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Check your printing2 different Lucario VSTAR printings exist — is this your card? SWSH Black Star Promos #SWSH291
Lucario VSTAR SWSH Black Star Promos #SWSH291 Pokémon card
Promo

Lucario VSTAR

SWSH Black Star Promos · PR-SW SWSH291 · Illustrated by hncl
270 HPFightingPokémonVSTAR

Market value · ungraded

$11.22 11.6% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Range$10$14
Sold prices, not asking. TCGplayer + Cardmarket. Updated 20 August 2026. 3 sources agree within 34%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$11.22

What this price is based on

High confidence

127 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Median · Raw$15.00131 sales
Trimmed mean$15.62outliers removed
Range$6.50$190lowest to highest sale
Sales rate27.7/mo168 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 16, 2026eBay — SEALED Pokemon TCG Lucario VSTAR - SWSH291 Sword & Shield Black Star Promo$17.99
  • Aug 16, 2026eBay — Pokémon TCG Lucario VSTAR SWSH291 Crown Zenith ETB Black Star Promo Card$20.00
  • Aug 16, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Lucario VSTAR SWSH291 Sealed Black Star Promo Crown Zenith NMNM$14.99
  • Aug 16, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Lucario VSTAR SWSH291 Sealed Black Star Promo Crown Zenith NMNM$19.99
  • Aug 16, 2026eBay — Lucario VSTAR SWSH291 Sword and Shield Black Star Promo Pokemon TCG NMNM$15.00
  • Aug 16, 2026eBay — Lucario VSTAR SWSH291 Sword & Shield Black Star Promo Cards Holo Pokemon Sealed$25.99
  • Aug 16, 2026eBay — Pokemon Card TCG - Lucario VSTAR SWSH291 Sword & Shield Black Star Promo NMNM$11.49
  • Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon Lucario VSTAR (SWSH291/332) SWSH Black Star Promos LP HOLOLP$10.99

By grade

  • Raw$15.00131 sales
  • PSA 10$14014 sales
  • CGC 10$59.998 sales
  • PSA 9$29.953 sales
  • CGC 8.5$20.003 sales
  • CGC 9.5$32.992 sales
  • ACE 10$1062 sales
  • TAG 10$1581 sale

From 168 completed sales recorded between Jan 11, 2026 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted. The range is wide because these sales span different printings and conditions — 1st Edition, Shadowless and Unlimited copies all carry this card's name, and they trade at very different levels. Each sale above is labelled with what its listing claimed, so you can see which ones describe the same object. Treat the median as the typical copy, not the range.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 36 graded sales and 4,450,419 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Lucario VSTAR is a Promo Pokémon card from SWSH Black Star Promos (#SWSH291), illustrated by hncl. It's a VSTAR Fighting-type Pokémon with 270 HP, evolving from Lucario V, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $11.22 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $161 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 14× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Sept 202320 Aug 2026
Latest
$11.22
Period high
$15.54
Period low
$1.39
Change
707.2%
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Recent sold prices

No recent sold listings tracked.

Should you grade it?

+$21

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 57.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$78); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)57.8%
Expected return+$21
PSA 10 best case+$78
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictWorth grading

The odds

Lucario VSTAR is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.

PSA 10 (gem mint)57.8%23,611 of 40,870
PSA 933.4%13,651 of 40,870
PSA graded so far40,870
Gem Mint 1023,611
Total graded40,870

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$161.00$72+$7814.3×
PSA 9$30.00$70$522.7×
PSA 8.5$15.00$70$661.3×
PSA 8$14.68$70$671.3×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 40,870 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1057.8%$161.00
PSA 933.4%$30.00
PSA ≤88.8%$11.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 58% of 40,870 PSA-graded Lucario VSTAR copies are a gem-mint 10 (23,611 of 40,870) — the rest grade lower.

PSA40,870 gradedPSA 10 · 23,611 · 58% gem
1023,611
913,651
8.517
82,386
7.51
7487
6391
5187
4102
315
27
13

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Lucario VSTAR 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Check recent sold prices

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All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$11.22
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 23,611$161$137$185
PSA 9pop 13,651$30$26$35
PSA 8.5pop 17$15$15$15
PSA 8pop 2,386$15$12$17
PSA 4pop 102$12$10$16
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$11.22
LPLightly Played$10.37
MPModerately Played$9.31
HPHeavily Played$6.00
DMGDamaged$5.91
7-day 13.2%
30-day 2.4%
90-day 22.7%
All-time high$20
All-time low$3
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

34% spread
Cardmarket · cheapest$10
TCGplayer$11
PriceCharting · dearest$14

Currently 34% cheaper on Cardmarket than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFalling -12%
Cross-marketMarkets disagree 34% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe

8% cheaper than the US
Cardmarket · Europe's largest card market$10

🔥 Trending in the community

#6 on the radar
Mentions this week15

Lucario is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: My girlfriend and I broke up · 2537↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Lucario V.

Fighting Knuckle120+
Fighting · Colorless · Colorless

If your opponent's Active Pokémon is a Pokémon V, this attack does 120 more damage.

Aura Star70×
Fighting · Colorless

This attack does 70 damage for each Energy attached to all of your opponent's Pokémon. (You can't use more than 1 VSTAR Power in a game.)

Weakness Psychic ×2Retreat 2

VSTAR rule: When your Pokémon VSTAR is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Aura PokémonGEN IVRioluLucario

It has the ability to sense the auras of all things. It understands human speech.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#SWSH291
RarityPromo
Artisthncl
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesVSTAR
TypeFighting
HP270
Evolves fromLucario V
WeaknessPsychic ×2
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#448
Card IDswshp-SWSH291
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Lucario VSTAR cards

There are 2 different Lucario VSTAR printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is SWSH Black Star Promos #SWSH291 (Promo).

More from SWSH Black Star Promos

Frequently asked questions

How much is Lucario VSTAR (SWSH Black Star Promos #SWSH291) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Lucario VSTAR from SWSH Black Star Promos is worth approximately $11.22 ungraded (near-mint), and around $161 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Lucario VSTAR?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lucario VSTAR from SWSH Black Star Promos is worth around $161 — roughly 14× the raw ungraded value of $11.22.

Should I grade my Lucario VSTAR?

A PSA 10 sells for about $161 versus $11.22 raw — roughly a 14× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Lucario VSTAR rare?

Lucario VSTAR is a Promo card from SWSH Black Star Promos (card #SWSH291), illustrated by hncl. Its current blended market value is $11.22 ungraded.

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Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Lucario VSTAR (SWSH Black Star Promos #SWSH291) — Pokémon market value $11.22, PSA 10 $161.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/swsh-black-star-promos/lucario-vstar-swsh291
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<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swshp-SWSH291" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lucario VSTAR price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>