Best SM Black Star Promos Cards to Grade
The SM Black Star Promos cards worth grading, ranked by expected profit per submission — every grade outcome weighted by how often the card actually receives it — after current grading fees. The PSA 10 best case is shown on every row but does not decide the order. Top pick: Mewtwo & Mew-GX at an expected +$1,055.
Worth grading127
With a gem-rate sample6954%
Positive expected value45
Median gem rate15.2%
PSA fees as of2026-08-26
Ranked by expected profit 45
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expected +$1,055 per submission: 50.8% of 18,374 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,943), and a PSA 9 ($500) still clears the $816 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $418 | $500 | $2,943 | $398 | +$2,127 | 50.8% | +$1,055 | 18,374 high |
| 2 | Expected +$789 per submission: 38.3% of 13,406 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,730), and a PSA 9 ($353) still clears the $644 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $248 | $353 | $2,730 | $396 | +$2,086 | 38.3% | +$789 | 13,406 high |
| 3 | Expected +$531 per submission: 14.9% of 4,006 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($4,345), and only a PSA 10 covers the $551 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $139 | $195 | $4,345 | $412 | +$3,794 | 14.9% | +$531 | 4,006 high |
| 4 | Expected +$444 per submission: 38.8% of 10,738 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,623), and only a PSA 10 covers the $385 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $200 | $250 | $1,623 | $185 | +$1,238 | 38.8% | +$444 | 10,738 high |
| 5 | Expected +$414 per submission: 4.7% of 6,384 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($8,876), and a PSA 9 ($700) still clears the $947 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $239 | $700 | $8,876 | $708 | +$7,929 | 4.7% | +$414 | 6,384 high |
| 6 | Expected +$302 per submission: 15.1% of 611 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($2,216), and a PSA 9 ($165) still clears the $214 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $23 | $165 | $2,216 | $191 | +$2,001 | 15.1% | +$302 | 611 high |
| 7 | Expected +$244 per submission: 14.6% of 1,369 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,941), and a PSA 9 ($115) still clears the $214 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $26 | $115 | $1,941 | $188 | +$1,727 | 14.6% | +$244 | 1,369 high |
| 8 | Expected +$231 per submission: 15.3% of 1,098 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,726), and a PSA 9 ($130) still clears the $205 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $19 | $130 | $1,726 | $186 | +$1,521 | 15.3% | +$231 | 1,098 high |
| 9 | Expected +$221 per submission: 16.4% of 11,572 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,900), and a PSA 9 ($252) still clears the $353 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $165 | $252 | $1,900 | $188 | +$1,547 | 16.4% | +$221 | 11,572 high |
| 10 | Expected +$179 per submission: 5.7% of 5,057 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($3,850), and a PSA 9 ($250) still clears the $516 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $108 | $250 | $3,850 | $408 | +$3,335 | 5.7% | +$179 | 5,057 high |
| 11 | Expected +$173 per submission: 4.7% of 3,936 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($4,334), and a PSA 9 ($219) still clears the $486 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $74 | $219 | $4,334 | $412 | +$3,847 | 4.7% | +$173 | 3,936 high |
| 12 | Expected +$171 per submission: 7.9% of 114 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($775), and a PSA 9 ($400) still clears the $147 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $39 | $400 | $775 | $108 | +$628 | 7.9% | +$171 | 114 high |
| 13 | Expected +$170 per submission: 16.5% of 490 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,475), and only a PSA 10 covers the $155 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $40 | $72 | $1,475 | $115 | +$1,320 | 16.5% | +$170 | 490 high |
| 14 | Expected +$149 per submission: 51.2% of 8,997 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($570), and only a PSA 10 covers the $216 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $110 | $125 | $570 | $106 | +$354 | 51.2% | +$149 | 8,997 high |
| 15 | Expected +$140 per submission: 15.2% of 1,107 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,247), and only a PSA 10 covers the $131 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $19 | $89 | $1,247 | $112 | +$1,115 | 15.2% | +$140 | 1,107 high |
