Detective PikachuPR-SM SM194 · SM Black Star Promos Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
Typical copy sold $7 41 sales, all conditionsPack fresh $22est.
- PSA 8$254 sold · 90d · pop 224
- PSA 9$43pop 459
- PSA 10$5264 sold · 90d · asking · pop 247
What's your copy worth?
Estimated. This card has enough sales to price the top 15% but not the top 5%, so pack-fresh is projected from the gap we measure between those two tiers on cards that do — about 1.4x on vintage, 1.2x on modern. $21.89. That's about +118% over a typical Near Mint copy.
ⓘ How do we work this out?
We take every real sale of this exact card over the last 12 months (42 sales), sort them by price, and read off the top 15% and top 5%. No multipliers, no guesses — the prices cleaner copies actually fetched.
Why cleaner copies cost more: buyers can see condition in the photos and pay for it. Listings sellers describe as pack fresh or gem mint land in this top band 1.7× more often than ordinary ones — the premium follows the card, not the hype.
Copies in this band are also the ones collectors send to grading: far more likely than a typical binder copy to be submitted at all — and to come back with the strong grade that carries the PSA prices shown on this page. That prospect is part of what buyers are paying for here.
These are read straight off this card's own completed sales — sort them by price and take the top 15% and top 5%. Whether your copy qualifies is a judgment made by looking at the card.
What this price is based on
Medium confidence41 sales in 90 days, but prices vary widely.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — 2019 POKEMON SM BLACK STAR PROMO D. PIKA SP CASE FILE #SM194 DETECTIVE PIKACHU$14.78
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — 2019 Pokemon SM Black Star Promos Detective Pikachu #SM194$6.95
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Fart Swirl 🌀 Detective Pikachu SM194 Cosmos Holo Rare Pokemon TCG Black Star$29.99
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Detective Pikachu SM194 Black Star Promo Holo English Basic HP 90$9.00
- Aug 11, 2026eBay — Detective Pikachu SM194 Sun & Moon Promo Black Star Promo Pokemon Card Holo NMNM$9.99
- Aug 4, 2026eBay — Detective Pikachu SM194 - Black Star Promo - Pokemon Card$8.00
- Aug 4, 2026eBay — Pokemon Black Star Promo Detective Pikachu SM194 Holo ExcellentLP$7.00
- Aug 2, 2026eBay — 2019 Pokemon Detective Pikachu Holo Black Star Promo SM194 NM HD GALAXY SWIRL!NM$34.67
By grade
- Raw$7.0069 sales
- PSA 10$5129 sales
- PSA 8$18.507 sales
- PSA 6$21.494 sales
- CGC 8.5$13.004 sales
- CGC 9$19.203 sales
- CGC 10$56.402 sales
- CGC 0.5$8.502 sales
From 104 completed sales recorded between Nov 26, 2024 and Sep 3, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 34 graded sales and 4,410,587 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Detective Pikachu is a Promo Pokémon card from SM Black Star Promos (#SM194, released 2017), illustrated by MPC Film. It's a Basic Lightning-type Pokémon with 90 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $10.06 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $526 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 52× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 5 September 2026.
Detective Pikachu price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history67 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
Demand & liquidity
Last sold $16 · CGC 8 · 3 Sep 2026
How often each grade sells · last 90 days, all marketplaces
Is Detective Pikachu worth grading?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 24.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$411); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Detective Pikachu is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $526.00 | $105 | +$411 | 52.3× |
| PSA 9 | $43.00 | $70 | −$37 | 4.3× |
| PSA 8 | $25.00 | $70 | −$55 | 2.5× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 1,026 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 24.1% | $526.00 |
| PSA 9 | 44.2% | $43.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 31.7% | $20.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
Only 23% of 1,057 PSA-graded Detective Pikachu copies are a gem-mint 10 (247 of 1,057) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Detective Pikachu 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Pokemon TCG Detective Pikachu SM194 Black Star Promo Holo 90 HPRaw · eBay$5.99
Pokemon TCG Detective Pikachu SM194 Black Star Promo Holo English Basic HP 90Raw · eBay$6.50
Pokémon TCG Detective Pikachu SM194 Holo Black Star Promo CardRaw · eBay$6.99
Detective Pikachu SM194 - Black Star Promo - Pokemon CardRaw · eBay$6.99
POKEMON 2 DETECTIVE PIKACHU SM194 SUN & MOON BLACK STAR PROMOS HOLO NMRaw · eBay$8.25
Detective Pikachu SM194 Sun Moon Black Star Promo Holo Rare Pokemon TCG Card LPRaw · eBay$8.50Cheapest raw copy $5.99 — 40% below our estimate of $10
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 2474 · 90d | asking$526$421–$631 | |
| PSA 9pop 459 | ✓ 24 cert-verified$43$35–$51 | |
| PSA 8pop 2244 · 90d | ✓ 18 cert-verified$25$18–$25 | |
| PSA 7pop 73 | modelled$10$10–$10 | |
| PSA 1pop 2 | modelled$7$7–$7 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
A typical Near Mint copy sells for $9.99. Grading-candidate copies — the cleanest 15% of sales — typically fetch $16.10 (+61%). Pack-fresh examples — the top 5% — go for about $21.74.
From 15 sales in the last 12 months. These describe the market — whether a specific copy is a grading candidate is a judgment made by looking at it.
For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $23 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
14% spreadCurrently 14% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Look at the top 4 cards of your deck and put 1 of them into your hand. Shuffle the other cards back into your deck.
“Skilled in deduction, he's a self-proclaimed "great detective." His detective hat is his trademark.”
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Detective Pikachu cards
There are 4 different Detective Pikachu printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is SM Black Star Promos #SM194 (Promo).
More from SM Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Detective Pikachu (SM Black Star Promos #SM194) worth?
As of 5 September 2026, Detective Pikachu from SM Black Star Promos is worth approximately $10.06 ungraded (near-mint), and around $526 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Detective Pikachu?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Detective Pikachu from SM Black Star Promos is worth around $526 — roughly 52× the raw ungraded value of $10.06.
Should I grade my Detective Pikachu?
A PSA 10 sells for about $526 versus $10.06 raw — roughly a 52× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Detective Pikachu rare?
Detective Pikachu is a Promo card from SM Black Star Promos (card #SM194), illustrated by MPC Film. Its current blended market value is $10.06 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Detective Pikachu (SM Black Star Promos #SM194) — Pokémon market value $10.06, PSA 10 $526.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/sm-black-star-promos/detective-pikachu-sm194<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=smp-SM194" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Detective Pikachu price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>