Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence30 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Spheal Card 199/191 Surging Sparks Illustration, Near Mint ConditionNM$7.59
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Holo Spheal - 199/191 - Surging Sparks NMNM$8.32
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Pokémon Surging Sparks Spheal 199$11.66
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Pokémon TCG Spheal 199/191 Surging Sparks IR Holo EN 70HP$7.00
- Jul 31, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Pokémon TCG Spheal 199/191 Sv08 Surging Sparks IR Holo$8.00
- Jul 31, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Spheal 199/191 Sv08 Surging Sparks Holo IR EN 70HP$8.00
- Jul 31, 2026eBay — Pokemon Company Spheal 199/191 SV08 Surging Sparks Illus Rare Holo EN 70HP$7.00
- Jul 28, 2026eBay — 2024 Pokemon Surging Sparks Spheal #199/191$7.50
By grade
- Raw$7.5032 sales
- PSA 9$20.007 sales
- CGC 9$11.007 sales
- CGC 10$28.007 sales
- PSA 10$75.706 sales
- PSA 8$16.002 sales
- CGC 9.5$8.402 sales
- CGC 8$9.601 sale
From 65 completed sales recorded between Jan 13, 2026 and Aug 9, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 33 graded sales and 5,115,401 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Spheal is a Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Surging Sparks (#199), illustrated by miki kudo. It's a Basic Water-type Pokémon with 70 HP, weak to Metal ×2. Its current blended market value is $9.81 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $102 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 10× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $96.00 | #102349741 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $117.00 | #113424656 ✓ |
| 14 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $15.00 | #107364949 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $29.99 | #150268433 ✓ |
| 13 Aug 2026 | PSA 7 | $19.99 | #102090435 ✓ |
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $122.93 | #110823155 ✓ |
| 10 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $12.50 | #155257298 ✓ |
| 10 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $13.50 | #104033096 ✓ |
| 9 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $101.60 | #121417293 ✓ |
| 9 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $16.50 | #132507130 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 32.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$21); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Spheal is a Ultra Rare in Surging Sparks — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 44 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 442 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $102.00 | $71 | +$21 | 10.4× |
| PSA 9 | $18.00 | $70 | −$62 | 1.8× |
| PSA 8.5 | $15.00 | $70 | −$65 | 1.5× |
| PSA 8 | $14.00 | $70 | −$66 | 1.4× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 4,624 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 32.1% | $102.00 |
| PSA 9 | 54.4% | $18.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 13.5% | $10.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 32% of 4,624 PSA-graded Spheal copies are a gem-mint 10 (1,483 of 4,624) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Spheal 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 1,483 | ✓ 379 cert-verified$102$76–$103 | |
| PSA 9pop 2,517 | ✓ 490 cert-verified$18$18–$24 | |
| PSA 8.5pop 18 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$15 | |
| PSA 8pop 514 | ✓ 55 cert-verified$14$12–$18 | |
| PSA 7pop 55 | ✓ 5 cert-verified$9 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
77% spreadCurrently 77% cheaper on Cardmarket than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
43% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Your opponent's Active Pokémon is now Asleep.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Spheal cards
There are 9 different Spheal printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Surging Sparks #199 (Illustration Rare).
More from Surging Sparks
Frequently asked questions
How much is Spheal (Surging Sparks #199) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Spheal from Surging Sparks is worth approximately $9.81 ungraded (near-mint), and around $102 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Spheal?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Spheal from Surging Sparks is worth around $102 — roughly 10× the raw ungraded value of $9.81.
Should I grade my Spheal?
A PSA 10 sells for about $102 versus $9.81 raw — roughly a 10× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Spheal rare?
Spheal is a Illustration Rare card from Surging Sparks (card #199), illustrated by miki kudo. Its current blended market value is $9.81 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Spheal (Surging Sparks #199) — Pokémon market value $9.81, PSA 10 $102.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/surging-sparks/spheal-199<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sv8-199" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Spheal price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>