| 16 | Expected +$137 per submission: 11.9% of 285 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,200), and a PSA 9 ($449) still clears the $375 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $263 | $449 | $1,200 | $112 | +$825 | 11.9% | +$137 | 285 high |
| 17 | Expected +$133 per submission: 46.3% of 4,377 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($615), and only a PSA 10 covers the $233 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $127 | $125 | $615 | $106 | +$382 | 46.3% | +$133 | 4,377 high |
| 18 | Expected +$123 per submission: 19.1% of 152 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,000), and only a PSA 10 covers the $131 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $21 | $40 | $1,000 | $110 | +$869 | 19.1% | +$123 | 152 high |
| 19 | Expected +$119 per submission: 18.1% of 5,072 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,025), and only a PSA 10 covers the $176 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $66 | $126 | $1,025 | $110 | +$849 | 18.1% | +$119 | 5,072 high |
| 20 | Expected +$115 per submission: 18.1% of 1,039 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($930), and only a PSA 10 covers the $135 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $26 | $71 | $930 | $109 | +$795 | 18.1% | +$115 | 1,039 high |
| 21 | Expected +$110 per submission: 33.6% of 8,871 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($650), and only a PSA 10 covers the $197 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $91 | $116 | $650 | $106 | +$452 | 33.6% | +$110 | 8,871 high |
| 22 | Expected +$107 per submission: 8.3% of 264 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,954), and only a PSA 10 covers the $213 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $24 | $75 | $1,954 | $189 | +$1,742 | 8.3% | +$107 | 264 high |
| 23 | Expected +$89 per submission: 13.3% of 1,177 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($1,084), and only a PSA 10 covers the $134 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $23 | $74 | $1,084 | $111 | +$951 | 13.3% | +$89 | 1,177 high |
| 24 | Expected +$81 per submission: 24.1% of 1,026 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($579), and only a PSA 10 covers the $116 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $10 | $55 | $579 | $106 | +$463 | 24.1% | +$81 | 1,026 high |
| 25 | Expected +$64 per submission: 59.1% of 6,724 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($301), and only a PSA 10 covers the $144 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $71 | $75 | $301 | $73 | +$157 | 59.1% | +$64 | 6,724 high |
| 26 | Expected +$57 per submission: 24.7% of 182 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($500), and only a PSA 10 covers the $98 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $23 | $55 | $500 | $75 | +$402 | 24.7% | +$57 | 182 high |
| 27 | Expected +$53 per submission: 18.8% of 479 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($600), and only a PSA 10 covers the $120 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $14 | $45 | $600 | $106 | +$480 | 18.8% | +$53 | 479 high |
| 28 | Expected +$53 per submission: 56.5% of 72,418 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($447), and only a PSA 10 covers the $270 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $196 | $171 | $447 | $74 | +$177 | 56.5% | +$53 | 72,418 high |
| 29 | Expected +$47 per submission: 12.7% of 252 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($764), and only a PSA 10 covers the $145 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $37 | $76 | $764 | $108 | +$620 | 12.7% | +$47 | 252 high |
| 30 | Expected +$41 per submission: 45.7% of 484 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($240), and only a PSA 10 covers the $89 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $17 | $40 | $240 | $72 | +$150 | 45.7% | +$41 | 484 high |
| 31 | Expected +$38 per submission: 10.1% of 138 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($543), and a PSA 9 ($119) still clears the $121 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $16 | $119 | $543 | $105 | +$422 | 10.1% | +$38 | 138 high |
| 32 | Expected +$37 per submission: 46.4% of 511 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($230), and only a PSA 10 covers the $90 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $18 | $40 | $230 | $72 | +$140 | 46.4% | +$37 | 511 high |
