Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence23 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Watchog 153/086 Sv: White Flare EN Holo IR 90HP$7.46
- Aug 16, 2026eBay — Watchog 153/086 White Flare Holo NM/M - Buy More & SaveNM$8.92
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Watchog Pokemon white flare 153/086$5.33
- Aug 12, 2026eBay — Watchog [SV: White Flare WHT Holofoil - 153/086 NM]NM$7.25
- Aug 5, 2026eBay — 2025 Pokémon Scarlet & Violet - White Flare #153 Watchog$6.49
- Jul 30, 2026eBay — Watchog 153/086 Sv: White Flare Holo Pokemon$6.50
- Jul 26, 2026eBay — Watchog 153/086 SV: White Flare - Pokemon Card - NMNM$10.48
- Jul 25, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Pokémon TCG Watchog 153/086 Sv: White Flare Holo IR ENG$7.50
By grade
- Raw$7.4629 sales
- PSA 9$17.802 sales
- CGC 9.5$9.601 sale
- ACE 9$28.241 sale
- ACE 10$43.031 sale
From 34 completed sales recorded between Feb 23, 2026 and Aug 16, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 5 graded sales and 5,111,101 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Watchog is a Illustration Rare Pokémon card from White Flare (#153), illustrated by Mousho. It's a Stage 1 Colorless-type Pokémon with 90 HP, evolving from Patrat, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $11.35 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $150 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 13× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 10? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
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Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $12.00 | #138447355 ✓ |
| 4 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $29.99 | #124685312 ✓ |
| 4 Aug 2026 | PSA 9 | $12.00 | #155319543 ✓ |
| 18 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $20.00 | #141956346 ✓ |
| 17 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $20.00 | #161561145 ✓ |
| 15 Jul 2026 | PSA 9 | $20.50 | #158509640 ✓ |
| 15 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $157.50 | #146525384 ✓ |
| 25 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $220.50 | #150148332 ✓ |
| 14 Jun 2026 | PSA 8 | $13.65 | #150872408 ✓ |
| 5 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $227.50 | #129924824 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 21% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$67); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Watchog is a Ultra Rare in White Flare — the pack's hit slot lands on Ultra Rare 10% of the time, split across 77 ultra rare cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 774 packs.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $150.00 | $71 | +$67 | 13.2× |
| PSA 9 | $20.00 | $70 | −$62 | 1.8× |
| PSA 8 | $14.00 | $70 | −$67 | 1.2× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 324 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 21% | $150.00 |
| PSA 9 | 62.3% | $20.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 16.7% | $11.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 21% of 324 PSA-graded Watchog copies are a gem-mint 10 (68 of 324) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Watchog 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 68 | ✓ 24 cert-verified$150$102–$150 | |
| PSA 9pop 202 | ✓ 31 cert-verified$20 | |
| PSA 8pop 48 | $14$12–$16 | |
| PSA 7pop 3 | $10$10–$10 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
4% spreadCurrently 4% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Patrat.
During your next turn, this Pokémon's Hyper Fang attack's base damage is 240.
Flip a coin. If tails, this attack does nothing.
“When they see an enemy, their tails stand high, and they spit the seeds of berries stored in their cheek pouches.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Watchog cards
There are 9 different Watchog printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is White Flare #153 (Illustration Rare).
More from White Flare
Frequently asked questions
How much is Watchog (White Flare #153) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Watchog from White Flare is worth approximately $11.35 ungraded (near-mint), and around $150 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Watchog?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Watchog from White Flare is worth around $150 — roughly 13× the raw ungraded value of $11.35.
Should I grade my Watchog?
A PSA 10 sells for about $150 versus $11.35 raw — roughly a 13× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Watchog rare?
Watchog is a Illustration Rare card from White Flare (card #153), illustrated by Mousho. Its current blended market value is $11.35 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Watchog (White Flare #153) — Pokémon market value $11.35, PSA 10 $150.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/white-flare/watchog-153<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=rsv10pt5-153" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Watchog price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>