Pikachu
Market value · ungraded
What's your copy worth?
What this price is based on
High confidence38 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.
What each version actually sells for
Every figure is the median of real completed sales whose listing claimed that printing and condition — not a percentage of the headline price. A dash means we haven't seen enough sales of that exact version to publish one.
Recent Raw sales
- Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon Pikachu SM157 Sun & Moon Black Star Promo Cosmo Holo 2018$25.00
- Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pikachu SM157 Black Star Promo Pokemon Tcg$19.00
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — 1x Pikachu - SM157 - Promo - SM Black Star Promo Lightly Played Pokemon SM BlackLP$28.28
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Pikachu SM157 SM Trainer Kit Black Star Promo Regular EN$33.00
- Aug 9, 2026eBay — The Pokémon Company Pikachu SM157 SM Trainer Kit Black Star Promo Regular EN$12.50
- Aug 6, 2026eBay — Pikachu SM157 Cosmo Holo Sun & Moon Black Star Promo Pokemon Card Near MintNM$19.99
- Aug 5, 2026eBay — Pikachu - SM157 - Black Star Promo - Sun and Moon - Pokemon Card - LPLP$16.99
- Aug 3, 2026eBay — Pokemon 2018 Black Star Promo Pikachu SM157 NMNM$26.95
By grade
- Raw$20.0051 sales
- PSA 8$1082 sales
- CGC 8.5$23.502 sales
- PSA 9$2001 sale
- PSA 6$25.251 sale
- CGC 8$49.991 sale
From 58 completed sales recorded between Jan 11, 2026 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.
Grade it or not
GRADE ITBased on 7 graded sales and 4,409,906 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.
See the numbers — Trader plan and aboveBuy this card
✨ Is it worth it?
An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.
Pikachu is a Promo Pokémon card from SM Black Star Promos (#SM157), illustrated by Megumi Mizutani. It's a Basic Lightning-type Pokémon with 60 HP, weak to Fighting ×2. Its current blended market value is $29.32 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $262 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 9× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.
Prices last updated 20 August 2026.
The receipts
Graded a PSA 9? See its cert-verified sales and price history → — individual sales PSA tied to a specific slab, each with a cert number you can check.
Price history · Raw
We'll email you when this card's value crosses your target.
Verified sales history10 in 90 days✓ real completed listings
| Date | Grade | Price | Cert |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | PSA 8 | $115.00 | #146942741 ✓ |
| 27 Jul 2026 | PSA 6 | $25.25 | #161356191 ✓ |
| 21 Jul 2026 | PSA 8 | $80.58 | #46404226 ✓ |
| 20 Jul 2026 | PSA 10 | $2,625.00 | #85246107 ✓ |
| 28 Jun 2026 | PSA 10 | $3,175.00 | #85246113 ✓ |
| 7 Jun 2026 | PSA 8 | $33.47 | #153404799 ✓ |
| 2 Jun 2026 | PSA 9 | $133.50 | #153070022 ✓ |
| 27 May 2026 | PSA 7 | $46.00 | #148201216 ✓ |
| 6 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $120.00 | #44690198 ✓ |
| 4 May 2026 | PSA 9 | $135.50 | #58838076 ✓ |
Should you grade it?
Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 7.8% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$160); most land at PSA 9 or below.
The odds
Pikachu is a Commoncard — a guaranteed slot in every pack, not a rarity gamble, so there's no pull-odds figure for it.
Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.
Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
| Target grade | Est. value | Grading fee | Net vs raw | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | $262.09 | $73 | +$160 | 8.9× |
| PSA 9 | $120.00 | $71 | +$19 | 4.1× |
| PSA 8 | $81.00 | $71 | −$19 | 2.8× |
⚖️ Risk-adjusted return
Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 346 PSA-graded copies:
| Likely outcome | Chance | Value |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 7.8% | $262.00 |
| PSA 9 | 46.5% | $120.00 |
| PSA ≤8 | 45.7% | $29.00 |
Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.
Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates
Only 8% of 346 PSA-graded Pikachu copies are a gem-mint 10 (27 of 346) — the rest grade lower.
Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Pikachu 10 is harder to pull.
Copies for sale right now
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All grades & conditions
Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
| Grade | Relative value | Price |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10pop 27 | $262$262–$262 | |
| PSA 9pop 161 | ✓ 13 cert-verified$120$103–$120 | |
| PSA 8pop 101 | ✓ 10 cert-verified$81$12–$81 |
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
For context: a graded PSA 6 slab of this card sells for about $25 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.
Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz
Cross-market prices
26% spreadCurrently 26% cheaper on PriceCharting than TCGplayer. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.
Market signal
Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.
🔥 Trending in the community
#1 on the radarPikachu is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →
What people are saying: “My girlfriend and I broke up” · 2537↑
Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat
This Pokémon can't be Paralyzed.
“It's in its nature to store electricity. It feel stressed now and then if it's unable to fully discharge the electricity.”
About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Other Pikachu cards
There are 9 different Pikachu printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is SM Black Star Promos #SM157 (Promo).
More from SM Black Star Promos
Frequently asked questions
How much is Pikachu (SM Black Star Promos #SM157) worth?
As of 20 August 2026, Pikachu from SM Black Star Promos is worth approximately $29.32 ungraded (near-mint), and around $262 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.
What is the PSA 10 price for Pikachu?
A PSA 10 (gem mint) Pikachu from SM Black Star Promos is worth around $262 — roughly 9× the raw ungraded value of $29.32.
Should I grade my Pikachu?
A PSA 10 sells for about $262 versus $29.32 raw — roughly a 9× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.
Is Pikachu rare?
Pikachu is a Promo card from SM Black Star Promos (card #SM157), illustrated by Megumi Mizutani. Its current blended market value is $29.32 ungraded.
Cite & embed this card
Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.
Pikachu (SM Black Star Promos #SM157) — Pokémon market value $29.32, PSA 10 $262.09. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/sm-black-star-promos/pikachu-sm157<iframe src="https://cardtrack.com/embed/card?id=smp-SM157" width="100%" height="160" style="border:0;max-width:460px" title="Pikachu price — CardTrack" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui">Source: <a href="https://cardtrack.com">CardTrack</a></p>