Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX161/156 · Ultra Prism Price & Value
Market value · Near Mint
- PSA 8$36modelled · pop 66
- PSA 9$503 sold · 90d · pop 120
- PSA 10$2093 sold · 90d · pop 144
Make sure you have the right card
Every price on this page is for Ultra Prism #161/156, 2018. Check yours against the tells below before you buy, sell or grade.
The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
What's your copy worth?
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX is a Rare Rainbow Pokémon card from Ultra Prism (#161, released 2018), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Basic GX Ultra Beast Psychic-type Pokémon with 180 HP, weak to Darkness ×2. It's listed among our rainbow rares and GX cards. Prices below are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 15 September 2026.
Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX price history & recent sales
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history
Medium confidence4 sales in 90 days — enough for a guide, not a guarantee. · Moderate — Occasional sales
7 of 10 verified sales were competitive auctions — this price reflects real bidding, not asking prices. A graded copy trades roughly every 13 days (median gap between cert-verified sales).
By grade
- PSA 10$2207 sales · 3 in 90d, occasional
- PSA 9$44.316 sales · 3 in 90d, occasional
- Raw$17.994 sales · 4 in 90d, occasional
- PSA 8$36.082 sales
Is Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX worth grading?
Most copies come back PSA 9 — worth $50 against the $98 you put in, a $48 loss. The money is in the 1 in 1 that reach PSA 9 or 10 and sell for $50–$220. Averaged over every outcome that is +$20 a card.
That is the average submitted copy. Tell us about yours and the verdict re-prices — most cards stop being worth grading here. Not sure? Grade it from a photo →
These are set to a flawless copy — the answer above. Change any of them to re-price it for the card in your hand.
Compare graders, and the live market
The verdict above is PSA's — the grader the population report, the ROI table and the price ladder on this page all use. Trader prices all three graders against each other and adds what the asking market is doing right now.
- PSA, CGC and Beckett side by side — each on its own population and its own fees, with Beckett scored on the 9.5 its market actually pays for.
- Lightly and moderately played — the same expected return for a copy that cannot gem.
- Ask vs sold — what the live listings want, against what copies have really closed at.
- Momentum — the 30-day median against the 90-day, per grade.
- Where it sells higher — the Fanatics-versus-eBay premium, with the sale counts behind it.
- Population history — the weekly PSA census, so you can see how fast 10s are arriving before you post the card.
The odds
Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX is a Secret / Rainbow in Ultra Prism — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 23 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 925 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $209.00 | $72 | +$110 | 7.8× |
| PSA 9 | $49.99 | $70 | −$47 | 1.9× |
| PSA 8 | $36.27 | $70 | −$61 | 1.4× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 330 PSA-graded copies:
| Outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 42.1% | $220.00 |
| PSA 9 — typical | 34.8% | $49.99 |
| PSA 8 | 19.7% | $36.27 |
| PSA 7 | 0.9% | $26.83 |
| PSA 6 | 0.9% | $26.83 |
| PSA 5 | 0.3% | $26.83 |
| Other (half grades, authentic) | 1.2% | $26.83 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-08-26; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — every grade, with gem rates
144 of the 337 PSA-graded Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX copies came back a gem-mint 10 — 43%. The rest graded lower.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 337.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 54.
Bar length is relative to this grader's most common grade; the figure on the right is the share of all 3.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC, BGS & TAG — a lower gem rate means a Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Dawn wings necrozma GX Pokemon Card Raw · eBay$6.76
Dawn Wings Necrozma Gx And Necrozma GxRaw · eBay$6.99
Dawn Wings Necrozma GX 161/156 SM Ultra Prism Secret Rare Holo 180 HP EngRaw · eBay$14.99
Pokémon Dawn Wings Necrozma GX Secret Rare Full Art Holo Ultra Prism 161/156 18…Raw · eBay$15.00
Dawn Wings Necrozma GX Secret Rare 161/156 SM Ultra Prism HoloRaw · eBay$19.99
Dawn Wings Necrozma GX 161/156 RainbowRaw · eBay$19.99Cheapest raw copy $6.76 — 75% below our near-mint estimate of $27
Buying this card on eBay? The free CardTrack extension shows our value and a deal verdict right on the listing. Add to Chrome →
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 144 | $209$178–$240 | |
| PSA 9pop 120 | $50$42–$57 | |
| PSA 8pop 66 | modelled$36$35–$37 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
7% spreadCurrently 7% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Once during your turn (before your attack), if this Pokémon is on your Bench, you may switch it with your Active Pokémon.
This attack's damage isn't affected by Resistance.
You can use this attack only if you have more Prize cards remaining than your opponent. Prevent all effects of attacks, including damage, done to this Pokémon during your opponent's next turn. (You can't use more than 1 GX attack in a game.)
Pokémon-GX rule: When your Pokémon-GX is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 2 Prize cards.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX cards
There are 4 different Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Ultra Prism #161 (Rare Rainbow).
More from Ultra Prism
Frequently asked questions
How much is Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX (Ultra Prism #161) worth?
As of 15 September 2026, Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX from Ultra Prism is worth approximately $26.83 ungraded (near-mint), and around $209 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX from Ultra Prism is worth around $209 — roughly 8× the raw ungraded value of $26.83.
Should I grade my Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX?
Grading is worth it when the PSA 10 premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10 — the "Should you grade it?" estimate above works that out per grade, net of the current fee.
Is Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX rare?
Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX is a Rare Rainbow card from Ultra Prism (card #161).
How do I know if my Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX is Holofoil?
The illustration window: The picture itself is foiled and the card body is flat. This is the standard holo.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX (Ultra Prism #161) — Pokémon market value $26.83, PSA 10 $209.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/ultra-prism/dawn-wings-necrozma-gx-161<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=sm5-161" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Dawn Wings Necrozma-GX price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>