Ultra NecrozmaPR-SM SM165 · SM Black Star Promos Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
- PSA 8$14modelled · pop 10
- PSA 10$57modelled · pop 2
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for SM Black Star Promos #PR-SM SM165, 2017. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Ultra Necrozma is a Promo Pokémon card from SM Black Star Promos (#SM165, released 2017), illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. It's a Basic Ultra Beast Dragon-type Pokémon with 130 HP, weak to Fairy ×2. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 11 September 2026.
Ultra Necrozma price history & recent sales
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
Low confidenceOnly 1 sale in the last 90 days. · Moderate — Occasional sales
Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.
By grade
- Raw$4.471 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
- PSA 8$14.001 sale
- PSA 6$10.501 sale · 1 in 90d, rare
Is Ultra Necrozma worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 8 — worth $14 against the $75 you put in, a $61 loss. The money is in the 1 in 4 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $23–$57. Averaged over every outcome that is −$61 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Ultra Necrozma is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $57.24 | $71 | −$18 | 12.6× |
| PSA 8 | $14.00 | $70 | −$61 | 3.1× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 36 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 5.6% | $57.24 |
| PSA 9 | 19.4% | $23.00 |
| PSA 8 — typical | 27.8% | $14.00 |
| PSA 7 | 11.1% | $4.55 |
| PSA 6 | 30.6% | $4.55 |
| PSA 5 | 5.6% | $4.55 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
2 of the 37 PSA-graded Ultra Necrozma copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 5.4%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 37.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 1.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Ultra Necrozma 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 2 | modelled$57$57–$57 | |
| PSA 8pop 10 | modelled$14$14–$14 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
0% spreadCurrently 0% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
If the total of both players' remaining Prize cards is 6 or less, discard all Energy attached to this Pokémon, and this attack does 100 more damage.
“This is its form when it has absorbed overwhelming light energy. It fires laser beams from all over its body.”
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Ultra Necrozma cards
There are 2 different Ultra Necrozma printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is SM Black Star Promos #SM165 (Promo).
More from SM Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Ultra Necrozma (SM Black Star Promos #SM165) worth?
As of 11 September 2026, Ultra Necrozma from SM Black Star Promos is worth approximately $4.55 ungraded (near-mint), and around $57 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Ultra Necrozma?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ultra Necrozma from SM Black Star Promos is worth around $57 — roughly 13× the raw ungraded value of $4.55.
Should I grade my Ultra Necrozma?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Ultra Necrozma rare?
Ultra Necrozma is a Promo card from SM Black Star Promos (card #SM165).
How do I know if my Ultra Necrozma is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Ultra Necrozma (SM Black Star Promos #SM165) — Pokémon market value $4.55, PSA 10 $57.24. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/sm-black-star-promos/ultra-necrozma-sm165<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=smp-SM165" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Ultra Necrozma price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>