Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Medium confidence3 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 8, 2026eBay — Dawn Wings Necrozma GX Prism Holo Card 161/156 Lightly Played SM Ultra RareLP$16.00
- Jul 18, 2026eBay — Rainbow - Dawn Wings Necrozma GX Pokémon Sun & Moon Ultra Prism #161$19.99
- Jun 22, 2026eBay — dawn wings necrozma gx 161/156$19.99
By grade
- Raw$19.993 sales
- PSA 10$2212 sales
From 5 completed sales recorded between May 18, 2026 and Aug 8, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 2 graded sales and 4,409,887 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX is a Rare Rainbow Pokémon card from Ultra Prism (#161), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Basic GX Ultra Beast Psychic-type Pokémon with 180 HP, weak to Darkness ×2. Its current blended market value is $26.71 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $199 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 7× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $38.63 | #60629621 ✓ |
| 9 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $214.50 | #139920004 ✓ |
| 7 Aug 2026 | PSA 10 | $220.00 | #154001490 ✓ |
| 6 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $53.79 | #69091351 ✓ |
| 20 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $203.50 | #146699206 ✓ |
| 5 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $226.69 | #69097546 ✓ |
| 21 May 2026 | PSA 8 | $37.25 | #152289026 ✓ |
| 18 May 2026 | PSA 10 | $222.00 | #42011626 ✓ |
| 5 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $51.51 | #69091351 ✓ |
| 27 Apr 2026 | PSA 8 | $34.90 | #44323570 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 42.1% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$100); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX is a Secret / Rainbow in Ultra Prism — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 23 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 925 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $199.00 | $72 | +$100 | 7.5× |
| PSA 9 | $49.99 | $70 | −$47 | 1.9× |
| PSA 8 | $36.27 | $70 | −$61 | 1.4× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 330 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 42.1% | $199.00 |
| PSA 9 | 34.8% | $50.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 23% | $27.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 42% of 330 PSA-graded Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX copies are a gem-mint 10 (139 of 330) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 139 | $199$169–$229 | |
| PSA 9pop 115 | $50$42–$57 | |
| PSA 8pop 65 | $36$35–$37 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
44% spreadCurrently 44% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
30% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Once during your turn (before your attack), if this Pokémon is on your Bench, you may switch it with your Active Pokémon.
This attack's damage isn't affected by Resistance.
You can use this attack only if you have more Prize cards remaining than your opponent. Prevent all effects of attacks, including damage, done to this Pokémon during your opponent's next turn. (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)
Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX cards
There are 4 different Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Ultra Prism #161 (Rare Rainbow).
More from Ultra Prism
Frequently asked questions
How much is Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX (Ultra Prism #161) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX from Ultra Prism is worth approximately $26.71 ungraded (near-mint), and around $199 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX from Ultra Prism is worth around $199 — roughly 7× the raw ungraded value of $26.71.
Should I grade my Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX?
A PSA 10 sells for about $199 versus $26.71 raw — roughly a 7× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX rare?
Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX is a Rare Rainbow card from Ultra Prism (card #161), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $26.71 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX (Ultra Prism #161) — Pokémon market value $26.71, PSA 10 $199.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/ultra-prism/dawn-wings-necrozma-gx-161<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm5-161" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>