Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
Low confidenceOnly 2 sales in the last 90 days.
Recent Raw sales
- Jul 12, 2026eBay — 2015 Pokemon XY Black Star Promo #XY153 HO-Oh Holo KSA 9 MintNM$99.99
- Jun 29, 2026eBay — Ho-Oh Black Star Promos XY153 Holo Pokemon Card GMA 6 EX-NMNM$25.00
By grade
- Raw$62.492 sales
- PSA 9$55.002 sales
- PSA 8$1762 sales
- PSA 7$12.502 sales
- PSA 5$29.991 sale
- PSA 10$3001 sale
From 10 completed sales recorded between Oct 6, 2024 and Jul 12, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 8 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Ho-Oh is a Promo Pokémon card from XY Black Star Promos (#XY153), illustrated by You Iribi. It's a Basic Fire-type Pokémon with 120 HP, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $11.60 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $300 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 26× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $100.00 | #143457194 ✓ |
| 6 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $51.00 | #143457194 ✓ |
| 4 Jul 2026 | PSA 5 | $26.99 | #58335796 ✓ |
| 1 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $140.00 | #66316162 ✓ |
| 17 May 2026 | PSA 7 | $19.00 | #146022059 ✓ |
| 9 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $149.99 | #91615868 ✓ |
| 4 May 2026 | PSA 7 | $30.00 | #147651632 ✓ |
| 14 Feb 2026 | PSA 4 | $10.50 | #145273874 ✓ |
| 15 Dec 2025 | PSA 8 | $240.00 | #69087891 ✓ |
| 10 Oct 2025 | PSA 7 | $24.99 | #122572263 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 4.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$215); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Ho-Oh is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $300.00 | $73 | +$215 | 25.9× |
| PSA 9 | $100.00 | $71 | +$17 | 8.6× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 124 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 4.8% | $300.00 |
| PSA 9 | 35.5% | $100.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 59.7% | $12.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 5% of 124 PSA-graded Ho-Oh copies are a gem-mint 10 (6 of 124) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Ho-Oh 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 6 | $300$300–$300 | |
| PSA 9pop 44 | $100$100–$100 | |
| PSA 7pop 15 | 2 sold$30$26–$35 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $19 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
50% spreadCurrently 50% cheaper on PriceCharting than Cardmarket. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
🔥 Trending in the community
#174 on the radarHo Oh is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “Dex Binder - Gen 1 Complete” · 53↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Flip a coin. If heads, search your deck for up to 2 Fire Energy cards and attach them to this Pokémon. Shuffle your deck afterward.
“It will reveal itself before a pure-hearted Trainer by shining its bright, rainbow-colored wings.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Legends claim this POKéMON flies the world's skies con tinuously on its magnificent seven- colored wings.
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Ho-Oh cards
There are 9 different Ho-Oh printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY Black Star Promos #XY153 (Promo).
More from XY Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Ho-Oh (XY Black Star Promos #XY153) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Ho-Oh from XY Black Star Promos is worth approximately $11.60 ungraded (near-mint), and around $300 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Ho-Oh?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Ho-Oh from XY Black Star Promos is worth around $300 — roughly 26× the raw ungraded value of $11.60.
Should I grade my Ho-Oh?
A PSA 10 sells for about $300 versus $11.60 raw — roughly a 26× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Ho-Oh rare?
Ho-Oh is a Promo card from XY Black Star Promos (card #XY153), illustrated by You Iribi. Its current blended market value is $11.60 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Ho-Oh (XY Black Star Promos #XY153) — Pokémon market value $11.60, PSA 10 $300.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy-black-star-promos/ho-oh-xy153<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xyp-XY153" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Ho-Oh price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>