| 33 | Expected +$29 per submission: 24.7% of 372 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($375), and only a PSA 10 covers the $90 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $16 | $50 | $375 | $74 | +$285 | 24.7% | +$29 | 372 high |
| 34 | Expected +$24 per submission: 14.8% of 270 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($500), and only a PSA 10 covers the $92 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $17 | $54 | $500 | $75 | +$408 | 14.8% | +$24 | 270 high |
| 35 | Expected +$23 per submission: 35.1% of 450 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($240), and only a PSA 10 covers the $82 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $10 | $36 | $240 | $72 | +$157 | 35.1% | +$23 | 450 high |
| 36 | Expected +$22 per submission: 7.9% of 178 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($358), and a PSA 9 ($104) still clears the $94 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $20 | $104 | $358 | $74 | +$264 | 7.9% | +$22 | 178 high |
| 37 | Expected +$16 per submission: 7.3% of 137 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($285), and a PSA 9 ($170) still clears the $83 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $10 | $170 | $285 | $73 | +$202 | 7.3% | +$16 | 137 high |
| 38 | Expected +$14 per submission: 20.8% of 48 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($400), and only a PSA 10 covers the $102 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence medium on that sample. | $28 | $50 | $400 | $74 | +$298 | 20.8% | +$14 | 48 medium |
| 39 | Expected +$13 per submission: 55.1% of 267 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($153), and only a PSA 10 covers the $84 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $12 | $32 | $153 | $72 | +$69 | 55.1% | +$13 | 267 high |
| 40 | Expected +$12 per submission: 9.2% of 173 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($261), and a PSA 9 ($145) still clears the $86 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $13 | $145 | $261 | $73 | +$176 | 9.2% | +$12 | 173 high |
| 41 | Expected +$8 per submission: 52.8% of 691 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($155), and only a PSA 10 covers the $89 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $17 | $35 | $155 | $72 | +$67 | 52.8% | +$8 | 691 high |
| 42 | Expected +$7 per submission: 7.8% of 346 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($262), and a PSA 9 ($120) still clears the $101 you have in it. Confidence high on that sample. | $28 | $120 | $262 | $73 | +$162 | 7.8% | +$7 | 346 high |
| 43 | Expected +$7 per submission: 22.5% of 71 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($190), and a PSA 9 ($97) still clears the $83 you have in it. Confidence medium on that sample. | $11 | $97 | $190 | $72 | +$107 | 22.5% | +$7 | 71 medium |
| 44 | Expected +$5 per submission: 11.1% of 226 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($500), and only a PSA 10 covers the $85 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence high on that sample. | $10 | $60 | $500 | $75 | +$415 | 11.1% | +$5 | 226 high |
| 45 | Expected +$3 per submission: 19.8% of 81 graded copies came back PSA 10 ($357), and only a PSA 10 covers the $79 you have in it — a 9 loses money. Confidence medium on that sample. | $5 | $17 | $357 | $74 | +$278 | 19.8% | +$3 | 81 medium |
Best case only — no gem-rate evidence 5
Fewer than 10 graded copies in the PSA and CGC population reports. They clear the grading cost if they gem — that is all the numbers support.
| # | Card | Raw | PSA 9 | PSA 10 | Cost | Best case | Gem rate | Expected | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | $130 | — | $9,000 | $709 | +$8,161 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 47 | $20 | — | $6,601 | $685 | +$5,896 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 48 | $244 | — | $6,783 | $687 | +$5,852 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 49 | $37 | — | $5,456 | $674 | +$4,746 | — | — | none <10 | |
| 50 | $67 | — | $5,000 | $419 | +$4,514 | — | — | none <10 |
Expected = every grade outcome weighted by its share of the card's graded population, minus the raw price and the grading cost (PSA tier fee for the graded value plus ~$20 round-trip shipping, fees as of 2026-08-26). Best case is the PSA 10 leg alone. Gem rates come from a self-selected population — collectors grade their cleanest copies — so read them as an upper bound. Raw is a blended market price, not a sale of your copy. Full method and filters on the grading index.