16, 2026eBay — Frosmoth SWSH02: Rebel Clash #204/192 (Secret) NM Grade Worthy! PokemonNM$14.95
  • Jul 13, 2026eBay — 2020 Pokemon SWSH Rebel Clash Frosmoth #204/192$12.50
  • Jul 4, 2026eBay — Pokemon Frosmoth (Secret) 204/192 Swsh02: Rebel Clash Holo$13.20
  • Jun 28, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Frosmoth (Secret) 204/192 Swsh02: Rebel Clash Holo$14.99
  • Jun 18, 2026eBay — Frosmoth - Holo - Rebel Clash - 204/192 NM PokemonNM$14.41
  • Jun 17, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Frosmoth 204/192 Gold Secret - Rebel Clash - NM-MTNM$7.16

By grade

  • Raw$14.959 sales
  • PSA 10$45.008 sales

From 17 completed sales recorded between Feb 23, 2026 and Aug 3, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

NOT WORTH IT

Based on 8 graded sales and 4,410,610 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Frosmoth is a Rare Secret Pokémon card from Rebel Clash (#204), illustrated by PLANETA Tsuji. It's a Stage 1 Water-type Pokémon with 90 HP, evolving from Snom, weak to Metal ×2. Its current blended market value is $14.39 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $60 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 4× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 21 August 2026.

0.1%
Played in 0.1% of competitive decks — 3 of 3,174 decklists across the last 41 Standard tournaments.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202321 Aug 2026
Latest
$14.39
Period high
$15.75
Period low
$7.33
Change
50.1%
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Recent sold prices

No recent sold listings tracked.

Should you grade it?

$41

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 56% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case $25); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)56%
Expected return$41
PSA 10 best case$25
VerdictNot worth it

The odds

Frosmoth is a Secret / Rainbow in Rebel Clash — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 17 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 683 packs.

Secret / Rainbow2.5%17 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)56%587 of 1,049
PSA 940.1%421 of 1,049
PSA graded so far1,049
Gem Mint 10587
Total graded1,049

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$59.99$71$254.2×
PSA 9$24.75$70$601.7×
PSA 8$15.47$70$691.1×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,049 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1056%$60.00
PSA 940.1%$25.00
PSA ≤83.9%$14.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 56% of 1,049 PSA-graded Frosmoth copies are a gem-mint 10 (587 of 1,049) — the rest grade lower.

PSA1,049 gradedPSA 10 · 587 · 56% gem
10587
9421
834
72
63
52
CGC1,584 gradedCGC 10 · 588 · 37% gem
10588
9.518
9864
8.572
818

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Frosmoth 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$14.39
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 587$60$51$69
PSA 9pop 421$25$21$28
PSA 8pop 34$15$11$16
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$14.39
LPLightly Played$12.68
MPModerately Played$8.34
HPHeavily Played$7.20
DMGDamaged$5.29
7-day 2.0%
30-day 18.0%
90-day 34.5%
All-time high$15
All-time low$9
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

14% spread
Cardmarket · cheapest$13
PriceCharting$14
TCGplayer · dearest$14

Currently 14% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFalling -6%
Cross-marketSome gap 14% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

13% cheaper than the US
Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$13
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Snom.

Ice DanceAbility

As often as you like during your turn, you may attach a Water Energy card from your hand to 1 of your Benched Water Pokémon.

Aurora Beam30
Water · Colorless
Weakness Metal ×2Retreat 2

It shows no mercy to any who desecrate fields and mountains. It will fly around on its icy wings, causing a blizzard to chase offenders away.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Frost Moth PokémonGEN VIIISnomFrosmoth

Icy scales fall from its wings like snow as it flies over fields and mountains. The temperature of its wings is less than −290 degrees Fahrenheit.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#204
RarityRare Secret
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 1
TypeWater
HP90
Evolves fromSnom
WeaknessMetal ×2
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#873
Card IDswsh2-204
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Frosmoth cards

There are 9 different Frosmoth printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Rebel Clash #204 (Rare Secret).

More from Rebel Clash

Frequently asked questions

How much is Frosmoth (Rebel Clash #204) worth?

As of 21 August 2026, Frosmoth from Rebel Clash is worth approximately $14.39 ungraded (near-mint), and around $60 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Frosmoth?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Frosmoth from Rebel Clash is worth around $60 — roughly 4× the raw ungraded value of $14.39.

Should I grade my Frosmoth?

A PSA 10 sells for about $60 versus $14.39 raw — roughly a 4× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Frosmoth rare?

Frosmoth is a Rare Secret card from Rebel Clash (card #204), illustrated by PLANETA Tsuji. Its current blended market value is $14.39 ungraded.

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Citation
Frosmoth (Rebel Clash #204) — Pokémon market value $14.39, PSA 10 $59.99. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/rebel-clash/frosmoth-204
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