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Raikou-GX SM Black Star Promos #SM121 Pokémon card
Promo

Raikou-GX

SM Black Star Promos · PR-SM SM121 · Illustrated by 5ban Graphics
170 HPLightningPokémonBasicGX

Market value · ungraded

$9.23 5.8% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$9$10
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 5%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$9.23

What this price is based on

High confidence

88 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Median · Raw$8.9997 sales
Trimmed mean$8.91outliers removed
Range$1.99$57.00lowest to highest sale
Sales rate18.8/mo113 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Raikou GX Holo Promo SM Promos SM121 NMNM$9.00
  • Aug 10, 2026eBay — Raikou GX SM121 Holo Promo Sun & Moon Promo Pokemon Near MintNM$10.25
  • Aug 7, 2026eBay — Raikou GX SM121 Holo Pokemon TCG Black Star Promo MINT!NM$13.42
  • Aug 4, 2026eBay — Raikou GX SM121 Promo Holo Ultra Rare Pokemon Card Sun & Moon Near MintNM$8.50
  • Aug 3, 2026eBay — Raikou GX SM121 Sm Holo. NEAR MINTNM$8.00
  • Aug 2, 2026eBay — Pokemon Card - Raikou GX - SM Black Star Promo - Holo - SM121 - M/NMNM$12.11
  • Aug 1, 2026eBay — Raikou GX SM121 Holo Promo Sun & Moon Promo Pokemon Lightly PlayedLP$9.70
  • Aug 1, 2026eBay — Pokémon Raikou GX SM121 Holo Promo Card - 2018 Set - TCG Basic English$10.00

By grade

  • Raw$8.9997 sales
  • PSA 10$2588 sales
  • PSA 9$49.292 sales
  • PSA 8$30.732 sales
  • TAG 10$1301 sale
  • Lot$10.801 sale
  • CGC 9$79.991 sale
  • CGC 8.5$14.401 sale

From 113 completed sales recorded between Mar 21, 2026 and Aug 14, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 15 graded sales and 4,410,011 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Raikou-GX is a Promo Pokémon card from SM Black Star Promos (#SM121), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Basic GX Lightning-type Pokémon with 170 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $9.23 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $216 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 23× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$9.23
Period high
$9.76
Period low
$3.64
Change
112.7%
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Verified sales history10 in 90 daysreal completed listings

DateGradePriceCert
10 Aug 2026PSA 10$215.82#40925098
9 Aug 2026PSA 10$240.00#56004296
9 Aug 2026PSA 8$39.95#57427796
28 Jul 2026PSA 10$299.00#154740401
26 Jul 2026PSA 9$52.00#128465229
19 Jul 2026PSA 10$260.00#56004296
17 Jul 2026PSA 9$22.50#128955612
24 Jun 2026PSA 9$61.69#128913843
22 Jun 2026PSA 10$249.99#40925096
18 Jun 2026PSA 10$260.00#92711010

Should you grade it?

+$13

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 35.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$135); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)35.1%
Expected return+$13
PSA 10 best case+$135
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictWorth grading

The odds

Raikou-GX is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.

PSA 10 (gem mint)35.1%158 of 450
PSA 946.2%208 of 450
PSA graded so far450
Gem Mint 10158
Total graded450

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$216.00$72+$13523.4×
PSA 9$36.00$70$443.9×
PSA 8$22.00$70$572.4×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 450 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1035.1%$216.00
PSA 946.2%$36.00
PSA ≤818.7%$9.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 35% of 450 PSA-graded Raikou-GX copies are a gem-mint 10 (158 of 450) — the rest grade lower.

PSA450 gradedPSA 10 · 158 · 35% gem
10158
9208
865
77
65
55
31
11

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Raikou-GX 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.

All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$9.23
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 158✓ 31 cert-verified$216$153$216
PSA 9pop 208$36$31$41
PSA 8pop 65✓ 10 cert-verified$22$17$22
PSA 7pop 7$13$13$13
PSA 6pop 5$7$7$7
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$9.23
LPLightly Played$7.79
MPModerately Played$4.73
HPHeavily Played$3.70
DMGDamaged$2.75
7-day 1.9%
30-day 8.0%
90-day 24.4%
All-time high$9
All-time low$5
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

5% spread
TCGplayer · cheapest$10
PriceCharting · dearest$10

Currently 5% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dRising +6%
Cross-marketMarkets agree 5% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Dig Claws30
Colorless · Colorless
Thunder150
Lightning · Lightning · Colorless · Colorless

Flip a coin. If tails, this Pokémon does 50 damage to itself.

Thunderous Rain-GX
Lightning · Lightning · Lightning · Lightning

This attack does 100 damage to each of your opponent's Pokémon that has any Energy attached to it. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.) (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)

Weakness Fighting ×2Resistance Metal -20Retreat 1

Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#SM121
RarityPromo
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesBasic, GX
TypeLightning
HP170
WeaknessFighting ×2
ResistanceMetal -20
Retreat cost1
National Pokédex#243
Card IDsmp-SM121
SourceAggregated marketplaces

More from SM Black Star Promos

Frequently asked questions

How much is Raikou-GX (SM Black Star Promos #SM121) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Raikou-GX from SM Black Star Promos is worth approximately $9.23 ungraded (near-mint), and around $216 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Raikou-GX?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Raikou-GX from SM Black Star Promos is worth around $216 — roughly 23× the raw ungraded value of $9.23.

Should I grade my Raikou-GX?

A PSA 10 sells for about $216 versus $9.23 raw — roughly a 23× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Raikou-GX rare?

Raikou-GX is a Promo card from SM Black Star Promos (card #SM121), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $9.23 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Raikou-GX (SM Black Star Promos #SM121) — Pokémon market value $9.23, PSA 10 $216.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/sm-black-star-promos/raikou-gx-sm121
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=smp-SM121" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Raikou-GX price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>