Dusk Mane Necrozma
Market value · ungraded
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Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 0 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Dusk Mane Necrozma is a Promo Pokémon card from SM Black Star Promos (#SM124), illustrated by nagimiso. It's a Basic Ultra Beast Metal-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Fire ×2. Its current blended market value is $2.61 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $29 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 11× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history2 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | PSA 5 | $7.50 | #161356193 ✓ |
| 22 Mar 2026 | PSA 10 | $218.00 | #78444626 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 27.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$44); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Dusk Mane Necrozma is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $29.00 | $70 | −$44 | 11.1× |
| PSA 9 | $7.01 | $70 | −$66 | 2.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 72 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 27.8% | $29.00 |
| PSA 9 | 52.8% | $7.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 19.4% | $3.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 28% of 72 PSA-graded Dusk Mane Necrozma copies are a gem-mint 10 (20 of 72) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Dusk Mane Necrozma 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 20 | $29$29–$29 | |
| PSA 9pop 38 | $7$7–$7 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
14% spreadCurrently 14% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
This attack does 60 damage to 1 of your opponent's Pokémon-GX or Pokémon-EX. This damage isn't affected by Weakness or Resistance.
If your opponent has exactly 1 Prize card remaining, this attack does 100 more damage.
“This is its form with it is devouring the light of Solgaleo. It pounces on its foes and then slashes them with the claws on its four limbs and back.”
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Dusk Mane Necrozma cards
There are 2 different Dusk Mane Necrozma printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is SM Black Star Promos #SM124 (Promo).
More from SM Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Dusk Mane Necrozma (SM Black Star Promos #SM124) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Dusk Mane Necrozma from SM Black Star Promos is worth approximately $2.61 ungraded (near-mint), and around $29 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Dusk Mane Necrozma?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Dusk Mane Necrozma from SM Black Star Promos is worth around $29 — roughly 11× the raw ungraded value of $2.61.
Should I grade my Dusk Mane Necrozma?
A PSA 10 sells for about $29 versus $2.61 raw — roughly a 11× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Dusk Mane Necrozma rare?
Dusk Mane Necrozma is a Promo card from SM Black Star Promos (card #SM124), illustrated by nagimiso. Its current blended market value is $2.61 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Dusk Mane Necrozma (SM Black Star Promos #SM124) — Pokémon market value $2.61, PSA 10 $29.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/sm-black-star-promos/dusk-mane-necrozma-sm124<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=smp-SM124" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Dusk Mane Necrozma price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>