Dawn Wings Necrozma
Market value · ungraded
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NOT WORTH ITBased on 0 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Dawn Wings Necrozma is a Promo Pokémon card from SM Black Star Promos (#SM106), illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. It's a Basic Ultra Beast Psychic-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Darkness ×2. Its current blended market value is $3.69 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $49 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 13× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 10% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$25); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Dawn Wings Necrozma is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $48.86 | $70 | −$25 | 13.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 10 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 10% | $49.00 |
| PSA 9 | 60% | $20.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 30% | $4.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 10% of 10 PSA-graded Dawn Wings Necrozma copies are a gem-mint 10 (1 of 10) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Dawn Wings Necrozma 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 1 | $49$49–$49 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
23% spreadCurrently 23% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
If you have exactly 6 Prize cards remaining, this attack does 20 more damage for each damage counter on this Pokémon.
Discard 2 Energy from this Pokémon.
“Lunala no longer has a will of its own. Now under the control of Necrozma, it continuously expels all of its energy.”
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Dawn Wings Necrozma cards
There are 2 different Dawn Wings Necrozma printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is SM Black Star Promos #SM106 (Promo).
More from SM Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Dawn Wings Necrozma (SM Black Star Promos #SM106) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Dawn Wings Necrozma from SM Black Star Promos is worth approximately $3.69 ungraded (near-mint), and around $49 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Dawn Wings Necrozma?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Dawn Wings Necrozma from SM Black Star Promos is worth around $49 — roughly 13× the raw ungraded value of $3.69.
Should I grade my Dawn Wings Necrozma?
A PSA 10 sells for about $49 versus $3.69 raw — roughly a 13× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Dawn Wings Necrozma rare?
Dawn Wings Necrozma is a Promo card from SM Black Star Promos (card #SM106), illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. Its current blended market value is $3.69 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Dawn Wings Necrozma (SM Black Star Promos #SM106) — Pokémon market value $3.69, PSA 10 $48.86. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/sm-black-star-promos/dawn-wings-necrozma-sm106<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=smp-SM106" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Dawn Wings Necrozma price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>