Market value · ungraded
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Lucario VSTAR is a Promo Pokémon card from SWSH Black Star Promos (#SWSH291), illustrated by hncl. It's a VSTAR Fighting-type Pokémon with 270 HP, evolving from Lucario V, weak to Psychic ×2. Its current blended market value is $12.69 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $161 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 13× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 11 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
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Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 57.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$77); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Lucario VSTAR is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $161.00 | $72 | +$77 | 12.7× |
| PSA 9 | $30.00 | $70 | −$53 | 2.4× |
| PSA 8.5 | $15.00 | $70 | −$68 | 1.2× |
| PSA 8 | $14.68 | $70 | −$68 | 1.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 40,870 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 57.8% | $161.00 |
| PSA 9 | 33.4% | $30.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 8.8% | $13.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 58% of 40,870 PSA-graded Lucario VSTAR copies are a gem-mint 10 (23,611 of 40,870) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Lucario VSTAR 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 23,611 | $161$137–$185 | |
| PSA 9pop 13,651 | $30$26–$35 | |
| PSA 8.5pop 17 | $15$15–$15 | |
| PSA 8pop 2,386 | $15$12–$17 | |
| PSA 4pop 102 | $12$10–$16 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
20% spreadCurrently 20% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#29 on the radarLucario is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “First tournament tomorrow, what do I need to know?” · 21↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Lucario V.
If your opponent's Active Pokémon is a Pokémon V, this attack does 120 more damage.
This attack does 70 damage for each Energy attached to all of your opponent's Pokémon. (You can't use more than 1 VSTAR Power in a game.)
VSTAR rule: When your Pokémon VSTAR is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Lucario VSTAR cards
There are 2 different Lucario VSTAR printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is SWSH Black Star Promos #SWSH291 (Promo).
More from SWSH Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Lucario VSTAR (SWSH Black Star Promos #SWSH291) worth?
As of 11 August 2026, Lucario VSTAR from SWSH Black Star Promos is worth approximately $12.69 ungraded (near-mint), and around $161 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Lucario VSTAR?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Lucario VSTAR from SWSH Black Star Promos is worth around $161 — roughly 13× the raw ungraded value of $12.69.
Should I grade my Lucario VSTAR?
A PSA 10 sells for about $161 versus $12.69 raw — roughly a 13× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Lucario VSTAR rare?
Lucario VSTAR is a Promo card from SWSH Black Star Promos (card #SWSH291), illustrated by hncl. Its current blended market value is $12.69 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Lucario VSTAR (SWSH Black Star Promos #SWSH291) — Pokémon market value $12.69, PSA 10 $161.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/swsh-black-star-promos/lucario-vstar-swsh291<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=swshp-SWSH291" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Lucario VSTAR price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>