Ultra Necrozma
Market value · ungraded
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NOT WORTH ITBased on 0 graded sales and 4,409,561 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
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✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Ultra Necrozma is a Promo Pokémon card from SM Black Star Promos (#SM165), illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. It's a Basic Ultra Beast Dragon-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Fairy ×2. Its current blended market value is $4.35 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $57 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 13× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 5.6% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$18); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Ultra Necrozma is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $57.14 | $71 | −$18 | 13.1× |
| PSA 8 | $14.00 | $70 | −$60 | 3.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 36 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 5.6% | $57.00 |
| PSA 9 | 19.4% | $23.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 75% | $4.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 6% of 36 PSA-graded Ultra Necrozma copies are a gem-mint 10 (2 of 36) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Ultra Necrozma 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 2 | $57$57–$57 | |
| PSA 8pop 10 | $14$14–$14 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
1% spreadCurrently 1% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
If the total of both players' remaining Prize cards is 6 or less, discard all Energy attached to this Pokémon, and this attack does 100 more damage.
“This is its form when it has absorbed overwhelming light energy. It fires laser beams from all over its body.”
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Ultra Necrozma cards
There are 2 different Ultra Necrozma printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is SM Black Star Promos #SM165 (Promo).
More from SM Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Ultra Necrozma (SM Black Star Promos #SM165) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Ultra Necrozma from SM Black Star Promos is worth approximately $4.35 ungraded (near-mint), and around $57 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Ultra Necrozma?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ultra Necrozma from SM Black Star Promos is worth around $57 — roughly 13× the raw ungraded value of $4.35.
Should I grade my Ultra Necrozma?
A PSA 10 sells for about $57 versus $4.35 raw — roughly a 13× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Ultra Necrozma rare?
Ultra Necrozma is a Promo card from SM Black Star Promos (card #SM165), illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. Its current blended market value is $4.35 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Ultra Necrozma (SM Black Star Promos #SM165) — Pokémon market value $4.35, PSA 10 $57.14. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/sm-black-star-promos/ultra-necrozma-sm165<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=smp-SM165" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Ultra Necrozma price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>