What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence10 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
Recent Raw sales
- Jul 30, 2026eBay — XY Base Set #40/146 Frogadier$1.65
- Jul 20, 2026eBay — Frogadier 40/146 Uncommon | XY | Pokemon Card$1.40
- Jul 18, 2026eBay — Frogadier 40/146 Uncommon XY Pokemon Lightly PlayedLP$1.79
- Jul 17, 2026eBay — Frogadier 40/146 Uncommon XY Pokemon Near MintNM$1.99
- Jul 16, 2026eBay — Frogadier 40/146 XY Pokemon TCG Moderately PlayedMP$1.59
- Jul 11, 2026eBay — Frogadier 40/146 XY Pokemon TCG Moderately PlayedMP$1.59
- Jul 8, 2026eBay — Frogadier 40/146 | Pokemon 2014 XY Base Set Russian Language [US Seller]$5.99
- Jul 7, 2026eBay — Frogadier 40/142 Uncommon Stellar Crown Pokemon Near MintNM$0.99
From 10 completed sales recorded between May 28, 2026 and Jul 30, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
NOT WORTH ITBased on 0 graded sales and 1,305,862 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Frogadier is a Uncommon Pokémon card from XY (#40), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's a Stage 1 Water-type Pokémon with 80 HP, evolving from Froakie, weak to Grass ×2. Its current blended market value is $0.38 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $37 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 97× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Recent sold prices
No recent sold listings tracked.
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 0% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case −$34); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Frogadier is a Uncommoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $36.76 | $70 | −$34 | 96.7× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 18 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 0% | $37.00 |
| PSA 9 | 16.7% | $15.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 83.3% | $0.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 0% of 2 PSA-graded Frogadier copies are a gem-mint 10 (0 of 2) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Frogadier 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.
All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $37$37–$37 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Price by printingBase vs reverse holo vs 1st edition — priced separately
Price by variant
TCGplayer market price per printing — reverse holo, 1st edition and unlimited often differ sharply.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
73% spreadCurrently 73% cheaper on Cardmarket than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🇪🇺 Cardmarket price · Europe
42% cheaper than the USCard textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
Evolves from Froakie.
Flip a coin. If heads, your opponent's Active Pokémon is now Paralyzed.
“It can throw bubble-covered pebbles with precise control, hitting empty cans up to a hundred feet away.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Frogadier cards
There are 9 different Frogadier printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is XY #40 (Uncommon).
More from XY
Frequently asked questions
How much is Frogadier (XY #40) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Frogadier from XY is worth approximately $0.38 ungraded (near-mint), and around $37 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Frogadier?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Frogadier from XY is worth around $37 — roughly 97× the raw ungraded value of $0.38.
Should I grade my Frogadier?
A PSA 10 sells for about $37 versus $0.38 raw — roughly a 97× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Frogadier rare?
Frogadier is a Uncommon card from XY (card #40), illustrated by 5ban Graphics. Its current blended market value is $0.38 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Frogadier (XY #40) — Pokémon market value $0.38, PSA 10 $36.76. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/xy/frogadier-40<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=xy1-40" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Frogadier price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>